NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	104		Excitement	6.6 [510]		MVP	Ray Allen (SEA): +40.7%
Seattle SuperSonics	113		Comeback	1.9 [907]		LVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): -15.9%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0.35	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.25	0.13	0.02	20	73%	0.38	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.04
Vince Carter	0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	19	60%	0.12	3	-0.06	10	70%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Zoran Planinic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	17	49%	0.04	4	-0.11	3	0%	-0.04
Jason Kidd	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	-0.00	10	23%	-0.13	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.41	0.41	0.29	0.17	0.05	20	78%	0.41	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.00	4	80%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	-0.00	14	57%	0.15	2	-0.05	7	71%	0.02
Robert Swift	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	8	74%	0.15	3	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.06	-0.01	8	61%	0.16	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	11	58%	0.06	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	7	19%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	1.7	27.1	16.7	26.2	2.5	34.5	134.3
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +70.5%

NJN -11.8%

NJN -5.7%

NJN -6.3%

SEA +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	SEA	NBA	NJN	SEA	NBA
this game	17.2	13.6	15.6	111.8	120.2	104.4
season	15.7	15.0		102.1	108.9
opponent	15.8	15.7		112.2	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	17.6	18.7	14.9	18.0	17.2
SEA	13.7	13.2	12.8	14.9	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zoran Planinic	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-11	13	12.0	17.2	-5.24	13.0	13.6	-0.65
Lamond Murray	10	8	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.02	-3	-6	3	15.0	17.4	-2.45	12.6	13.7	-1.11
Antoine Wright	8	9	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.02	-2	-7	5	18.0	17.1	0.89	14.6	13.5	1.01
Jason Collins	61	62	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-5	1	16.5	18.5	-2.06	13.8	13.2	0.59
Scott Padgett	14	14	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.01	-8	-1	-7	18.9	16.9	2.06	15.1	13.4	1.68
Clifford Robinson	47	49	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.14	-3	-6	3	16.4	17.9	-1.49	14.3	12.9	1.44
Jacque Vaughn	22	21	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.04	-8	-1	-7	18.6	16.7	1.90	15.6	13.1	2.49
Vince Carter	86	87	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.19	-4	-5	1	16.8	22.4	-5.67	13.4	16.1	-2.71
Jason Kidd	72	74	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.20	-4	-5	1	16.9	18.1	-1.24	13.2	15.4	-2.24
Nenad Krstic	62	61	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.32	-4	-5	1	18.3	14.9	3.42	12.7	15.4	-2.71
Richard Jefferson	82	84	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.24	-7	-2	-5	17.5	14.6	2.89	13.7	13.2	0.49

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damien Wilkins	43	43	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.15	19	-10	29	12.9	14.3	-1.35	17.4	17.0	0.35
Johan Petro	39	38	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.10	16	-7	23	13.6	13.6	0.00	17.4	17.0	0.36
Vladimir Radmanovic	64	65	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.16	11	-2	13	12.5	16.0	-3.52	17.9	15.5	2.36
Ray Allen	62	62	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.18	9	0	9	13.8	13.2	0.59	18.3	14.9	3.47
Luke Ridnour	81	81	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.22	4	5	-1	13.1	16.8	-3.72	16.7	20.4	-3.71
Ronald Murray	42	39	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	8	-7	14.9	12.7	2.20	16.0	18.1	-2.08
Nick Collison	30	28	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.08	-2	11	-13	16.0	12.5	3.52	15.5	17.9	-2.36
Robert Swift	55	55	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.13	-7	16	-23	13.6	13.6	-0.00	17.0	17.4	-0.36
Rashard Lewis	54	54	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.08	-6	15	-21	13.8	13.4	0.41	17.3	17.0	0.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.88,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.59,0.76,0.61,0.81,0.89,0.95,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 85, DAL 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.89,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.88,0.89,0.82,0.74,0.71,0.61,0.75,0.84,0.77,0.96,1	93.1%
HOU 103, TOR 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.33,0.28,0.32,0.4,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.74,0.76,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.86,0.94,0.98,1,1	92.6%
PHX 85, ATL 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.66,0.71,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.65,0.62,0.81,0.89,0.85,0.96,1	92.6%