NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	99		Excitement	5.9 [652]		MVP	Scott Padgett (NJN): +16.1%
New Jersey Nets	109		Comeback	2.2 [837]		LVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): -9.4%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.17	-0.01	0.01	18	71%	0.20	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.07	-0.01	10	55%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	3	56%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Nick Collison	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	6	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	9	62%	0.07	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Mateen Cleaves	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Danny Fortson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0	100%	0.04	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	-0.04	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	18	40%	0.02	2	-0.06	11	91%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Johan Petro	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.02	-0.01	7	87%	0.16	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.05	0.01	14	66%	0.20	3	-0.06	10	70%	-0.01
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.07	0.02	12	68%	0.18	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.05	-0.02	10	59%	0.15	3	-0.05	12	92%	0.06
Zoran Planinic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jacque Vaughn	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	6	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	5	58%	0.06	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	13	33%	-0.06	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.8	28.2	15.5	32.3	2.4	30.3	134.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +8.7%

NJN +14.5%

NJN +23.1%

NJN +2.8%

NJN +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	NJN	NBA	SEA	NJN	NBA
this game	14.8	16.5	15.6	108.8	117.2	104.4
season	15.0	15.7		108.9	102.1
opponent	15.7	15.8		100.9	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	14.9	15.3	15.4	13.8	14.8
NJN	15.8	15.4	17.3	17.5	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mikki Moore	15	15	0.21	-0.71	0.91	-0.03	8	-18	26	13.0	15.2	-2.18	19.0	16.0	3.03
Damien Wilkins	31	31	0.12	-0.62	0.73	0.03	3	-13	16	13.8	15.4	-1.59	17.8	15.8	2.02
Mateen Cleaves	19	20	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.01	2	-12	14	13.7	15.1	-1.37	17.0	16.3	0.75
Danny Fortson	8	8	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-10	10	12.6	15.0	-2.41	21.7	16.0	5.79
Reggie Evans	21	23	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.02	-2	-8	6	14.0	15.1	-1.13	15.8	16.7	-0.85
Vladimir Radmanovic	37	37	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-6	2	13.8	15.5	-1.71	17.6	15.7	1.88
Johan Petro	43	44	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.11	-11	1	-12	16.4	13.4	2.93	15.5	17.3	-1.87
Ray Allen	77	79	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.21	-8	-2	-6	14.9	14.2	0.72	16.7	15.0	1.72
Nick Collison	57	59	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.12	-14	4	-18	15.5	13.7	1.79	15.4	18.4	-2.98
Luke Ridnour	72	73	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.22	-12	2	-14	15.1	13.7	1.37	16.3	17.0	-0.75
Rashard Lewis	75	76	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.27	-12	2	-14	15.1	13.6	1.53	15.6	20.1	-4.47

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	70	68	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.14	22	-12	34	15.7	18.8	-3.08	15.6	12.4	3.26
Nenad Krstic	74	72	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.14	18	-8	26	15.9	18.8	-2.99	15.2	13.4	1.84
Richard Jefferson	82	80	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.32	7	3	4	16.7	14.6	2.07	14.7	16.0	-1.34
Jason Kidd	72	70	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.11	14	-4	18	15.7	19.1	-3.46	15.4	13.0	2.37
Clifford Robinson	43	42	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.25	7	3	4	16.0	16.9	-0.90	14.6	15.0	-0.38
Scott Padgett	38	38	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	8	-6	17.1	16.0	1.04	14.4	15.1	-0.65
Jacque Vaughn	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	8	-6	12.5	16.5	-4.05	9.0	14.9	-5.89
Jeff McInnis	37	37	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.01	-5	15	-20	17.2	16.0	1.21	13.4	15.8	-2.44
Zoran Planinic	18	18	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.04	-8	18	-26	19.9	15.6	4.32	13.3	15.2	-1.93
Marc Jackson	29	29	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.01	-9	19	-28	18.2	15.7	2.54	14.9	14.8	0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.84,0.87,0.72,0.81,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.76,0.58,0.64,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.91,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 83, DET 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.88,0.93,0.89,0.92,0.87,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.96,1,1	93.4%
HOU 103, TOR 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.33,0.28,0.32,0.4,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.74,0.76,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.86,0.94,0.98,1,1	93.3%
NYK 87, SEA 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.84,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.92,0.88,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	92.8%