NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	96		Excitement	5.1 [836]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (NYK): +12.5%
New York Knicks	107		Comeback	1.8 [888]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (DEN): -28.4%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney White	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	3	71%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Nene	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	6	67%	0.03	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.01
Greg Buckner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	10	66%	0.04	3	-0.06	12	75%	0.01
Kenyon Martin	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	14	55%	-0.01	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Andre Miller	-0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.22	-0.05	-0.03	7	14%	-0.08	7	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.28	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.15,-0.13,-0.14,-0.16,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.27,-0.31,-0.29,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.27,-0.29,-0.29,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.26	-0.08	-0.06	23	42%	-0.11	7	-0.18	16	75%	-0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.01	0.01	19	70%	0.21	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.02	-0.02	9	56%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	18	58%	0.07	1	-0.03	7	71%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	56%	0.02	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Tim Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	56%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	11	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	11	36%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	31.0	16.5	28.4	2.7	30.0	136.3
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +30.1%

DEN -1.5%

DEN -5.9%

NYK +27.4%

DEN -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	NYK	NBA	DEN	NYK	NBA
this game	13.4	16.2	15.5	99.0	110.3	104.0
season	14.8	15.8		103.8	103.9
opponent	15.3	15.6		106.5	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	14.3	13.6	13.6	12.3	13.4
NYK	17.0	15.2	15.2	17.7	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nene	7	7	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.02	-2	-9	7	13.6	13.4	0.14	13.4	16.5	-3.04
Francisco Elson	5	4	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.05	-5	-6	1	15.2	13.3	1.85	13.0	16.4	-3.39
Rodney White	21	21	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.08	-1	-10	9	12.8	13.6	-0.87	18.2	15.7	2.54
Earl Boykins	51	52	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-8	5	12.1	14.9	-2.84	17.2	15.2	1.95
Bryon Russell	29	29	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.04	-7	-4	-3	13.2	13.5	-0.29	15.8	16.4	-0.65
Greg Buckner	46	45	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.06	-8	-3	-5	14.9	12.1	2.84	15.2	17.2	-1.95
Kenyon Martin	84	85	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.17	-6	-5	-1	13.9	10.4	3.53	16.5	14.2	2.37
Marcus Camby	77	78	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.18	-7	-4	-3	13.0	15.0	-2.02	16.3	16.1	0.18
Carmelo Anthony	89	88	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.21	-6	-5	-1	13.3	14.9	-1.56	16.5	14.2	2.23
Andre Miller	76	76	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.10	-10	-1	-9	13.6	12.8	0.87	15.7	18.2	-2.54

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	86	85	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.18	12	-1	13	16.0	17.9	-1.87	13.6	12.3	1.27
Stephon Marbury	79	78	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.17	12	-1	13	15.6	18.9	-3.24	13.1	14.8	-1.74
Nazr Mohammed	62	61	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.13	8	3	5	15.8	17.1	-1.27	14.2	12.1	2.07
Jamal Crawford	74	75	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.24	4	7	-3	16.3	16.1	0.21	13.5	13.4	0.04
Tim Thomas	42	43	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.02	8	3	5	15.9	16.5	-0.65	14.5	12.6	1.88
Jerome Williams	42	41	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.03	6	5	1	16.2	16.3	-0.14	12.0	14.5	-2.42
Allan Houston	35	34	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.04	5	6	-1	16.9	15.9	1.04	12.6	13.9	-1.23
Trevor Ariza	24	24	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	8	-5	16.3	16.2	0.06	12.9	13.6	-0.76
Michael Sweetney	23	25	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	13	-15	17.9	15.7	2.13	13.1	13.6	-0.44
Moochie Norris	18	19	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	12	-13	18.9	15.6	3.24	14.8	13.1	1.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 83, DET 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
GSW 101, LAC 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.7,0.81,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.86,0.94,0.85,0.79,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.2%
LAC 94, PHX 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1	95.1%