NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	81		Excitement	4.9 [825]		MVP	Damon Jones (CLE): +4.1%
Atlanta Hawks	90		Comeback	2.0 [659]		LVP	Larry Hughes (CLE): -14.7%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Jones	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	5	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
LeBron James	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.09	-0.02	0.11	22	58%	0.04	3	-0.08	9	56%	-0.04
Dwayne Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	11	26%	-0.04	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Devin Brown	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.03	13	41%	-0.03	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	9	35%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Anderson Varejao	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	9	50%	0.01	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Larry Hughes	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.03	-0.00	11	23%	-0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	42%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.04	4	92%	0.07	3	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Shelden Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	15	49%	0.03	2	-0.03	9	56%	-0.04
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	0.02	19	56%	0.09	5	-0.10	14	79%	-0.02
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	13	43%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Acie Law	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	2.6	27.4	15.6	30.8	1.8	37.0	143.3
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +40.8%

ATL +2.5%

CLE -4.4%

ATL +8.2%

ATL +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ATL	NBA	CLE	ATL	NBA
this game	16.0	15.6	15.4	88.0	100.0	105.7
season	16.4	15.4		104.0	104.2
opponent	15.7	15.2		107.2	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.0	20.3	15.3	14.8	16.0
ATL	18.1	14.0	14.7	15.8	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwayne Jones	3	3	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-9	9	5.7	16.3	-10.68	19.3	15.5	3.82
Sasha Pavlovic	26	26	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.07	-4	-5	1	14.8	16.5	-1.66	18.0	14.7	3.37
Larry Hughes	37	36	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-4	-1	16.9	15.4	1.58	16.1	15.4	0.69
Drew Gooden	55	55	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.19	0	-9	9	16.0	16.0	0.05	15.8	15.3	0.49
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	37	37	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.07	-6	-3	-3	16.4	15.7	0.68	16.2	15.3	0.88
Devin Brown	50	48	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.23	-2	-7	5	15.5	16.5	-1.01	15.9	15.4	0.45
Anderson Varejao	47	45	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.05	-12	3	-15	17.3	14.6	2.74	14.1	17.2	-3.16
Daniel Gibson	67	64	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.16	-5	-4	-1	16.2	15.4	0.82	14.7	18.0	-3.37
Damon Jones	55	54	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.20	-4	-5	1	15.4	16.9	-1.58	15.4	16.1	-0.69
LeBron James	83	82	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.25	-7	-2	-5	15.9	17.0	-1.11	15.9	13.1	2.77

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	83	85	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.23	9	0	9	15.9	12.9	3.02	16.1	14.9	1.24
Anthony Johnson	54	54	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.27	5	4	1	15.8	15.4	0.33	15.1	17.2	-2.06
Josh Smith	54	55	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.17	8	1	7	15.2	16.3	-1.06	16.3	15.6	0.68
Al Horford	61	61	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.08	9	0	9	15.8	15.4	0.34	16.1	15.7	0.39
Marvin Williams	71	73	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.23	3	6	-3	15.8	15.1	0.68	15.9	16.3	-0.40
Lorenzen Wright	41	41	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.14	3	6	-3	15.3	15.9	-0.65	16.8	15.4	1.41
Josh Childress	51	53	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.02	5	4	1	14.4	17.3	-2.94	14.8	17.7	-2.94
Tyronn Lue	5	4	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	7	-5	17.4	15.5	1.86	16.7	16.0	0.78
Acie Law	29	31	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.03	1	8	-7	16.7	15.2	1.49	17.6	15.2	2.43
Shelden Williams	1	2	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.00	0	9	-9	36.0	15.4	20.58	17.0	16.0	1.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.74,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.91,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 96, NYK 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.7%
PHI 110, TOR 128	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.39,0.38,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.65,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.67,0.61,0.54,0.71,0.72,0.83,0.81,0.81,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
HOU 95, ORL 110	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.7,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.76,0.86,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%