inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 83 Excitement4.0 [1041] MVPJason Maxiell (DET): +5.8%
Detroit Pistons 103 Comeback1.7 [396] LVPJared Sullinger (BOS): -11.3%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rajon Rondo0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.020.01-0.04786%0.156-0.1200%0.00
Jeff Green0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.00-0.02550%0.041-0.022100%0.01
Chris Wilcox0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Leandro Barbosa-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.01631%-0.0300.00475%-0.01
Kevin Garnett-0.040,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.01-0.030.03965%0.043-0.09560%-0.02
Courtney Lee-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.010.02275%0.012-0.0500%0.00
Brandon Bass-0.060,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.020.00933%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Jason Terry-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.01631%-0.0600.00475%-0.01
Paul Pierce-0.080,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.03-0.001346%-0.023-0.062100%0.01
Jared Sullinger-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.110.04-0.030.121262%-0.072-0.042100%0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Maxiell0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.03-0.021058%0.103-0.04683%0.01
Corey Maggette0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.000.01669%0.081-0.034100%0.01
Rodney Stuckey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.000.011054%0.0400.006100%0.02
Greg Monroe0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.080.010.051174%0.083-0.04580%0.02
Andre Drummond0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.01367%0.0100.0000%0.00
Will Bynum0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.03-0.000.03658%0.0000.0000%0.00
Khris Middleton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0000.0010%0.00
Austin Daye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tayshaun Prince0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.00-0.011145%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Jonas Jerebko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.010.00250%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Kyle Singler0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.05-0.020.06970%0.022-0.06250%-0.01
Brandon Knight0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.06-0.010.04375%0.025-0.13250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.22.529.517.726.02.629.4135.9
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +25.9%
DET +10.7%
DET +6.9%
DET +6.4%
DET +0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSDETNBABOSDETNBA
this game15.615.415.489.2110.8104.1
season14.915.7101.2102.3
opponent15.516.2106.6101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS15.017.115.215.015.6
DET15.713.415.417.015.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevin Garnett4139-0.12-0.380.26-0.01-4-161216.614.81.7514.915.7-0.80
Brandon Bass3535-0.16-0.340.18-0.13-1-191814.616.2-1.5315.115.6-0.53
Leandro Barbosa3030-0.18-0.320.130.02-7-13616.415.21.1615.215.5-0.33
Courtney Lee3538-0.20-0.300.100.01-7-13616.315.21.1315.415.40.06
Paul Pierce6159-0.21-0.290.080.02-8-12414.817.1-2.3115.515.20.33
Jeff Green4041-0.23-0.270.040.09-11-9-217.014.52.5315.215.5-0.34
Jason Terry5958-0.29-0.21-0.070.07-12-8-414.717.0-2.2815.615.00.57
Rajon Rondo7574-0.34-0.16-0.190.19-18-2-1615.117.5-2.3815.714.31.41
Chris Wilcox3940-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.02-12-8-415.515.7-0.2115.115.6-0.46
Jared Sullinger5051-0.40-0.10-0.300.19-200-2016.115.01.0415.615.10.53

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Maxiell59590.400.100.310.05128415.016.1-1.0615.216.3-1.12
Tayshaun Prince64640.400.100.30-0.071641215.814.61.2115.116.7-1.56
Rodney Stuckey56560.400.100.29-0.101731415.814.81.0516.414.32.13
Andre Drummond35330.280.220.05-0.05119214.316.0-1.7217.514.53.05
Will Bynum41380.250.25-0.01-0.08119215.515.30.1415.815.40.44
Greg Monroe61640.240.26-0.02-0.08119215.914.51.3514.717.6-2.91
Brandon Knight47500.230.27-0.040.03713-615.515.20.2915.315.9-0.61
Kyle Singler50510.130.37-0.24-0.11812-415.315.4-0.1014.317.1-2.76
Corey Maggette25260.100.40-0.300.01317-1414.515.7-1.2417.314.92.34
Jonas Jerebko19180.080.42-0.350.02218-1615.515.40.1718.414.93.48
Khris Middleton430.000.50-0.50-0.03119-1815.015.4-0.4011.315.7-4.39
Austin Daye430.000.50-0.50-0.03119-1815.015.4-0.4011.315.7-4.39


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 97, ORL 1060.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.85,0.92,0.86,0.85,0.93,0.98,0.94,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%
ATL 72, IND 910.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%
GSW 78, MIA 880.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.81,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,195.8%