NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	95		Excitement	4.6 [882]		MVP	Pat Garrity (ORL): +14.7%
Orlando Magic	112		Comeback	1.0 [965]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (WAS): -14.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Christian Laettner	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.01	6	69%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	5	67%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brian Cardinal	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.05	4	87%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	70%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kwame Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	5	57%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Larry Hughes	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	10	62%	0.07	6	-0.13	4	100%	0.02
Michael Jordan	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	17	54%	0.03	4	-0.10	5	100%	0.03
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.16	-0.02	-0.04	15	43%	-0.07	4	-0.07	12	83%	0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.01	-0.01	14	68%	0.15	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Mike Miller	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.02	0.03	14	69%	0.11	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.11	0.01	0.07	18	71%	0.09	3	-0.03	9	89%	0.02
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	3	80%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Olumide Oyedeji	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Humphrey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	67%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Jeryl Sasser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	5	38%	-0.02	3	-0.05	3	33%	-0.03
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.01	0.01	8	33%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.4	31.4	16.7	32.3	2.4	28.3	139.5
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +29.6%

ORL +0.3%

ORL +1.5%

ORL +13.2%

ORL +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	ORL	NBA	WAS	ORL	NBA
this game	15.6	15.0	15.5	101.1	119.1	101.6
season	16.5	14.6		100.9	102.7
opponent	15.8	15.5		103.1	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.6	16.3	15.5	16.3	15.6
ORL	14.8	15.0	14.0	16.4	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cardinal	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-17	17	14.5	15.6	-1.14	20.0	14.9	5.09
Bobby Simmons	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-17	17	14.5	15.6	-1.14	20.0	14.9	5.09
Christian Laettner	62	60	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-14	11	14.8	17.2	-2.33	15.0	15.1	-0.06
Brendan Haywood	30	29	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.02	-5	-12	7	16.1	15.4	0.76	15.0	15.0	0.02
Tyronn Lue	44	45	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.07	-8	-9	1	15.1	16.1	-0.95	15.1	15.0	0.09
Kwame Brown	39	40	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.00	-9	-8	-1	16.2	15.2	1.05	15.0	15.1	-0.08
Michael Jordan	74	74	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.14	-9	-8	-1	16.4	12.6	3.77	14.9	15.5	-0.61
Bryon Russell	53	54	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.00	-15	-2	-13	15.9	15.3	0.62	15.4	14.6	0.78
Larry Hughes	85	84	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.02	-16	-1	-15	15.5	16.6	-1.04	15.2	13.1	2.15
Jerry Stackhouse	79	80	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.05	-20	3	-23	15.3	17.5	-2.28	14.4	18.4	-3.92

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Miller	79	77	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.00	17	0	17	14.7	16.8	-2.12	16.1	13.5	2.55
Tracy McGrady	83	83	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.00	16	1	15	15.2	13.6	1.57	15.4	17.2	-1.77
Darrell Armstrong	64	65	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.04	14	3	11	14.7	15.7	-1.05	15.5	15.9	-0.40
Pat Garrity	72	71	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.06	10	7	3	14.8	15.8	-1.04	15.2	16.9	-1.72
Shawn Kemp	44	45	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.01	8	9	-1	14.7	15.3	-0.60	16.3	15.0	1.33
Jacque Vaughn	39	38	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.07	10	7	3	15.4	14.8	0.58	15.9	15.4	0.47
Olumide Oyedeji	22	22	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.00	5	12	-7	15.8	14.8	1.04	16.7	15.3	1.45
Andrew DeClercq	28	28	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	15	-13	14.7	15.2	-0.49	14.7	16.0	-1.23
Jeryl Sasser	35	37	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.01	3	14	-11	15.7	14.6	1.06	15.1	15.9	-0.79
Pat Burke	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	17	-17	20.0	14.9	5.09	14.5	15.6	-1.14
Ryan Humphrey	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	17	-17	20.0	14.9	5.09	14.5	15.6	-1.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.89,0.91,0.97,0.95,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 103, GSW 122	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.86,0.84,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.78,0.87,0.81,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
WAS 71, MIA 99	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.89,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.87,0.89,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
UTA 85, CHI 92	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.99,1	95.6%