NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	103		Excitement	9.8 [76]		MVP	Derek Fisher (LAL): +34.3%
Orlando Magic	106		Comeback	3.3 [294]		LVP	Sasha Vujacic (LAL): -36.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.45,0.34	0.21	0.14	0.00	16	71%	0.34	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Kobe Bryant	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.2,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.14	0.15	-0.01	-0.01	31	56%	0.17	1	-0.03	11	100%	0.10
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.05	-0.01	6	75%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	6	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	9	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Luke Walton	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	4	33%	-0.00	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21,-0.31,-0.31	-0.10	-0.22	-0.00	7	25%	-0.18	2	-0.14	2	100%	0.03
Sasha Vujacic	-0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.37	-0.09	-0.28	-0.00	6	8%	-0.37	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.16,0.16,0.31,0.33	0.33	0.05	0.29	0.01	6	67%	0.41	3	-0.07	15	67%	0.01
Jameer Nelson	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.13	0.13	0.16	-0.03	0.00	16	75%	0.32	2	-0.19	4	25%	-0.04
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	4	75%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	0.00	1	67%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.06	-0.10	0.00	13	65%	0.09	3	-0.13	8	87%	0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	10	58%	0.07	4	-0.15	4	50%	-0.02
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	10	25%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	5	25%	-0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.2	2.6	34.3	16.3	27.5	2.7	39.0	152.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +75.5%

LAL -10.5%

ORL +4.3%

LAL -22.6%

ORL +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	ORL	NBA	LAL	ORL	NBA
this game	16.3	14.5	15.5	110.8	112.8	106.4
season	14.9	15.3		110.6	107.3
opponent	15.8	15.4		101.4	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.5	15.2	17.0	17.5	16.3
ORL	15.2	13.7	16.5	13.0	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Ariza	49	47	0.29	-0.79	1.08	0.08	7	-10	17	16.0	16.6	-0.63	14.7	14.4	0.34
Andrew Bynum	20	21	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	0	-3	17.9	15.8	2.06	16.8	13.9	2.93
Luke Walton	16	18	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.04	-9	6	-15	16.6	16.2	0.34	16.6	14.0	2.57
Vladimir Radmanovic	39	40	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.38	4	-7	11	16.4	16.2	0.18	13.4	15.4	-2.01
Derek Fisher	82	83	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.40	2	-5	7	15.9	19.4	-3.50	14.3	16.3	-1.97
Sasha Vujacic	22	24	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.35	-1	-2	1	16.9	16.1	0.82	13.5	14.9	-1.39
Pau Gasol	84	84	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.42	0	-3	3	15.9	20.2	-4.37	14.4	15.7	-1.31
Lamar Odom	70	69	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.27	-6	3	-9	16.6	15.3	1.30	14.6	14.2	0.40
Kobe Bryant	83	84	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.41	-9	6	-15	16.4	15.6	0.76	14.5	14.4	0.15

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Howard	57	59	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.46	2	1	1	15.1	13.7	1.32	16.7	15.5	1.18
Hedo Turkoglu	82	81	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.39	3	0	3	14.5	14.9	-0.44	16.6	13.9	2.71
Rashard Lewis	76	75	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.36	4	-1	5	14.5	14.8	-0.37	16.1	17.2	-1.17
Jameer Nelson	70	70	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.35	4	-1	5	14.0	16.0	-2.03	16.2	16.4	-0.15
Keith Bogans	54	55	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.28	3	0	3	13.6	15.8	-2.21	16.1	16.6	-0.46
Tony Battie	30	29	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.03	7	-4	11	15.2	14.2	0.98	16.9	16.0	0.85
Mickael Pietrus	34	32	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.14	1	2	-1	15.4	14.0	1.38	15.7	16.6	-0.81
Anthony Johnson	24	23	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.06	-1	4	-5	16.0	14.0	2.03	16.4	16.2	0.15
Marcin Gortat	19	17	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	2	-1	14.1	14.7	-0.60	14.8	16.6	-1.78
Courtney Lee	14	14	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.00	-4	7	-11	13.9	14.6	-0.79	16.8	16.2	0.60
Brian Cook	10	10	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.01	-5	8	-13	14.5	14.5	-0.04	15.4	16.4	-0.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.55,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 104, ORL 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.33,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.69,0.42,0.67,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.84,1	92.4%
LAL 92, GSW 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.31,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.28,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.29,0.45,0.74,1	91.9%
CHI 86, WAS 90	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.41,0.6,0.61,0.68,0.63,0.57,0.73,1	91.4%