NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	103		Excitement	6.2 [581]		MVP	DeMar DeRozan (TOR): +26.6%
Toronto Raptors	107		Comeback	2.5 [501]		LVP	Jeremy Lin (HOU): -18.3%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	-0.01	0.01	17	57%	0.11	1	-0.03	12	83%	-0.03
Omri Casspi	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.02	4	67%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Francisco Garcia	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Canaan	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	8	39%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Jordan Hamilton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	56%	0.07	3	-0.07	6	50%	-0.04
Donatas Motiejunas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	11	57%	0.02	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.05	0.01	16	57%	0.05	4	-0.10	3	100%	0.02
Terrence Jones	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.19,-0.18	-0.05	-0.09	0.05	18	42%	-0.13	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.23,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.10	0.13	-0.04	19	60%	0.31	2	-0.04	10	80%	0.03
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.00	-0.02	12	54%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.02	7	65%	0.07	1	-0.02	9	78%	0.01
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	8	60%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	78%	0.05	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.05,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.05	-0.01	12	54%	0.13	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.00
Amir Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nando De Colo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	40%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	37%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	7	47%	0.03	1	-0.05	3	33%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.6	29.7	15.7	29.2	1.8	45.1	149.4
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +45.2%

TOR +9.1%

HOU -12.0%

TOR +4.8%

TOR +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	TOR	NBA	HOU	TOR	NBA
this game	12.6	15.8	15.1	101.0	105.9	105.2
season	14.3	15.9		109.5	107.2
opponent	15.1	15.2		104.2	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	12.4	15.5	11.7	11.1	12.6
TOR	17.6	15.2	14.0	16.6	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Lin	82	82	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.47	15	-19	34	12.6	12.4	0.18	16.1	14.4	1.75
Francisco Garcia	40	39	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-1	-2	11.8	13.1	-1.23	14.5	16.6	-2.17
Donatas Motiejunas	49	48	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-6	8	13.4	11.8	1.64	14.9	16.6	-1.71
Omri Casspi	47	48	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.33	8	-12	20	12.8	12.4	0.39	15.7	15.9	-0.20
Terrence Jones	20	20	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.06	-7	3	-10	13.2	12.5	0.75	17.3	15.4	1.94
Jordan Hamilton	9	8	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.08	-8	4	-12	12.2	12.6	-0.41	11.5	16.2	-4.66
Isaiah Canaan	41	40	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.24	-2	-2	0	10.8	13.8	-2.96	14.7	16.5	-1.81
Omer Asik	66	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.36	-1	-3	2	12.6	12.6	-0.02	16.7	14.1	2.57
James Harden	83	83	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.21	-14	10	-24	12.7	11.9	0.80	15.9	15.4	0.49
Chandler Parsons	73	72	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.36	-10	6	-16	13.0	11.7	1.32	16.5	14.0	2.56

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrence Ross	74	75	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.45	8	-4	12	15.5	16.6	-1.04	12.4	13.1	-0.70
Jonas Valanciunas	64	64	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.27	12	-8	20	16.0	15.4	0.61	12.7	12.4	0.28
Greivis Vasquez	83	83	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.34	6	-2	8	16.0	14.7	1.30	12.8	11.6	1.25
DeMar DeRozan	82	83	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.35	0	4	-4	16.5	12.8	3.70	13.0	10.8	2.16
Patrick Patterson	53	55	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.15	2	2	0	15.6	16.0	-0.40	13.1	12.0	1.19
Steve Novak	31	32	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.01	6	-2	8	14.3	16.5	-2.21	12.6	12.6	0.04
Nando De Colo	28	28	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	2	0	14.7	16.2	-1.54	11.4	13.1	-1.66
John Salmons	48	49	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.22	-6	10	-16	15.5	16.1	-0.64	11.6	13.6	-2.02
Amir Johnson	6	5	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	8	-12	22.0	15.4	6.60	12.0	12.6	-0.63
Tyler Hansbrough	36	36	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.05	-6	10	-16	15.7	15.8	-0.11	12.9	12.4	0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.33,0.28,0.32,0.4,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.74,0.76,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.86,0.94,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 105, LAC 118	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.77,0.73,0.81,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.87,0.84,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.69,0.85,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.97,1,1	93.3%
SEA 99, NJN 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.84,0.87,0.72,0.81,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.76,0.58,0.64,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.91,0.99,1	93.3%
DEN 83, DET 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.88,0.93,0.89,0.92,0.87,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.96,1,1	92.7%