NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	71		Excitement	4.3 [974]		MVP	Mike Miller (MIA): +19.3%
Miami Heat	99		Comeback	1.0 [1305]		LVP	Garrett Temple (WAS): -16.9%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cartier Martin	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.03	0.00	8	81%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.00	-0.03	4	87%	0.08	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jan Vesely	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.04	11	42%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Singleton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	6	29%	-0.01	1	-0.00	5	60%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Seraphin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	15	44%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Crawford	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	7	14%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.02	-0.04	14	29%	-0.06	1	-0.04	3	0%	-0.02
Garrett Temple	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.03	-0.03	7	0%	-0.09	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.15	0.04	-0.00	5	100%	0.19	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.18	0.02	0.08	12	80%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.01	0.03	17	63%	0.13	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.03	0.01	11	63%	0.12	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
James Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	0.01	14	48%	0.04	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	7	29%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.02	7	31%	-0.02	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	5	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.8	27.1	15.6	21.6	1.7	25.6	118.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +32.3%

MIA +15.7%

MIA +7.9%

WAS -4.3%

WAS -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	MIA	NBA	WAS	MIA	NBA
this game	15.8	18.2	15.4	84.5	116.5	104.1
season	15.1	15.7		98.8	110.2
opponent	15.9	15.7		102.4	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.2	17.4	15.8	15.0	15.8
MIA	16.1	18.6	19.2	19.3	18.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Singleton	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-23	18	18.0	15.8	2.23	20.3	18.2	2.16
Jan Vesely	30	29	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.10	-1	-27	26	16.1	15.6	0.49	20.0	17.3	2.71
Shelvin Mack	28	28	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.16	-10	-18	8	17.4	15.1	2.30	19.0	17.9	1.18
Jordan Crawford	24	25	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-24	20	17.6	15.1	2.47	18.2	18.2	-0.01
Emeka Okafor	35	36	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.03	-6	-22	16	15.3	16.2	-0.97	17.2	19.0	-1.78
Martell Webster	47	47	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.18	-15	-13	-2	14.9	17.0	-2.15	17.7	18.9	-1.27
Kevin Seraphin	55	55	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.22	-17	-11	-6	15.9	15.6	0.31	17.5	19.6	-2.14
Cartier Martin	43	44	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.39	-24	-4	-20	15.7	15.9	-0.16	19.0	17.5	1.51
Bradley Beal	63	61	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.38	-24	-4	-20	15.6	16.6	-1.06	18.0	18.8	-0.82
Nene	37	39	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.14	-16	-12	-4	16.4	15.3	1.09	18.9	17.7	1.15
Garrett Temple	56	58	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.16	-18	-10	-8	15.1	17.4	-2.30	17.9	18.9	-0.94

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	62	63	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.30	26	2	24	17.8	19.5	-1.69	15.2	17.8	-2.65
Chris Bosh	58	58	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.08	12	16	-4	17.2	20.4	-3.17	15.9	15.7	0.24
Dwyane Wade	54	53	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.25	23	5	18	17.9	18.9	-1.08	14.8	17.5	-2.69
Mario Chalmers	47	47	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.07	7	21	-14	17.3	19.4	-2.17	15.0	16.8	-1.77
Udonis Haslem	53	51	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.38	21	7	14	18.2	18.3	-0.05	15.1	16.9	-1.74
Norris Cole	32	31	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.08	10	18	-8	19.2	17.6	1.61	17.4	14.9	2.43
Ray Allen	40	40	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.38	19	9	10	19.5	17.1	2.41	17.0	14.8	2.20
Mike Miller	38	38	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.34	16	12	4	18.6	18.0	0.60	16.1	15.6	0.47
Joel Anthony	8	8	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	25	-22	19.2	18.1	1.11	16.5	15.7	0.75
Shane Battier	30	29	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.13	-2	30	-32	19.7	17.4	2.30	17.5	14.9	2.54
James Jones	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	23	-18	20.3	18.2	2.16	18.0	15.8	2.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.89,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.87,0.89,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 95, ORL 112	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.89,0.91,0.97,0.95,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
CLE 103, GSW 122	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.86,0.84,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.78,0.87,0.81,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
CHA 80, MIA 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%