NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	85		Excitement	4.4 [943]		MVP	Derrick Rose (CHI): +11.9%
Chicago Bulls	92		Comeback	1.0 [876]		LVP	Gordon Hayward (UTA): -8.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raul Neto	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.00	0.00	5	90%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	17	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Derrick Favors	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0	0.05	-0.02	0.03	18	59%	0.07	3	-0.07	5	40%	-0.03
Trevor Booker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	11	58%	0.03	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Chris Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	37%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Rudy Gobert	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	7	21%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	13	35%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.01	-0.01	15	73%	0.18	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.03	0.01	9	79%	0.14	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.03	-0.02	12	54%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.01	7	53%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	9	39%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	14	43%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Cristiano Felicio	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	3	14%	-0.03	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.3	24.5	16.8	23.2	2.5	28.3	119.1
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +40.6%

CHI +4.9%

CHI +1.7%

CHI +0.1%

CHI +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	CHI	NBA	UTA	CHI	NBA
this game	16.7	17.0	14.9	98.8	108.2	105.1
season	16.3	14.8		104.6	103.7
opponent	14.9	15.0		105.1	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.6	17.9	14.7	16.5	16.7
CHI	17.5	14.9	18.0	17.8	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Johnson	24	23	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.16	4	-11	15	14.0	17.7	-3.64	16.9	17.1	-0.15
Trevor Booker	21	21	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-7	7	17.3	16.4	0.89	17.1	17.0	0.10
Raul Neto	24	24	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-6	5	15.1	17.3	-2.19	15.7	17.6	-1.89
Joe Ingles	30	31	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.14	0	-7	7	18.1	15.9	2.26	16.4	17.4	-1.00
Trey Lyles	26	26	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	-3	-1	15.5	17.2	-1.72	17.0	17.0	0.02
Derrick Favors	62	63	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.30	-1	-6	5	16.6	16.9	-0.29	18.0	14.2	3.77
Shelvin Mack	59	58	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.21	-5	-2	-3	17.1	15.7	1.40	17.3	16.4	0.85
Rudy Gobert	51	48	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.04	-14	7	-21	17.3	15.7	1.55	15.4	19.2	-3.84
Gordon Hayward	66	66	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.28	-6	-1	-5	16.4	17.6	-1.22	17.5	15.4	2.13
Rodney Hood	67	65	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.22	-8	1	-9	17.3	14.6	2.67	17.4	15.8	1.60

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jimmy Butler	56	58	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.24	5	2	3	17.7	15.7	2.08	17.1	15.8	1.25
Taj Gibson	54	55	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.20	6	1	5	17.4	16.4	0.95	16.9	16.2	0.68
Derrick Rose	53	52	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.21	5	2	3	17.8	15.7	2.19	16.9	16.3	0.56
Mike Dunleavy	45	45	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.09	7	0	7	17.4	16.5	0.89	16.4	17.0	-0.60
Cristiano Felicio	20	21	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.04	9	-2	11	18.1	16.7	1.47	17.5	16.4	1.08
Bobby Portis	36	36	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.10	4	3	1	16.4	17.5	-1.15	16.6	16.7	-0.04
Doug McDermott	40	41	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.20	0	7	-7	16.5	17.4	-0.89	17.0	16.4	0.60
Nikola Mirotic	60	60	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.34	-5	12	-17	16.7	17.7	-0.99	16.2	17.8	-1.64
Aaron Brooks	32	34	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	5	-3	15.7	17.8	-2.19	16.3	16.9	-0.56
Justin Holiday	29	28	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	5	-3	15.7	17.7	-2.08	15.8	17.1	-1.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 87, MEM 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.77,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.77,0.82,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.95,1	96.1%
CHA 80, MIA 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
BOS 84, MIA 100	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.67,0.73,0.86,0.91,0.87,0.89,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.92,0.85,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%