NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	90		Excitement	5.2 [762]		MVP	Maurice Taylor (LAC): +14.0%
Los Angeles Clippers	102		Comeback	1.0 [903]		LVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (VAN): -15.2%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Dickerson	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.02	0.02	15	64%	0.08	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Dennis Scott	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	4	40%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brent Price	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	6	62%	0.06	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Cherokee Parks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Felipe Lopez	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Obinna Ekezie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	6	56%	-0.01	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Bryant Reeves	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	6	21%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Othella Harrington	-0.13	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	0.01	12	47%	-0.08	2	-0.06	8	62%	-0.03
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.05	-0.03	21	47%	0.00	5	-0.16	9	67%	-0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.02	-0.02	20	62%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	11	59%	0.06	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.04
Tyrone Nesby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	8	60%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Eric Murdock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	15	56%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	5	80%	0.09	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Avent	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	16	44%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	3.4	31.3	14.8	26.3	2.3	35.3	136.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +38.5%

VAN -1.1%

VAN -3.6%

LAC +20.2%

VAN -4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	LAC	NBA	VAN	LAC	NBA
this game	15.1	16.4	15.2	96.8	113.3	101.7
season	15.9	15.6		99.5	95.5
opponent	14.3	15.0		107.1	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	15.8	15.8	14.0	14.8	15.1
LAC	16.2	13.6	16.7	19.7	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Obinna Ekezie	10	9	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.05	2	-14	16	14.9	15.1	-0.23	15.4	16.5	-1.05
Felipe Lopez	14	14	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-12	12	14.9	15.2	-0.29	13.0	17.0	-4.01
Brent Price	29	29	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-12	12	15.2	15.0	0.19	15.0	17.0	-2.05
Dennis Scott	40	38	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.16	2	-14	16	14.4	15.6	-1.15	16.6	16.3	0.28
Bryant Reeves	36	37	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-7	2	15.5	14.9	0.60	15.1	17.3	-2.22
Cherokee Parks	38	38	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-7	2	15.4	14.9	0.53	16.9	16.0	0.88
Mike Bibby	64	61	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	0	-12	15.0	15.2	-0.19	17.0	15.0	2.05
Othella Harrington	73	70	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.00	-16	4	-20	15.1	15.1	0.01	16.3	16.6	-0.34
Michael Dickerson	79	76	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.13	-12	0	-12	15.2	14.9	0.29	17.0	13.0	4.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	82	78	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.09	-14	2	-16	15.1	14.8	0.33	16.9	13.3	3.53

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Taylor	79	82	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.10	15	-3	18	16.7	14.1	2.62	15.0	15.7	-0.70
Troy Hudson	72	75	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.09	14	-2	16	17.1	13.7	3.40	15.3	14.4	0.89
Michael Olowokandi	59	62	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.05	13	-1	14	17.2	14.8	2.41	15.5	14.4	1.13
Tyrone Nesby	53	55	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.08	7	5	2	16.8	15.7	1.12	14.4	16.1	-1.64
Lamar Odom	45	49	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.04	8	4	4	16.5	16.2	0.29	15.7	14.5	1.20
Derek Anderson	65	68	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.15	2	10	-8	16.4	16.4	-0.02	15.0	15.5	-0.51
Eric Piatkowski	25	23	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.16	0	12	-12	15.3	16.8	-1.48	15.3	15.0	0.32
Eric Murdock	10	9	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.07	5	7	-2	11.1	17.0	-5.95	15.1	15.1	0.00
Brian Skinner	36	36	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.14	-3	15	-18	14.5	17.6	-3.10	14.7	15.4	-0.67
Anthony Avent	6	6	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.02	-1	13	-14	15.2	16.5	-1.31	14.8	15.1	-0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.76,0.76,0.78,0.83,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.95,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 92, SAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.62,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.79,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.87,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	95.2%
SAC 96, SEA 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.72,0.73,0.66,0.68,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
WAS 95, ORL 112	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.89,0.91,0.97,0.95,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%