NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	90		Excitement	9.8 [77]		MVP	Pau Gasol (SAS): +25.2%
San Antonio Spurs	97		Comeback	7.2 [380]		LVP	Andrew Wiggins (MIN): -55.5%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.06	0.00	16	60%	0.18	2	-0.05	8	75%	-0.01
Brandon Rush	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	5	70%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.05	-0.01	11	50%	0.08	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Shabazz Muhammad	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01	-0.11	0.08	-0.02	12	39%	0.11	4	-0.12	4	50%	-0.03
Tyus Jones	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	-0.01	12	50%	0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	-0.56	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.07,0.01,-0.23,-0.38,-0.38,-0.44,-0.55,-0.55,-0.56	-0.19	-0.42	-0.06	24	31%	-0.40	3	-0.15	6	83%	-0.03

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.11	0.15	0.01	10	74%	0.29	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.02
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.11,0.01,0.1,0.15,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.10	0.15	0.01	25	55%	0.35	1	-0.10	12	92%	0.06
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.04	-0.00	3	100%	0.07	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jonathon Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	5	21%	-0.07	2	-0.04	4	0%	-0.04
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15	-0.15	-0.06	-0.08	0.01	8	33%	-0.12	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.13	-0.04	-0.01	9	17%	-0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.11	-0.08	0.01	24	35%	-0.15	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.3	2.6	26.7	14.8	24.9	2.0	40.0	2.0	15.7	152.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.9	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +29.0%

SAS +3.5%

MIN -1.2%

SAS +26.5%

MIN -7.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SAS	NBA	MIN	SAS	NBA
this game	16.0	15.5	14.8	90.0	95.1	107.7
season	15.3	15.4		109.3	110.1
opponent	14.8	14.7		103.7	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIN	15.1	16.4	16.5	15.5	17.1	16.0
SAS	13.7	16.3	16.2	15.8	16.2	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Rush	52	52	0.11	-0.61	0.73	0.06	2	-9	11	15.8	16.1	-0.28	14.5	16.5	-1.98
Shabazz Muhammad	31	32	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.05	5	-12	17	15.2	16.3	-1.09	16.5	15.1	1.40
Cole Aldrich	4	3	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.03	2	-9	11	12.5	16.1	-3.63	19.0	15.4	3.60
Nemanja Bjelica	42	41	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	-2	-3	15.1	16.6	-1.48	15.8	15.3	0.45
Kris Dunn	19	18	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.07	-7	0	-7	17.1	15.7	1.39	17.3	15.1	2.15
Gorgui Dieng	68	73	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.34	5	-12	17	16.1	15.7	0.48	15.2	16.4	-1.26
Tyus Jones	25	26	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.01	-9	2	-11	17.1	15.6	1.52	17.4	14.9	2.52
Ricky Rubio	81	84	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.37	0	-7	7	15.7	17.1	-1.39	15.1	17.3	-2.15
Andrew Wiggins	83	85	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.29	-5	-2	-3	15.9	16.5	-0.59	15.1	17.6	-2.49
Karl-Anthony Towns	86	87	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.25	-16	9	-25	16.4	13.1	3.30	15.6	15.2	0.36

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	56	55	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.47	10	-3	13	16.4	14.4	2.00	16.2	15.7	0.53
LaMarcus Aldridge	82	82	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.20	18	-11	29	15.8	14.5	1.26	16.5	13.8	2.62
Kawhi Leonard	83	82	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.19	18	-11	29	15.7	14.7	0.95	16.5	13.5	3.02
Danny Green	71	69	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.43	9	-2	11	16.4	13.4	3.00	16.3	15.4	0.91
Dejounte Murray	7	8	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.05	6	1	5	17.1	15.4	1.75	16.1	16.0	0.16
Joel Anthony	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	7	-7	0.0	15.5	-15.51	7.0	16.1	-9.07
Tony Parker	31	32	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.04	-2	9	-11	16.1	15.3	0.84	16.4	15.8	0.58
Dewayne Dedmon	34	34	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.02	-3	10	-13	15.1	15.7	-0.59	16.6	15.6	1.01
Patty Mills	55	51	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.01	-4	11	-15	14.9	16.3	-1.42	15.5	16.5	-0.96
Kyle Anderson	18	16	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.06	-7	14	-21	13.6	15.9	-2.37	14.2	16.3	-2.06
Jonathon Simmons	33	33	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.08	-6	13	-19	13.9	16.3	-2.41	14.9	16.5	-1.64
David Lee	31	28	-0.39	0.89	-1.29	-0.07	-11	18	-29	14.0	16.2	-2.22	13.6	16.9	-3.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.28,0.29,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.33,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.21,0.33,0.32,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.32,0.55,0.56,0.72,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.9,0.93,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 97, MEM 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.41,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.23,0.2,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.34,0.29,0.43,0.47,0.59,0.47,0.42,0.32,0.36,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.67,0.79,0.84,0.72,1	90.4%
UTA 111, NYK 118	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.22,0.23,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.19,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.28,0.26,0.4,0.53,0.39,0.54,0.55,0.92,0.5,0.39,0.63,0.85,0.98,1	89.6%
MIN 108, DEN 111	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.23,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.17,0.11,0.1,0.17,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.55,0.73,0.54,0.55,0.72,0.78,0.73,1	89.6%