NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	66		Excitement	7.1 [369]		MVP	Hersey Hawkins (CHH): +7.0%
Cleveland Cavaliers	71		Comeback	1.6 [575]		LVP	Jamal Mashburn (CHH): -32.4%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hersey Hawkins	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	4	75%	0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tim James	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	7	37%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
David Wesley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.04	-0.00	13	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lee Nailon	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	3	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
P.J. Brown	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	-0.28	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.28	-0.13	-0.15	-0.00	17	38%	-0.16	2	-0.12	8	75%	0.00
Baron Davis	-0.29	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.29	-0.14	-0.16	-0.00	14	32%	-0.15	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	-0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.23,-0.29,-0.32	-0.17	-0.19	-0.03	17	24%	-0.29	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trajan Langdon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	5	60%	0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	8	39%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	0.01	-0.09	0.01	15	62%	0.06	4	-0.14	2	50%	-0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	8	33%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	13	38%	-0.02	2	-0.07	3	33%	-0.07
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	10	36%	-0.05	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	12	32%	-0.13	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	19.8	1.6	25.8	14.6	27.5	1.5	29.5	120.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +42.2%

CHH -6.3%

CLE +16.8%

CHH -5.9%

CLE +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	CLE	NBA	CHH	CLE	NBA
this game	16.3	16.6	15.5	75.0	81.6	100.9
season	15.8	15.3		99.7	98.4
opponent	15.6	15.6		102.6	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	16.5	17.1	15.0	16.7	16.3
CLE	15.5	18.1	16.4	16.8	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lee Nailon	24	24	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.05	7	-12	19	13.8	17.2	-3.39	18.2	16.0	2.13
Hersey Hawkins	30	30	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.00	4	-9	13	14.8	17.1	-2.32	17.0	16.4	0.53
Tim James	20	19	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.06	5	-10	15	15.6	16.5	-0.84	17.4	16.4	1.02
Baron Davis	77	77	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.35	5	-10	15	16.4	15.5	0.96	17.0	13.8	3.19
Elden Campbell	56	55	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.29	2	-7	9	16.2	16.4	-0.17	17.0	16.0	1.03
Jamaal Magloire	32	32	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.06	-7	2	-9	16.4	16.2	0.17	16.0	17.0	-1.03
Jamal Mashburn	68	68	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.30	-10	5	-15	16.5	15.6	0.84	16.4	17.4	-1.02
P.J. Brown	64	63	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.30	-12	7	-19	17.2	13.8	3.39	16.0	18.2	-2.13
David Wesley	69	67	-0.90	0.40	-1.31	-0.35	-19	14	-33	16.8	14.4	2.46	16.0	18.5	-2.51

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Harpring	69	70	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.42	11	-6	17	16.0	18.8	-2.79	16.5	15.7	0.79
Andre Miller	69	69	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.33	11	-6	17	16.3	17.9	-1.60	16.4	16.1	0.31
Clar. Weatherspoon	57	56	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.33	8	-3	11	16.6	16.6	0.08	16.8	15.4	1.35
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	56	55	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.35	-2	7	-9	16.3	17.2	-0.89	16.0	16.8	-0.88
Lamond Murray	64	65	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.28	0	5	-5	17.4	14.6	2.79	16.6	15.5	1.05
Chris Gatling	32	35	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.03	7	-2	9	17.1	16.3	0.75	17.1	15.7	1.41
Trajan Langdon	41	41	-0.01	0.52	-0.53	0.01	-1	6	-7	16.4	16.8	-0.34	15.6	16.9	-1.33
Robert Traylor	29	30	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.06	-3	8	-11	16.7	16.6	0.05	15.0	17.0	-1.97
Brevin Knight	18	19	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.02	-6	11	-17	17.9	16.3	1.60	16.1	16.4	-0.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.81,0.81,0.77,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.82,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.79,0.58,0.53,0.66,0.6,0.75,0.78,0.9,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 95, BOS 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.77,0.81,0.73,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.8,0.63,0.47,0.54,0.67,0.61,0.84,0.9,0.96,1	92.2%
DAL 79, UTA 85	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.79,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.81,0.82,0.72,0.58,0.41,0.4,0.61,0.69,0.85,0.78,0.95,1	92.2%
PHI 83, NYK 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.73,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.83,0.89,0.74,0.69,0.59,0.53,0.8,0.92,0.99,1,1	91.8%