NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	110		Excitement	8.4 [189]		MVP	Jim Jackson (ATL): +26.1%
Atlanta Hawks	112		Comeback	8.4 [186]		LVP	Terry Mills (DET): -23.3%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lindsey Hunter	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.1	0.14	0.01	0.05	15	69%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Christian Laettner	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	12	63%	0.06	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.05
Grant Hill	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.17,0.03	0.10	-0.08	-0.01	27	60%	0.08	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	0.00	4	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Crotty	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Don Reid	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	16	49%	0.03	1	-0.06	9	100%	0.08
Terry Mills	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23	-0.05	-0.17	0.01	5	33%	-0.20	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jim Jackson	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.26	0.26	0.18	0.10	0.02	19	73%	0.29	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.06
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	18	65%	0.15	3	-0.10	10	90%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	9	62%	0.09	4	-0.12	6	83%	0.03
Chris Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.04	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	7	61%	-0.00	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.02
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.12,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	13	48%	-0.06	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.08
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.4	27.4	15.8	26.7	2.8	46.7	146.4
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +27.4%

ATL +23.0%

ATL +29.7%

DET -30.8%

ATL +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	ATL	NBA	DET	ATL	NBA
this game	13.9	15.6	15.2	113.4	114.3	101.7
season	14.1	15.4		104.2	99.3
opponent	15.2	15.3		105.1	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	13.8	15.3	14.2	12.7	13.9
ATL	16.2	18.1	14.0	14.4	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Williams	46	46	0.41	-0.91	1.32	-0.00	14	-16	30	12.3	15.4	-3.09	16.8	14.5	2.35
Michael Curry	33	34	0.22	-0.72	0.93	-0.11	11	-13	24	12.5	14.7	-2.17	16.6	15.1	1.50
John Crotty	25	27	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.04	4	-6	10	13.0	14.3	-1.33	17.6	14.8	2.83
Don Reid	9	9	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.08	-6	4	-10	11.9	14.2	-2.27	19.7	15.2	4.50
Grant Hill	78	79	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.40	-4	2	-6	14.3	12.3	2.03	15.7	15.2	0.46
Jerry Stackhouse	83	84	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.38	-9	7	-16	14.1	12.8	1.36	14.9	19.6	-4.65
Lindsey Hunter	72	71	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.49	-6	4	-10	14.3	13.0	1.33	14.8	17.6	-2.83
Christian Laettner	72	73	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.70	1	-3	4	14.6	12.2	2.41	15.7	15.1	0.62
Terry Mills	67	67	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.25	-15	13	-28	14.7	12.3	2.34	14.2	18.5	-4.25

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dikembe Mutombo	78	75	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.51	5	-3	8	14.8	18.8	-4.04	14.9	10.8	4.11
Isaiah Rider	85	86	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.46	5	-3	8	15.4	16.5	-1.10	14.0	13.3	0.76
Alan Henderson	92	92	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.40	6	-4	10	15.3	19.8	-4.53	13.6	20.2	-6.59
Jim Jackson	89	87	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.37	5	-3	8	15.3	18.6	-3.27	14.0	13.7	0.28
Bimbo Coles	79	77	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.43	3	-1	4	14.5	20.1	-5.61	14.1	13.2	0.94
Jason Terry	19	20	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	3	-4	20.1	14.5	5.61	13.2	14.1	-0.94
Anthony Johnson	5	3	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.04	-1	3	-4	13.8	15.7	-1.88	17.3	13.8	3.49
Chris Crawford	17	18	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.08	-5	7	-12	18.4	15.0	3.42	12.8	14.2	-1.37
Lorenzen Wright	26	27	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.04	-7	9	-16	19.0	14.3	4.71	12.5	14.5	-1.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.48,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.66,0.54,0.25,0.15,0.45,0.57,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 99, NYK 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.39,0.44,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.67,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.32,0.46,0.43,0.72,1	90.4%
LAL 92, GSW 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.31,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.28,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.29,0.45,0.74,1	90.3%
CLE 97, CHA 98	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.39,0.27,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.38,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.64,0.65,0.54,0.38,0.54,0.32,0.42,1	89.9%