NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	107		Excitement	9.6 [98]		MVP	Brandon Roy (POR): +47.2%
Denver Nuggets	114		Comeback	3.2 [793]		LVP	Jarrett Jack (POR): -15.6%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Roy	0.47	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.54,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47	0.08	0.38	-0.01	11	67%	0.59	3	-0.11	11	91%	0.05
Juan Dixon	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2	0.15	0.05	0.00	13	72%	0.20	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Zach Randolph	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09	-0.01	0.11	0.00	21	51%	0.21	4	-0.12	7	100%	0.05
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Martell Webster	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	5	36%	0.03	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Joel Przybilla	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	3	67%	0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ime Udoka	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	9	45%	-0.00	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jarrett Jack	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	14	41%	-0.05	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.12	0.21	-0.02	11	74%	0.36	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Nene	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.12	0.16	-0.01	10	77%	0.38	2	-0.09	6	67%	-0.01
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.13,0.2,0.28,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.10	0.20	0.02	7	76%	0.35	2	-0.06	11	64%	0.00
Yakhouba Diawara	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.03	-0.04	4	64%	0.12	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	4	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.15,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.09,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.07	-0.04	0.11	-0.00	26	50%	0.25	6	-0.18	14	71%	0.02
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	9	36%	-0.08	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.8	2.4	27.1	15.7	31.7	2.6	40.6	1.7	16.2	165.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	1.9	17.4	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +40.0%

POR -1.0%

POR -1.8%

DEN +7.5%

DEN +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	DEN	NBA	POR	DEN	NBA
this game	18.0	13.8	15.4	108.1	112.9	104.5
season	16.7	14.0		103.1	105.8
opponent	15.3	15.4		104.5	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
POR	20.7	18.3	17.1	17.1	15.9	18.0
DEN	13.0	13.6	14.2	13.6	15.7	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Martell Webster	37	37	0.22	-0.72	0.93	0.27	-2	-5	3	16.5	18.9	-2.38	12.5	14.6	-2.05
Jamaal Magloire	34	32	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.07	4	-11	15	19.5	17.3	2.24	13.7	13.8	-0.09
Joel Przybilla	19	20	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.09	-4	-3	-1	20.8	17.4	3.41	12.1	14.2	-2.13
Jarrett Jack	73	76	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.15	-3	-4	1	18.1	17.8	0.25	13.6	14.6	-0.99
Juan Dixon	53	52	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.24	0	-7	7	17.8	18.3	-0.51	14.2	13.3	0.90
Ime Udoka	65	69	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.29	1	-8	9	18.4	17.3	1.12	14.3	12.7	1.65
Zach Randolph	76	79	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.13	-7	0	-7	17.6	19.5	-1.94	13.8	13.7	0.11
Brandon Roy	71	73	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.19	-13	6	-19	18.2	17.6	0.59	13.6	14.4	-0.85
LaMarcus Aldridge	67	67	-1.09	0.59	-1.67	-0.76	-11	4	-15	17.4	19.3	-1.94	14.7	12.1	2.64

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nene	74	74	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.17	21	-14	35	13.3	15.2	-1.92	18.6	16.4	2.18
J.R. Smith	52	50	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.48	10	-3	13	14.3	13.3	0.94	18.2	17.8	0.42
Steve Blake	96	95	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.21	15	-8	23	13.7	15.6	-1.88	17.9	20.5	-2.57
Carmelo Anthony	88	85	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.37	-1	8	-9	14.1	11.9	2.17	17.6	20.6	-3.04
Linas Kleiza	33	34	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.02	6	1	5	14.2	13.6	0.64	18.0	18.0	-0.00
Marcus Camby	79	76	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.13	0	7	-7	13.9	13.5	0.34	17.6	19.6	-2.06
Reggie Evans	7	7	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	4	-1	14.6	13.8	0.82	15.3	18.2	-2.95
Eduardo Najera	40	39	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.26	-7	14	-21	14.1	13.6	0.52	18.7	17.6	1.09
DerMarr Johnson	8	7	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.10	-10	17	-27	15.7	13.6	2.10	19.9	17.9	1.97
Yakhouba Diawara	28	28	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	-0.24	-2	9	-11	11.9	14.6	-2.70	18.5	17.9	0.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.34,0.25,0.39,0.45,0.58,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.54,0.68,0.71,0.92,0.92,0.54,0.53,0.61,0.83,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 109, NYK 113	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.39,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.54,0.8,0.74,0.9,0.96,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.86,0.95,1	89.6%
POR 92, CLE 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.32,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.39,0.39,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.81,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.84,0.54,0.61,0.71,0.67,0.82,0.54,0.69,0.85,0.91,0.95,1	89.5%
NOH 110, DEN 116	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.48,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.38,0.48,0.47,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.82,0.87,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.46,0.55,0.37,0.76,0.73,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.91,0.99,1	89.1%