NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	111		Excitement	8.8 [140]		MVP	Steve Nash (PHX): +35.5%
Phoenix Suns	115		Comeback	3.6 [330]		LVP	Rudy Fernandez (POR): -6.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nicolas Batum	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.05	0.00	10	72%	0.18	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.06
Andre Miller	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.13,-0.06,0.1,0.1	-0.01	0.13	0.02	15	56%	0.31	4	-0.21	4	100%	0.05
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.02	15	64%	0.18	4	-0.10	9	78%	-0.02
Wesley Matthews	0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.06	0.10	-0.01	0.02	20	57%	0.06	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Patty Mills	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Joel Przybilla	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Armon Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.06
Dante Cunningham	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Fernandez	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	6	23%	-0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.33,0.35	0.35	0.06	0.30	0.01	14	66%	0.48	3	-0.13	7	71%	0.03
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.23,0.25	0.25	0.04	0.16	-0.05	12	57%	0.25	2	-0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Channing Frye	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.04	0.00	9	67%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.00	3	69%	0.08	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.04
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	8	62%	0.07	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.05	0.04	14	70%	0.16	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zabian Dowdell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	7	29%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.05	0.01	5	67%	0.06	3	-0.11	5	80%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.8	35.2	19.8	25.4	3.4	45.2	157.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +58.0%

POR -9.9%

PHX +4.1%

PHX +1.5%

POR -3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	PHX	NBA	POR	PHX	NBA
this game	16.5	13.5	15.5	115.6	119.8	105.7
season	16.5	14.5		106.7	108.0
opponent	15.7	15.7		109.0	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.4	16.9	16.9	16.0	16.5
PHX	12.4	13.1	13.8	14.6	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dante Cunningham	28	29	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.20	8	-12	20	15.3	17.1	-1.77	14.2	13.1	1.12
Joel Przybilla	11	12	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.04	2	-6	8	15.7	16.6	-0.92	12.8	13.5	-0.71
Patty Mills	29	31	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.10	3	-7	10	15.5	17.0	-1.52	13.7	13.3	0.37
Armon Johnson	1	0	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-4	4	1.0	16.7	-15.71	0.0	13.5	-13.46
Rudy Fernandez	36	38	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.25	6	-10	16	14.6	17.7	-3.09	12.9	13.8	-0.89
Andre Miller	66	65	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.24	-7	3	-10	17.2	15.0	2.24	13.3	13.7	-0.37
Wesley Matthews	79	77	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.37	-3	-1	-2	17.1	14.1	3.02	13.5	13.1	0.44
Marcus Camby	67	65	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.15	-11	7	-18	17.1	15.2	1.96	13.4	13.5	-0.13
LaMarcus Aldridge	85	84	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.34	-6	2	-8	16.6	15.7	0.92	13.5	12.8	0.71
Nicolas Batum	78	79	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.18	-12	8	-20	16.8	15.3	1.56	13.4	13.8	-0.44

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Channing Frye	81	82	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.34	7	-3	10	13.6	12.5	1.18	16.5	16.7	-0.20
Vince Carter	60	61	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.22	8	-4	12	12.9	14.3	-1.40	15.8	17.9	-2.07
Steve Nash	65	66	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.16	9	-5	14	13.5	13.3	0.25	16.7	16.1	0.64
Robin Lopez	43	44	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.13	7	-3	10	13.2	13.7	-0.54	17.5	15.7	1.85
Grant Hill	71	72	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.36	-1	5	-6	13.3	13.8	-0.52	16.8	15.8	0.94
Hakim Warrick	26	25	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.19	-1	5	-6	13.4	13.5	-0.10	17.8	16.1	1.76
Mickael Pietrus	14	13	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	0	4	15.5	13.1	2.39	18.9	16.2	2.75
Zabian Dowdell	2	2	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.03	3	1	2	14.0	13.4	0.55	3.0	16.8	-13.83
Jared Dudley	47	46	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.17	-3	7	-10	13.7	13.2	0.52	16.5	16.6	-0.08
Goran Dragic	30	30	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.20	-7	11	-18	12.8	13.7	-0.91	16.3	16.6	-0.30
Marcin Gortat	41	39	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.11	-6	10	-16	13.8	13.2	0.52	15.2	17.5	-2.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.23,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.4,0.36,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.73,0.81,0.72,0.67,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 110, OKC 118	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.24,0.16,0.2,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.48,0.38,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.69,0.63,0.76,0.91,1	92.1%
TOR 104, MIA 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.24,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.73,0.93,0.84,0.91,0.96,1	91.6%
GSW 85, UTA 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.85,0.95,1	91.6%