NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	92		Excitement	6.9 [437]		MVP	Aaron Williams (NJN): +15.4%
Los Angeles Lakers	101		Comeback	1.7 [804]		LVP	Keith Van Horn (NJN): -17.9%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Williams	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.06	0.08	-0.01	8	68%	0.15	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Lucious Harris	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	12	55%	0.07	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.07
Donny Marshall	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kerry Kittles	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	11	46%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jason Collins	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	11	52%	-0.04	1	-0.02	7	43%	-0.06
Brian Scalabrine	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	25	37%	-0.10	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.01
Keith Van Horn	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18	-0.14	-0.05	-0.01	18	34%	-0.12	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.01	7	64%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.03	-0.04	10	57%	0.14	2	-0.10	8	75%	-0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.04	0.02	21	65%	0.13	4	-0.08	20	40%	-0.16
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.06	0.00	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Mitch Richmond	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.01	7	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	6	67%	0.08	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Slava Medvedenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.17	-0.01	-0.01	8	19%	-0.06	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.0	28.3	17.2	22.7	2.6	41.3	136.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +72.8%

NJN -12.8%

LAL +8.2%

NJN -22.1%

LAL +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	LAL	NBA	NJN	LAL	NBA
this game	14.9	15.5	15.6	96.8	107.4	102.3
season	14.7	15.3		101.4	106.9
opponent	15.4	16.0		99.8	98.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.6	15.6	16.4	13.2	14.9
LAL	15.4	15.0	15.6	16.1	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donny Marshall	18	18	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.05	-2	-7	5	15.9	14.7	1.24	17.3	15.1	2.15
Brian Scalabrine	26	25	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-7	5	15.0	14.9	0.09	17.4	14.9	2.53
Aaron Williams	54	53	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.21	-1	-8	7	14.2	15.9	-1.61	16.5	14.3	2.22
Jason Collins	40	40	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.03	-8	-1	-7	16.1	14.1	1.97	13.8	16.8	-3.03
Richard Jefferson	58	59	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.28	0	-9	9	14.4	15.7	-1.25	15.1	16.3	-1.18
Jason Kidd	86	85	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.29	-2	-7	5	14.8	16.4	-1.67	15.6	14.7	0.97
Lucious Harris	64	64	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.25	-4	-5	1	14.1	16.7	-2.58	16.1	14.4	1.63
Keith Van Horn	73	72	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.21	-7	-2	-5	15.0	14.8	0.21	15.4	16.0	-0.60
Kerry Kittles	56	54	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.06	-19	10	-29	16.1	13.3	2.81	14.4	17.1	-2.80

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	77	76	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.21	13	-4	17	14.8	18.7	-3.86	15.2	13.9	1.24
Derek Fisher	53	54	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.11	15	-6	21	15.4	15.7	-0.29	14.5	15.5	-0.93
Robert Horry	79	80	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.16	11	-2	13	15.3	17.0	-1.73	14.9	15.1	-0.23
Devean George	48	48	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.16	10	-1	11	15.6	15.5	0.08	14.4	15.5	-1.05
Mitch Richmond	42	42	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.06	4	5	-1	14.9	16.1	-1.20	15.8	14.3	1.52
Brian Shaw	27	29	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.02	3	6	-3	16.1	15.3	0.75	15.1	14.9	0.24
Mark Madsen	10	9	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	8	-7	15.4	15.6	-0.16	16.6	14.8	1.79
Rick Fox	46	47	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.08	-1	10	-11	15.5	15.6	-0.08	15.5	14.4	1.05
Jelani McCoy	16	18	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.01	2	7	-5	18.2	15.0	3.19	14.4	15.1	-0.61
Lindsey Hunter	41	41	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.13	-6	15	-21	15.7	15.4	0.29	15.5	14.5	0.93
Slava Medvedenko	6	7	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.07	-9	18	-27	21.3	15.1	6.19	11.9	15.2	-3.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.5,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.65,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.73,0.93,0.97,0.86,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 99, TOR 110	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.89,0.84,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.84,0.87,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.82,0.76,0.58,0.47,0.59,0.73,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,1	92.4%
NJN 104, SEA 113	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.88,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.59,0.76,0.61,0.81,0.89,0.95,0.99,1	92.3%
DAL 79, UTA 85	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.79,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.81,0.82,0.72,0.58,0.41,0.4,0.61,0.69,0.85,0.78,0.95,1	92.2%