NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	104		Excitement	9.2 [112]		MVP	Arron Afflalo (ORL): +17.6%
Orlando Magic	108		Comeback	4.0 [481]		LVP	Alonzo Gee (CLE): -33.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyler Zeller	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.01,0.11	-0.00	0.11	0.00	9	50%	0.16	1	-0.05	8	62%	-0.06
Jeremy Pargo	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.05	-0.00	14	54%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	7	69%	0.13	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Dion Waiters	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.02	0.08	-0.05	0.01	22	53%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Anderson Varejao	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	0.02	-0.00	0.01	13	59%	0.08	3	-0.08	6	83%	-0.04
CJ Miles	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samardo Samuels	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Daniel Gibson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	3	33%	0.04	1	-0.09	3	100%	0.03
Tristan Thompson	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	6	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	-0.33	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.26,-0.26,-0.33	-0.12	-0.20	0.01	12	40%	-0.20	5	-0.13	6	83%	0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Arron Afflalo	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.04	0.12	-0.02	12	70%	0.25	4	-0.08	3	33%	-0.03
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.04,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.00	0.12	0.00	14	46%	0.14	1	-0.03	7	86%	-0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.1	0.10	-0.06	0.15	-0.01	11	45%	0.17	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	4	87%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nicholson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.01	18	61%	0.12	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.04	-0.04	0.06	-0.06	0.04	9	69%	0.05	3	-0.09	8	100%	0.09
Gustavo Ayon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	5	20%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.0	30.3	15.4	26.3	1.7	40.0	138.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +61.2%

ORL +4.7%

CLE -16.9%

ORL +1.5%

CLE -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ORL	NBA	CLE	ORL	NBA
this game	16.3	14.7	15.4	110.6	117.4	104.1
season	15.5	15.5		102.5	100.3
opponent	15.3	15.2		107.7	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.1	17.5	16.8	15.9	16.3
ORL	14.3	16.8	15.9	12.2	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Omri Casspi	35	34	0.18	-0.68	0.85	-0.06	8	-12	20	16.8	15.9	0.82	15.6	14.2	1.46
Tristan Thompson	54	52	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.12	5	-9	14	16.5	16.0	0.49	15.4	13.8	1.63
Samardo Samuels	2	1	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.02	-3	-1	-2	10.0	16.4	-6.39	12.0	14.7	-2.73
Jeremy Pargo	58	57	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-4	4	17.0	15.0	2.03	14.7	14.7	0.02
CJ Miles	6	6	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.03	-4	0	-4	14.7	16.4	-1.70	13.7	14.8	-1.10
Dion Waiters	72	69	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.31	-4	0	-4	16.1	16.8	-0.73	15.0	13.7	1.28
Tyler Zeller	60	57	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.28	-5	1	-6	16.1	16.5	-0.38	14.9	14.4	0.48
Daniel Gibson	49	49	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	0	-4	15.8	16.7	-0.92	14.5	15.0	-0.48
Anderson Varejao	72	74	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.39	-5	1	-6	16.4	15.8	0.57	14.1	17.2	-3.07
Alonzo Gee	62	61	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.36	-8	4	-12	15.9	16.9	-0.94	14.1	15.9	-1.77

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Redick	61	63	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.35	9	-5	14	13.3	17.5	-4.21	16.0	16.8	-0.77
Jameer Nelson	65	68	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.28	10	-6	16	15.2	13.4	1.82	15.8	17.5	-1.67
Nikola Vucevic	59	58	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.31	7	-3	10	16.3	11.8	4.58	16.7	15.6	1.13
Glen Davis	64	63	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.36	2	2	0	16.1	11.6	4.49	17.5	13.7	3.80
Arron Afflalo	69	70	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.43	-2	6	-8	14.8	14.3	0.58	16.7	14.8	1.91
Josh McRoberts	25	27	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.02	8	-4	12	12.3	15.6	-3.26	12.7	17.7	-4.98
E'Twaun Moore	36	36	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	7	-10	12.8	15.9	-3.06	14.8	17.2	-2.39
Andrew Nicholson	25	27	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	4	-4	12.9	15.4	-2.44	15.0	16.8	-1.76
Gustavo Ayon	29	31	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.02	-5	9	-14	13.2	15.4	-2.17	17.4	15.7	1.74
Maurice Harkless	27	27	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.04	-6	10	-16	17.3	13.6	3.73	18.3	15.4	2.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.33,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.69,0.42,0.67,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 103, ORL 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.55,0.73,1	92.4%
POR 111, PHX 115	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.23,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.4,0.36,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.73,0.81,0.72,0.67,0.83,1	91.4%
CHH 93, POR 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.26,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.51,0.63,0.6,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.78,0.69,0.92,0.94,0.83,1	91.2%