NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	101		Excitement	5.0 [844]		MVP	Elton Brand (LAC): +14.6%
Los Angeles Clippers	113		Comeback	2.1 [859]		LVP	Derek Fisher (GSW): -8.1%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andris Biedrins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	11	42%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Troy Murphy	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	10	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Chris Taft	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Miles	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	67%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.04	-0.00	11	55%	0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Zarko Cabarkapa	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.02	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	21	45%	0.05	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
Jason Richardson	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	21	42%	-0.06	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Derek Fisher	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	0.03	11	41%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.20	0.00	0.05	20	63%	0.15	0	0.00	11	91%	0.02
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.14	0.00	0.02	13	76%	0.18	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.02	-0.01	13	60%	0.14	2	-0.04	14	79%	-0.00
Daniel Ewing	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	4	62%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	10	58%	0.06	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
James Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Yaroslav Korolev	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zeljko Rebraca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	-0.06	9	42%	-0.01	3	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.3	31.4	16.4	26.3	0.8	31.3	131.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +49.6%

LAC +5.0%

GSW -1.0%

GSW -4.5%

LAC +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	LAC	NBA	GSW	LAC	NBA
this game	14.8	14.1	15.6	103.1	111.9	104.4
season	14.8	15.2		102.9	103.9
opponent	15.5	15.5		102.1	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.8	14.0	14.7	15.9	14.8
LAC	11.9	14.8	14.1	16.1	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Taft	7	7	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.14	5	-17	22	13.6	14.9	-1.33	16.9	13.9	2.91
Aaron Miles	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-17	22	8.7	15.1	-6.31	17.0	14.0	2.97
Zarko Cabarkapa	11	12	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.14	3	-15	18	12.2	15.1	-2.96	16.2	13.9	2.29
Adonal Foyle	61	62	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.16	0	-12	12	15.0	14.5	0.51	13.5	15.3	-1.80
Derek Fisher	44	45	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-10	8	15.7	14.1	1.63	15.9	12.7	3.22
Mickael Pietrus	50	51	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	-9	6	15.3	14.3	1.05	15.8	12.5	3.26
Mike Dunleavy	48	50	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	-3	-6	14.3	15.3	-1.05	12.5	15.8	-3.26
Andris Biedrins	26	27	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.01	-12	0	-12	14.6	14.9	-0.26	15.0	13.8	1.21
Baron Davis	88	91	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.05	-12	0	-12	14.9	13.7	1.23	14.0	15.8	-1.83
Troy Murphy	66	68	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.17	-20	8	-28	14.6	15.2	-0.61	13.1	16.4	-3.34
Jason Richardson	85	88	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.01	-15	3	-18	15.0	13.5	1.55	13.9	16.1	-2.21

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Kaman	60	59	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.04	15	-3	18	13.7	14.8	-1.06	13.5	16.8	-3.39
Elton Brand	79	76	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.03	15	-3	18	13.6	16.2	-2.60	14.7	15.2	-0.48
Cuttino Mobley	93	92	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.10	12	0	12	14.0	16.2	-2.28	15.0	11.3	3.70
Sam Cassell	75	72	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.04	16	-4	20	13.5	16.1	-2.65	14.7	15.1	-0.37
Corey Maggette	84	82	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.11	6	6	0	13.8	15.9	-2.16	14.9	14.2	0.66
Daniel Ewing	43	41	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.06	6	6	0	15.7	13.0	2.78	16.2	13.8	2.39
Chris Wilcox	12	13	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.03	5	7	-2	15.1	14.0	1.06	15.5	14.7	0.84
Zeljko Rebraca	34	33	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.13	-2	14	-16	14.7	13.9	0.84	16.1	14.2	1.89
James Singleton	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	14	-16	18.3	14.0	4.31	8.5	14.9	-6.44
Yaroslav Korolev	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	17	-22	17.0	14.0	2.97	8.7	15.1	-6.31
Howard Eisley	18	16	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.14	-6	18	-24	16.7	13.6	3.13	14.4	14.9	-0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.7,0.81,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.86,0.94,0.85,0.79,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 96, NYK 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1	95.2%
MIN 111, SAC 116	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.86,0.79,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,1,1	94.7%
LAC 94, PHX 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1	94.1%