NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	105		Excitement	10.4 [65]		MVP	Arron Afflalo (ORL): +20.9%
Orlando Magic	110		Comeback	10.4 [106]		LVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): -12.9%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh McRoberts	0.16	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.08,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.13	0.03	0.01	16	71%	0.20	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Al Jefferson	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06	0.08	-0.03	-0.01	16	62%	0.12	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.02	-0.02	13	54%	0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	64%	0.08	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Anthony Tolliver	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	11	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Bismack Biyombo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	-0.13	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.08,-0.15,-0.06,-0.12,-0.13	-0.04	-0.09	-0.01	25	42%	-0.09	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.04

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.18,0.21	0.21	0.03	0.19	0.00	9	61%	0.36	3	-0.15	10	90%	0.02
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.05	-0.02	10	52%	0.11	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.02	-0.03	22	52%	0.16	1	-0.08	2	100%	0.03
Doron Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.05,-0.05,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.05	0.00	9	61%	0.12	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	64%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	11	54%	0.04	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Andrew Nicholson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	5	25%	-0.05	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.03
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	12	47%	-0.03	5	-0.09	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.1	1.8	28.5	15.8	23.3	2.5	32.4	2.4	25.5	154.1
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	1.9	17.6	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +23.5%

ORL +24.0%

ORL +30.8%

CHA -24.4%

CHA -3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	ORL	NBA	CHA	ORL	NBA
this game	16.1	14.9	15.1	102.9	106.8	105.2
season	15.7	15.3		102.4	100.4
opponent	15.0	15.1		105.9	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHA	15.4	16.1	16.5	17.0	15.3	16.1
ORL	14.6	13.4	14.8	18.1	13.2	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	54	56	0.45	-0.95	1.40	-0.08	18	-23	41	15.8	16.5	-0.78	14.7	15.1	-0.45
Cody Zeller	35	34	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-3	1	14.4	17.0	-2.63	15.1	14.8	0.36
Anthony Tolliver	11	13	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.11	-7	2	-9	19.2	15.8	3.42	12.3	15.3	-2.97
Bismack Biyombo	20	22	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.12	-12	7	-19	17.3	15.8	1.46	16.3	14.5	1.74
Al Jefferson	82	81	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.48	7	-12	19	15.8	17.3	-1.46	14.5	16.3	-1.74
Gerald Henderson	77	75	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.31	1	-6	7	16.4	15.3	1.12	15.1	14.5	0.55
Kemba Walker	80	81	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.51	6	-11	17	16.0	16.4	-0.36	15.5	12.6	2.88
Luke Ridnour	29	29	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.08	-17	12	-29	16.3	16.1	0.21	14.7	15.0	-0.30
Josh McRoberts	67	69	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.37	-3	-2	-1	17.0	14.4	2.63	14.8	15.1	-0.36
Chris Douglas-Roberts	55	55	-0.82	0.32	-1.15	-0.35	-16	11	-27	15.5	16.8	-1.30	14.7	15.1	-0.38

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle O'Quinn	47	48	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.24	10	-5	15	15.6	14.3	1.35	15.1	17.1	-2.01
Victor Oladipo	60	61	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.15	9	-4	13	14.2	15.9	-1.76	15.2	17.4	-2.19
Jameer Nelson	61	62	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.32	0	5	-5	15.1	14.6	0.44	17.2	14.4	2.84
Nikola Vucevic	78	77	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.47	-5	10	-15	14.5	16.0	-1.50	16.7	14.4	2.34
Tobias Harris	69	69	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.09	13	-8	21	15.1	14.4	0.73	16.4	15.5	0.91
Arron Afflalo	76	75	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.46	-6	11	-17	14.7	15.6	-0.93	16.3	15.6	0.73
E'Twaun Moore	26	26	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.11	11	-6	17	15.8	14.6	1.16	15.3	16.4	-1.10
Doron Lamb	25	24	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.07	9	-4	13	15.8	14.6	1.24	14.9	16.5	-1.58
Maurice Harkless	61	58	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.30	-8	13	-21	15.0	14.8	0.24	16.5	15.7	0.82
Andrew Nicholson	12	10	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.08	-8	13	-21	13.0	15.2	-2.15	14.8	16.3	-1.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.25,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.14,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.33,0.33,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.61,0.63,0.77,0.58,0.46,0.61,0.55,0.68,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 97, LAC 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.24,0.18,0.23,0.22,0.28,0.21,0.22,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.48,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.28,0.28,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.34,0.26,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.61,0.45,0.78,0.73,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.43,0.77,1	91.8%
WAS 130, MIN 135	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.39,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.24,0.23,0.33,0.2,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.41,0.51,0.27,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.84,0.54,0.53,0.79,0.76,0.91,1	90.2%
MIN 90, SAS 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.28,0.29,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.33,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.21,0.33,0.32,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.32,0.55,0.56,0.72,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.9,0.93,1	89.3%