NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	95		Excitement	6.6 [489]		MVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): +33.8%
Boston Celtics	104		Comeback	1.3 [848]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -24.6%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Christian Laettner	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.2,0.2	0.19	0.04	0.02	17	78%	0.22	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Tyronn Lue	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	6	58%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.01	14	59%	0.11	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Bobby Simmons	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Nesby	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	4	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	5	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Courtney Alexander	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Popeye Jones	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	1	50%	0.01	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Michael Jordan	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	26	52%	0.02	5	-0.17	10	80%	0.04

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.34	0.34	0.18	0.18	0.02	15	79%	0.38	1	-0.04	9	89%	0.03
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.04	-0.00	15	53%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.06	-0.01	4	40%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	14	57%	0.14	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.03
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	5	77%	0.09	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	9	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.08	-0.16	0.01	16	44%	-0.12	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.8	27.3	20.3	24.4	2.8	37.3	141.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +38.4%

BOS +2.7%

BOS +10.7%

WAS -1.8%

BOS +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	BOS	NBA	WAS	BOS	NBA
this game	16.4	15.8	15.6	106.7	115.6	102.3
season	16.5	15.0		102.2	100.9
opponent	15.7	15.3		98.8	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.6	16.1	17.3	16.7	16.4
BOS	15.1	17.4	15.4	15.3	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Simmons	22	22	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	-5	1	14.9	16.9	-2.02	17.0	15.3	1.71
Tyronn Lue	37	38	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.07	-3	-6	3	16.8	16.2	0.61	16.9	14.9	2.02
Tyrone Nesby	46	46	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.04	-5	-4	-1	16.9	15.9	1.05	15.2	16.3	-1.10
Chris Whitney	51	53	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.07	-6	-3	-3	15.9	17.1	-1.23	14.7	17.2	-2.48
Popeye Jones	38	39	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.18	-3	-6	3	16.2	16.6	-0.47	16.2	15.4	0.75
Courtney Alexander	43	44	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.17	-4	-5	1	16.4	16.4	0.03	16.9	14.6	2.30
Richard Hamilton	62	62	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.13	-8	-1	-7	16.5	16.4	0.08	14.6	18.3	-3.72
Christian Laettner	71	70	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.34	-4	-5	1	16.8	15.1	1.65	16.0	14.8	1.16
Michael Jordan	75	76	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.23	-8	-1	-7	16.5	15.9	0.68	15.6	16.4	-0.71

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	64	64	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.17	14	-5	19	15.7	16.0	-0.34	17.1	14.8	2.32
Tony Battie	60	60	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.16	13	-4	17	15.3	16.6	-1.22	16.8	15.6	1.25
Antoine Walker	90	89	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.24	9	0	9	15.8	0.0	15.76	16.4	0.0	16.43
Kenny Anderson	57	57	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.17	6	3	3	16.1	15.2	0.81	17.1	15.3	1.79
Paul Pierce	78	77	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.22	2	7	-5	15.9	14.7	1.26	16.4	16.9	-0.57
Milt Palacio	33	32	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	6	-3	15.2	16.1	-0.81	15.3	17.1	-1.79
Erick Strickland	39	38	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	7	-5	15.4	16.0	-0.65	15.4	17.2	-1.80
Mark Blount	29	28	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.08	-4	13	-17	16.9	15.2	1.63	15.7	16.8	-1.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.77,0.81,0.73,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.8,0.63,0.47,0.54,0.67,0.61,0.84,0.9,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 79, UTA 85	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.79,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.81,0.82,0.72,0.58,0.41,0.4,0.61,0.69,0.85,0.78,0.95,1	93.4%
MIL 88, CHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.67,0.79,0.77,0.85,0.86,0.73,0.77,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.85,0.9,1	92.8%
DEN 102, MIL 108	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.42,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.68,0.85,0.92,0.86,0.83,0.77,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.93,0.99,0.99,1	92.6%