NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	79		Excitement	7.1 [399]		MVP	Cedric Ceballos (DAL): +6.2%
Utah Jazz	85		Comeback	1.8 [856]		LVP	Michael Finley (DAL): -37.0%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cedric Ceballos	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.06,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.06	-0.00	19	47%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Bradley	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.02	0.03	9	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sean Rooks	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Hubert Davis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Hughes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Damon Jones	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	4	40%	0.00	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.13,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	14	50%	0.02	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Michael Finley	-0.37	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.23,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25,-0.31,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.37	-0.27	-0.13	-0.03	21	25%	-0.26	5	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.04	0.01	5	92%	0.17	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	7	57%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.05,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	24	57%	0.15	6	-0.16	3	100%	0.01
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	3	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.03	-0.01	15	38%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	0.01	10	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.15	-0.01	-0.01	9	35%	0.01	5	-0.16	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	1.7	27.0	15.5	24.6	2.5	28.5	127.2
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +47.3%

DAL -1.2%

UTA +18.1%

DAL -14.8%

UTA +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	UTA	NBA	DAL	UTA	NBA
this game	16.4	15.3	15.2	86.8	93.4	101.7
season	14.8	16.3		104.2	104.5
opponent	15.2	14.8		100.6	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	17.3	16.0	18.3	13.8	16.4
UTA	14.0	14.1	14.2	19.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rick Hughes	27	26	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.04	5	-11	16	16.1	16.5	-0.43	15.0	15.4	-0.38
Robert Pack	23	23	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.02	3	-9	12	17.3	16.0	1.30	14.0	15.7	-1.76
Shawn Bradley	46	44	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.17	-4	-2	-2	16.7	16.0	0.65	15.4	15.1	0.30
Damon Jones	30	32	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.06	-8	2	-10	16.9	16.1	0.83	14.3	15.8	-1.48
Hubert Davis	48	48	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.31	0	-6	6	15.2	17.6	-2.38	16.9	13.5	3.43
Cedric Ceballos	58	56	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.26	-4	-2	-2	15.7	17.5	-1.74	15.9	14.3	1.61
Dirk Nowitzki	78	79	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.28	-4	-2	-2	16.0	18.8	-2.79	15.7	12.7	2.91
Michael Finley	85	86	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.29	-8	2	-10	16.6	13.8	2.72	15.1	18.0	-2.88
Sean Rooks	60	61	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.27	-10	4	-14	17.4	14.4	2.96	14.2	17.5	-3.37

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryon Russell	76	75	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.31	14	-8	22	15.3	15.1	0.25	16.4	16.2	0.23
Olden Polynice	38	38	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.39	11	-5	16	15.1	15.4	-0.25	17.6	15.5	2.16
John Stockton	44	43	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.39	9	-3	12	15.2	15.3	-0.05	17.0	15.8	1.14
Karl Malone	74	74	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.33	10	-4	14	14.7	17.8	-3.13	16.8	14.4	2.48
Howard Eisley	62	62	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.26	2	4	-2	15.9	14.0	1.87	15.4	18.4	-2.99
Jeff Hornacek	49	49	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	2	2	13.6	17.2	-3.60	17.2	15.5	1.71
Jacque Vaughn	15	14	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.01	5	1	4	15.5	15.2	0.31	16.2	16.4	-0.19
Greg Ostertag	36	37	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	10	-14	15.9	14.8	1.11	16.1	16.5	-0.40
Scott Padgett	15	16	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.02	-8	14	-22	15.1	15.3	-0.25	16.2	16.4	-0.23
Quincy Lewis	12	14	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	-0.03	-8	14	-22	18.7	14.7	4.00	16.1	16.4	-0.27
Adam Keefe	34	33	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.13	-5	11	-16	16.0	14.8	1.16	14.2	17.6	-3.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.79,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.81,0.82,0.72,0.58,0.41,0.4,0.61,0.69,0.85,0.78,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 95, BOS 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.77,0.81,0.73,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.8,0.63,0.47,0.54,0.67,0.61,0.84,0.9,0.96,1	93.4%
CHH 66, CLE 71	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.81,0.81,0.77,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.82,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.79,0.58,0.53,0.66,0.6,0.75,0.78,0.9,0.95,1	92.2%
NJN 92, LAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.5,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.65,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.73,0.93,0.97,0.86,0.96,1	92.2%