NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	111		Excitement	9.3 [109]		MVP	Jeremy Lin (LAL): +37.5%
Los Angeles Lakers	118		Comeback	2.8 [337]		LVP	Evan Turner (BOS): -33.0%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Avery Bradley	0.26	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.26	0.02	0.26	0.02	20	47%	0.26	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.04
Jae Crowder	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17	0.14	0.03	0.00	14	67%	0.17	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Isaiah Thomas	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.03	-0.02	13	64%	0.24	4	-0.14	7	86%	0.02
Brandon Bass	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.01	11	62%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Gerald Wallace	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Young	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	9	44%	0.07	3	-0.13	7	71%	0.01
Tyler Zeller	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19	-0.05	-0.14	0.00	8	50%	0.01	3	-0.20	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.33	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.25,-0.31,-0.31,-0.34,-0.33	-0.18	-0.15	-0.01	19	29%	-0.21	4	-0.12	3	67%	-0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.38	0.38	0.16	0.19	-0.02	15	69%	0.40	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.10	0.15	-0.03	9	73%	0.31	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.11
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.14	0.11	-0.00	11	92%	0.32	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.08	0.00	10	52%	0.13	2	-0.06	3	0%	-0.05
Ryan Kelly	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.06
Robert Sacre	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tarik Black	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	8	53%	0.01	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	9	42%	0.03	3	-0.10	6	67%	-0.04
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.05	-0.04	3	30%	-0.06	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.02	-0.10	0.03	7	44%	-0.13	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.7	2.5	30.6	16.3	27.3	1.7	42.2	2.3	12.6	160.2
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	2.0	17.8	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +31.4%

LAL +4.3%

BOS -0.3%

LAL +28.3%

BOS -13.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	LAL	NBA	BOS	LAL	NBA
this game	13.9	14.8	15.1	100.0	106.3	104.2
season	14.3	15.5		103.1	101.9
opponent	14.7	15.4		108.9	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
BOS	13.8	13.9	14.3	12.4	17.2	13.9
LAL	15.0	13.3	14.5	15.9	16.1	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Young	23	24	0.46	-0.96	1.42	0.43	1	-8	9	13.6	14.0	-0.41	13.1	15.2	-2.08
Avery Bradley	91	90	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.24	7	-14	21	13.5	15.8	-2.39	14.4	16.1	-1.71
Jonas Jerebko	11	11	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.02	-8	1	-9	13.0	14.0	-0.99	10.5	15.2	-4.78
Isaiah Thomas	53	54	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.04	-6	-1	-5	13.8	13.9	-0.12	13.9	15.5	-1.62
Evan Turner	76	75	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.35	4	-11	15	13.9	13.9	0.01	14.8	14.7	0.09
Tyler Zeller	72	73	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	-4	1	14.1	13.5	0.62	15.2	14.0	1.15
Gerald Wallace	20	18	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.03	-14	7	-21	15.0	13.6	1.35	14.9	14.7	0.16
Marcus Smart	62	63	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.26	-5	-2	-3	14.2	13.4	0.79	15.9	13.3	2.54
Jae Crowder	64	65	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.39	-6	-1	-5	13.4	14.5	-1.11	14.7	14.9	-0.23
Brandon Bass	83	82	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.48	-5	-2	-3	14.3	12.8	1.43	15.5	12.6	2.98

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Young	54	54	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.35	15	-8	23	15.4	14.2	1.19	14.0	13.8	0.25
Wesley Johnson	67	67	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.25	15	-8	23	15.1	14.2	0.84	13.9	13.8	0.08
Jeremy Lin	64	64	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.34	11	-4	15	14.8	14.6	0.21	13.3	14.7	-1.33
Ronnie Price	36	39	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.34	10	-3	13	16.1	14.1	2.05	13.2	14.3	-1.14
Carlos Boozer	61	61	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.26	3	4	-1	13.8	15.9	-2.12	13.5	14.4	-0.89
Ed Davis	56	54	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.04	10	-3	13	14.9	14.6	0.38	14.0	13.8	0.14
Tarik Black	8	9	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	9	-11	12.1	15.0	-2.84	14.0	13.9	0.12
Wayne Ellington	66	66	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.02	-1	8	-9	13.7	16.3	-2.65	14.1	13.6	0.53
Jordan Hill	40	39	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.08	-2	9	-11	14.8	14.7	0.07	14.2	13.7	0.48
Robert Sacre	23	24	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	-0.01	-7	14	-21	15.9	14.5	1.40	14.6	13.7	0.88
Ryan Kelly	44	44	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.01	-8	15	-23	14.4	15.0	-0.58	14.1	13.8	0.33
Jordan Clarkson	36	34	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.01	-9	16	-25	15.2	14.5	0.69	14.6	13.6	1.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.51,0.53,0.64,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.83,0.93,0.98,0.96,1,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.95,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 119, CLE 126	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.48,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.38,0.32,0.47,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.84,0.67,0.72,0.46,0.53,0.63,0.9,0.96,1	89.5%
CHH 109, NYK 112	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.27,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.26,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.31,0.6,0.82,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.54,0.69,0.78,0.76,0.92,1	88.7%
LAL 109, NYK 113	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.39,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.54,0.8,0.74,0.9,0.96,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.86,0.95,1	88.7%