NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	92		Excitement	5.2 [793]		MVP	Tony Parker (SAS): +19.7%
San Antonio Spurs	100		Comeback	1.0 [1299]		LVP	Eddy Curry (NYK): -10.3%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nate Robinson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	9	59%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
David Lee	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Quentin Richardson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.03	0.02	16	58%	0.05	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Renaldo Balkman	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mardy Collins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	12	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	17	49%	-0.03	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Malik Rose	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	3	12%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Eddy Curry	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.02	0.04	9	56%	0.01	5	-0.11	9	56%	-0.02

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.18	0.02	0.00	17	72%	0.24	2	-0.05	12	75%	-0.02
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	58%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	5	82%	0.11	5	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	16	55%	0.09	4	-0.10	12	33%	-0.09
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	6	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fabricio Oberto	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	10%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	9	43%	-0.03	4	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.8	1.8	30.0	14.8	30.9	2.7	30.3	139.2
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +41.3%

NYK -4.4%

SAS +14.4%

NYK -6.0%

SAS +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	SAS	NBA	NYK	SAS	NBA
this game	14.4	14.8	15.4	93.9	101.0	104.5
season	15.7	16.2		103.7	107.5
opponent	15.4	15.4		98.9	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.5	14.6	14.0	12.7	14.4
SAS	14.2	13.6	14.8	16.6	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mardy Collins	1	2	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.02	0	-8	8	1.0	14.6	-13.58	4.0	15.0	-11.02
Renaldo Balkman	13	13	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-6	4	17.7	13.9	3.75	12.4	15.2	-2.78
Malik Rose	40	40	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.23	1	-9	10	13.7	15.0	-1.29	14.9	14.7	0.21
David Lee	48	48	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-9	10	14.4	14.5	-0.13	14.3	15.2	-0.90
Nate Robinson	51	52	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.29	2	-10	12	13.2	15.8	-2.59	14.6	15.1	-0.51
Channing Frye	26	27	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.11	-12	4	-16	15.9	13.9	2.02	15.2	14.7	0.53
Eddy Curry	62	62	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	-1	-6	15.1	13.3	1.79	15.0	14.5	0.50
Quentin Richardson	81	82	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.23	-6	-2	-4	14.2	15.5	-1.25	15.3	12.3	3.02
Stephon Marbury	81	80	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.15	-10	2	-12	14.9	12.4	2.45	14.9	14.4	0.53
Jamal Crawford	87	89	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.25	-7	-1	-6	14.1	17.0	-2.89	14.9	13.8	1.11

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	68	67	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.01	13	-5	18	14.9	14.5	0.46	15.0	13.3	1.63
Manu Ginobili	52	52	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.03	12	-4	16	13.6	16.1	-2.57	15.2	13.5	1.69
Tony Parker	72	72	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.00	12	-4	16	15.2	13.8	1.35	14.5	14.2	0.34
Brent Barry	39	38	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.30	0	8	-8	15.1	14.6	0.54	13.0	15.3	-2.35
Beno Udrih	36	34	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.29	-2	10	-12	14.4	15.0	-0.60	14.0	14.7	-0.72
Michael Finley	43	43	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	4	0	14.0	15.4	-1.33	14.3	14.5	-0.24
Bruce Bowen	72	71	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	3	2	15.7	12.4	3.34	14.5	14.2	0.30
Robert Horry	22	22	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.04	7	1	6	13.2	15.3	-2.08	14.9	14.3	0.55
Fabricio Oberto	36	36	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	3	2	14.8	14.8	0.01	15.2	14.0	1.24
Francisco Elson	47	48	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.25	-4	12	-16	14.5	15.1	-0.55	14.1	14.7	-0.61
Matt Bonner	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	13	-18	20.2	14.6	5.68	8.7	14.6	-5.95
Jacque Vaughn	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	15	-22	20.2	14.6	5.68	10.2	14.6	-4.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.62,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.79,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.87,0.96,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 90, LAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.76,0.76,0.78,0.83,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.95,1,1,1,1	95.2%
WAS 83, ORL 91	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.97,1,0.99,1	94.8%
MIN 95, WAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.78,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.81,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%