NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	96		Excitement	5.1 [787]		MVP	Sam Perkins (SEA): +15.0%
Seattle SuperSonics	108		Comeback	1.0 [1010]		LVP	Corliss Williamson (SAC): -14.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lionel Simmons	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Smith	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.02	5	67%	0.04	0	0.00	8	50%	0.01
Tyus Edney	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	6	69%	0.06	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Bobby Hurley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	11	45%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Duane Causwell	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	18	61%	0.09	6	-0.13	8	87%	0.02
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	10	48%	0.02	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Billy Owens	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	0.00	10	42%	-0.07	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.05	0.01	3	64%	0.03	5	-0.18	5	100%	0.02

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.02	0.00	6	100%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	9	52%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	5	40%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wingate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Ehlo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	3	58%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	14	56%	0.02	1	-0.04	6	67%	0.00
Larry Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	87%	0.02	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	0.03	11	53%	-0.04	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Shawn Kemp	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	18	53%	0.04	4	-0.10	11	82%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	0.8	28.4	18.0	30.3	2.0	32.1	135.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +10.8%

SEA +3.7%

SEA +3.8%

SEA +32.6%

SAC -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	SEA	NBA	SAC	SEA	NBA
this game	14.9	15.4	15.6	99.0	116.1	104.4
season	15.4	14.9		102.4	108.9
opponent	16.2	15.4		100.8	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.6	16.8	15.4	13.0	14.9
SEA	18.1	15.8	12.8	15.2	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Hurley	2	3	0.00	-0.49	0.49	0.00	0	-12	12	8.5	15.1	-6.58	13.0	15.5	-2.46
Corliss Williamson	39	36	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.15	2	-14	16	13.0	16.3	-3.26	16.2	14.9	1.33
Tyus Edney	43	39	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.11	0	-12	12	12.8	16.7	-3.92	15.8	15.1	0.72
Michael Smith	62	56	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-10	8	15.1	14.7	0.46	15.4	15.3	0.18
Duane Causwell	28	29	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.02	-7	-5	-2	14.4	15.2	-0.73	15.6	15.3	0.25
Lionel Simmons	31	29	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.06	-6	-6	0	13.4	15.7	-2.34	16.0	15.1	0.86
Billy Owens	66	63	-0.34	-0.15	-0.19	-0.05	-10	-2	-8	15.6	13.6	2.01	14.9	16.5	-1.61
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	72	70	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.14	-8	-4	-4	16.1	11.5	4.62	15.6	14.6	1.02
Olden Polynice	65	66	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.04	-13	1	-14	16.3	12.2	4.07	15.0	16.2	-1.19
Mitch Richmond	77	74	-0.50	0.01	-0.52	-0.04	-16	4	-20	15.2	13.9	1.32	15.0	16.8	-1.78

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Detlef Schrempf	69	73	0.76	-0.26	1.02	-0.01	26	-14	40	15.2	15.8	-0.62	16.0	11.6	4.42
Hersey Hawkins	61	63	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.05	22	-10	32	15.1	15.8	-0.71	16.2	12.6	3.68
Gary Payton	73	77	0.44	0.05	0.39	0.03	14	-2	16	15.1	16.5	-1.43	15.0	14.7	0.31
Jim McIlvaine	54	53	0.31	0.18	0.13	0.02	10	2	8	14.6	16.4	-1.74	16.2	13.5	2.73
Sam Perkins	39	44	0.18	0.31	-0.13	0.12	2	10	-8	16.4	14.6	1.74	13.5	16.2	-2.73
Shawn Kemp	66	66	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.17	-1	13	-14	15.8	14.4	1.37	15.7	13.4	2.34
Larry Stewart	21	26	0.08	0.41	-0.33	0.02	2	10	-8	16.2	15.1	1.05	12.5	15.8	-3.35
Craig Ehlo	41	42	0.06	0.43	-0.37	0.24	-6	18	-24	15.4	15.3	0.07	13.4	16.1	-2.76
Eric Snow	31	34	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	15	-18	16.7	14.7	2.00	12.8	16.1	-3.27
Greg Graham	3	2	0.00	0.49	-0.49	0.00	0	12	-12	13.0	15.5	-2.46	8.5	15.1	-6.58
David Wingate	7	5	-0.12	0.61	-0.73	0.06	-6	18	-24	11.0	15.7	-4.73	14.8	15.0	-0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.72,0.73,0.66,0.68,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 90, LAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.76,0.76,0.78,0.83,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.95,1,1,1,1	95.2%
HOU 82, PHX 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.76,0.8,0.82,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.71,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.95,0.93,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
GSW 71, NYK 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.69,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%