NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	109		Excitement	10.2 [60]		MVP	Kyle Kuzma (LAL): +33.7%
New York Knicks	113		Comeback	3.0 [570]		LVP	Brandon Ingram (LAL): -38.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Kuzma	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.34	0.08	0.24	-0.02	17	56%	0.34	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lonzo Ball	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	13	59%	0.13	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.02
Larry Nance Jr.	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	56%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	11	52%	0.05	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Josh Hart	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.01	0.07	-0.04	0.04	20	55%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Corey Brewer	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.04	-0.02	11	52%	0.04	3	-0.08	3	33%	-0.03
Brook Lopez	-0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	13	50%	0.02	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Ingram	-0.38	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.4,-0.4,-0.38,-0.38	-0.20	-0.18	-0.00	12	20%	-0.09	5	-0.29	1	100%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Frank Ntilikina	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.05	0.11	-0.05	11	59%	0.22	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.14,0.14	0.14	-0.01	0.15	-0.01	13	46%	0.18	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.05	-0.02	10	70%	0.16	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.04	0.00	4	100%	0.14	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.21,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06	0.06	0.17	-0.07	0.04	26	65%	0.13	3	-0.07	5	80%	-0.01
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	83%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ron Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	11	45%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	6	21%	-0.05	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.11	-0.11	0.01	17	29%	-0.20	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	26.4	14.7	27.2	3.5	29.2	2.5	15.7	145.9
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	3.2	17.5	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +33.2%

LAL -17.9%

NYK +12.4%

NYK +17.8%

NYK +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	NYK	NBA	LAL	NYK	NBA
this game	13.4	17.1	14.7	104.8	108.7	107.5
season	13.7	14.9		105.7	105.9
opponent	14.5	14.8		109.3	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAL	12.7	14.3	14.5	13.2	11.6	13.4
NYK	16.1	17.0	18.3	18.1	15.6	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Nance Jr.	52	52	0.10	-0.60	0.71	0.16	-2	-2	0	12.2	14.7	-2.58	17.8	16.4	1.38
Jordan Clarkson	38	36	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.18	9	-13	22	15.3	12.4	2.95	17.2	17.1	0.09
Josh Hart	21	21	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.12	3	-7	10	15.1	13.0	2.07	16.5	17.3	-0.77
Corey Brewer	19	18	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-3	2	15.1	13.1	1.97	15.9	17.4	-1.51
Julius Randle	41	41	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.16	2	-6	8	15.6	12.1	3.50	16.7	17.4	-0.79
Brook Lopez	48	48	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	1	-6	12.3	14.4	-2.14	17.6	16.8	0.79
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	77	77	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	0	-4	12.7	15.6	-2.85	17.0	17.5	-0.52
Kyle Kuzma	56	56	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.42	1	-5	6	14.4	12.3	2.14	16.8	17.6	-0.79
Brandon Ingram	79	81	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.28	-8	4	-12	13.3	14.0	-0.79	17.5	15.9	1.62
Lonzo Ball	78	79	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.34	-11	7	-18	12.6	15.9	-3.31	17.3	16.6	0.76

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Courtney Lee	80	79	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.33	11	-7	18	17.1	17.2	-0.10	12.7	15.9	-3.21
Michael Beasley	42	42	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.38	5	-1	6	17.3	17.0	0.21	14.6	12.6	2.01
Kristaps Porzingis	80	79	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.31	5	-1	6	17.4	16.2	1.26	12.6	16.2	-3.58
Frank Ntilikina	55	54	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.43	-2	6	-8	17.1	17.2	-0.05	14.5	12.3	2.20
Doug McDermott	63	61	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.51	-9	13	-22	17.2	17.0	0.22	13.9	12.8	1.15
Enes Kanter	54	53	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.02	7	-3	10	17.5	16.8	0.68	12.6	14.3	-1.63
Lance Thomas	47	48	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.09	9	-5	14	17.0	17.2	-0.25	13.1	13.7	-0.67
Jarrett Jack	53	54	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.01	4	0	4	17.1	17.2	-0.04	12.1	14.8	-2.69
Ron Baker	21	23	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	7	-10	16.8	17.2	-0.47	15.9	12.7	3.17
Kyle O'Quinn	25	27	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.00	-7	11	-18	15.8	17.6	-1.76	15.9	12.6	3.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.39,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.54,0.8,0.74,0.9,0.96,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.86,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 102, MEM 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.41,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.6,0.64,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.63,0.64,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.47,0.65,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.79,0.69,0.82,1	90.4%
DAL 86, SEA 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.75,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.46,0.61,0.79,0.96,0.96,1	89.8%
POR 107, DEN 114	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.34,0.25,0.39,0.45,0.58,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.54,0.68,0.71,0.92,0.92,0.54,0.53,0.61,0.83,0.98,1	89.6%