NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	105		Excitement	6.3 [563]		MVP	Eric Gordon (LAC): +23.2%
Los Angeles Clippers	118		Comeback	2.8 [214]		LVP	Corey Maggette (GSW): -11.1%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Watson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.02	0.02	8	76%	0.14	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.03
Anthony Randolph	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	5	67%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Stephen Jackson	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	20	61%	0.13	5	-0.12	6	83%	0.01
Kelenna Azubuike	0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.00	7	71%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	6	42%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	54%	0.04	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	15	39%	-0.06	2	-0.02	8	75%	0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	13	33%	-0.06	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.09	0.11	-0.02	17	71%	0.32	5	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	23	51%	0.11	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.02
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.00	6	71%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	8	61%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	64%	0.09	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.03
Mike Taylor	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mardy Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	5	80%	0.05	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	3	14%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	0.06	20	57%	0.05	5	-0.11	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	1.8	34.4	15.6	26.2	1.7	32.3	135.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +49.8%

GSW -7.2%

LAC +6.3%

GSW -0.8%

LAC +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	LAC	NBA	GSW	LAC	NBA
this game	12.5	15.2	15.5	101.0	113.5	106.4
season	13.8	15.7		107.3	100.7
opponent	15.1	15.0		109.8	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	11.1	11.8	13.6	14.0	12.5
LAC	15.2	13.9	15.2	16.6	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronny Turiaf	49	50	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.22	6	-19	25	11.3	13.6	-2.37	16.2	14.2	1.94
Anthony Morrow	32	33	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.13	2	-15	17	13.0	12.3	0.69	16.3	14.7	1.61
Marco Belinelli	41	40	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-10	7	12.0	12.9	-0.86	14.4	15.7	-1.30
Anthony Randolph	28	28	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.09	-2	-11	9	13.7	12.1	1.59	14.7	15.3	-0.63
Jamal Crawford	75	72	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.02	-7	-6	-1	12.7	12.1	0.62	14.8	16.0	-1.19
CJ Watson	57	58	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.16	-6	-7	1	12.9	12.1	0.79	15.4	14.9	0.54
Stephen Jackson	84	85	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.17	-6	-7	1	12.3	13.3	-1.03	15.8	12.5	3.24
Kelenna Azubuike	51	53	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.06	-15	2	-17	12.1	13.0	-0.90	15.5	14.8	0.65
Andris Biedrins	38	37	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.07	-16	3	-19	13.4	12.0	1.38	13.8	15.9	-2.16
Corey Maggette	65	64	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.08	-18	5	-23	12.6	12.3	0.34	14.5	16.3	-1.83

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Gordon	88	88	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.07	15	-2	17	15.3	14.2	1.09	12.3	13.7	-1.45
Baron Davis	88	87	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.05	15	-2	17	15.2	15.2	-0.02	12.3	13.8	-1.49
Fred Jones	82	82	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.07	11	2	9	14.6	17.5	-2.89	12.5	12.5	0.08
Marcus Camby	50	49	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.06	11	2	9	14.7	15.6	-0.83	13.2	11.9	1.22
Mardy Collins	74	75	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.32	-1	14	-15	15.7	14.0	1.70	12.5	12.5	0.05
Steve Novak	21	21	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.15	14	-1	15	15.4	15.1	0.26	11.6	12.7	-1.13
Zach Randolph	77	77	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.14	2	11	-9	15.4	14.6	0.83	12.5	12.4	0.10
Ricky Davis	40	41	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	14	-15	15.2	15.2	0.00	13.1	12.1	0.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.77,0.73,0.81,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.87,0.84,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.69,0.85,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 81, ATL 90	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.74,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.91,1,1	93.8%
DEN 96, NYK 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.8%
GSW 101, LAC 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.7,0.81,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.86,0.94,0.85,0.79,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.5%