NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	111		Excitement	5.1 [790]		MVP	Omri Casspi (SAC): +17.2%
Sacramento Kings	116		Comeback	2.1 [930]		LVP	Nik Stauskas (SAC): -7.3%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.11	0.09	0.01	-0.01	31	51%	0.13	1	-0.02	11	73%	-0.02
Zach LaVine	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.03	18	52%	0.08	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Chase Budinger	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.01	0.04	8	76%	0.07	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.04	20	58%	0.06	3	-0.07	5	80%	-0.00
Robbie Hummel	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arinze Onuaku	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.05	3	100%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Justin Hamilton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzo Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adreian Payne	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Omri Casspi	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.21	0.02	0.06	20	69%	0.17	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.03	0.04	17	67%	0.19	5	-0.09	15	87%	0.03
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.02	0.00	12	64%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.02
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ray McCallum	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	13	46%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Sim Bhullar	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.7	26.3	15.5	25.3	2.5	32.6	129.5
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +30.8%

SAC +4.0%

SAC +16.9%

MIN -2.2%

SAC +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SAC	NBA	MIN	SAC	NBA
this game	14.6	14.3	15.1	112.1	116.0	104.2
season	15.0	14.9		101.2	103.7
opponent	14.8	15.0		107.6	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.4	16.4	15.9	12.0	14.6
SAC	12.8	14.9	13.4	16.2	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arinze Onuaku	33	34	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.32	8	-13	21	12.4	15.7	-3.35	15.6	13.7	1.88
Andrew Wiggins	82	84	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.51	13	-18	31	14.0	17.9	-3.93	14.4	13.7	0.75
Justin Hamilton	54	53	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.08	-3	-2	-1	15.1	14.0	1.15	13.8	14.9	-1.08
Lorenzo Brown	23	23	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.05	-9	4	-13	15.7	14.3	1.39	15.7	13.9	1.79
Chase Budinger	70	70	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.43	7	-12	19	14.3	15.4	-1.11	14.6	13.7	0.93
Zach LaVine	85	86	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.40	4	-9	13	14.3	16.6	-2.27	13.9	16.9	-2.95
Adreian Payne	26	27	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.12	-18	13	-31	17.0	13.8	3.17	12.7	14.9	-2.21
Robbie Hummel	32	32	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.16	-22	17	-39	16.6	13.7	2.91	14.3	14.3	-0.06
Kevin Martin	90	91	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.35	-5	0	-5	14.7	14.3	0.32	14.4	13.9	0.47

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gay	80	77	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.27	10	-5	15	14.5	13.7	0.71	14.9	13.6	1.33
Omri Casspi	74	73	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.29	7	-2	9	14.2	14.6	-0.35	14.2	15.7	-1.50
Derrick Williams	64	64	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.22	8	-3	11	14.4	14.2	0.15	15.0	14.0	0.97
Ray McCallum	77	76	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.29	2	3	-1	14.2	14.7	-0.54	14.4	15.5	-1.11
Reggie Evans	36	34	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.02	12	-7	19	13.3	14.9	-1.59	15.9	14.0	1.87
Andre Miller	43	43	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.14	6	-1	7	14.9	13.9	1.07	14.7	14.6	0.17
Jason Thompson	63	64	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.31	-5	10	-15	15.0	13.1	1.92	14.0	15.7	-1.64
Nik Stauskas	27	26	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.07	4	1	3	13.6	14.6	-0.95	16.0	14.2	1.81
Sim Bhullar	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	7	-9	6.0	14.4	-8.40	10.0	14.7	-4.67
Ben McLemore	35	37	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.27	-17	22	-39	14.1	14.4	-0.27	13.7	15.2	-1.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.86,0.79,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 101, LAC 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.7,0.81,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.86,0.94,0.85,0.79,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.7%
LAL 86, LAC 108	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.61,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%
DEN 96, NYK 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.0%