NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	99		Excitement	10.0 [64]		MVP	Allan Houston (NYK): +16.9%
New York Knicks	101		Comeback	4.2 [156]		LVP	Clar. Weatherspoon (NYK): -21.0%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lucious Harris	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	12	42%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Armstrong	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.06	0.02	15	53%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Jason Kidd	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0,0,0,-0.08	0.04	-0.11	0.00	19	70%	0.17	6	-0.25	18	94%	0.18
Rodney Rogers	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	9	40%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Richard Jefferson	-0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.18	-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	11	36%	-0.07	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.2,-0.2	-0.04	-0.14	0.02	9	44%	-0.02	2	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.02,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.10	0.00	23	57%	0.21	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.04
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.00	7	86%	0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.1,-0.02,0.11,0.06	0.06	-0.05	0.11	0.00	18	45%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.05
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	7	64%	0.08	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	-0.00	4	80%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.05
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	15	40%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-0.06	0.00	4	30%	-0.07	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19,-0.21	-0.21	-0.01	-0.20	0.00	8	50%	-0.18	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.2	2.6	24.9	16.8	25.2	1.8	39.0	130.4
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +49.3%

NJN -42.4%

NYK +27.0%

NYK +15.9%

NYK +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	NYK	NBA	NJN	NYK	NBA
this game	14.7	16.6	15.5	107.6	109.8	101.6
season	15.0	15.6		101.1	102.6
opponent	15.5	15.9		104.0	96.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	13.8	15.8	15.9	13.8	14.7
NYK	17.0	17.0	16.8	15.6	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Armstrong	13	12	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.01	3	-5	8	14.1	14.8	-0.77	17.1	16.5	0.60
Aaron Williams	38	39	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.06	2	-4	6	13.7	15.5	-1.80	16.7	16.5	0.22
Anthony Johnson	11	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-1	0	18.4	14.2	4.12	17.6	16.4	1.22
Jason Collins	52	51	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	2	-6	15.7	13.5	2.10	17.1	15.9	1.20
Richard Jefferson	72	72	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.40	2	-4	6	15.1	13.3	1.84	16.4	17.0	-0.56
Rodney Rogers	49	49	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.27	-4	2	-6	14.1	15.5	-1.36	16.1	17.1	-1.08
Kenyon Martin	73	73	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.44	1	-3	4	14.2	17.0	-2.85	16.6	16.3	0.31
Jason Kidd	81	81	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.47	-1	-1	0	14.2	18.4	-4.12	16.4	17.6	-1.22
Lucious Harris	71	72	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.45	-8	6	-14	15.4	12.5	2.87	16.4	17.0	-0.62

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	59	59	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.45	6	-4	10	16.7	16.3	0.46	15.2	13.9	1.25
Allan Houston	72	72	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.36	4	-2	6	16.8	15.6	1.23	14.3	16.4	-2.19
Latrell Sprewell	82	84	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.41	-1	3	-4	16.4	18.1	-1.72	15.0	11.9	3.14
Charlie Ward	44	45	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.44	-2	4	-6	16.4	16.7	-0.39	14.9	14.6	0.25
Clar. Weatherspoon	48	50	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.44	-3	5	-8	16.4	16.7	-0.31	14.1	15.5	-1.36
Othella Harrington	44	42	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.00	5	-3	8	16.7	16.4	0.31	15.5	14.1	1.36
Shandon Anderson	30	28	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.11	1	1	0	16.4	16.6	-0.20	15.1	14.6	0.58
Howard Eisley	48	47	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	-2	6	16.7	16.4	0.39	14.6	14.9	-0.25
Michael Doleac	33	33	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.01	-4	6	-10	16.3	16.7	-0.46	13.9	15.2	-1.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.39,0.44,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.67,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.32,0.46,0.43,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 101, NJN 106	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.23,0.25,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.43,0.53,0.42,0.59,0.46,0.66,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.92,1	92.4%
LAL 103, ORL 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.55,0.73,1	91.2%
ORL 91, MIL 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.37,0.42,0.5,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.63,0.57,0.85,1	90.7%