NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	101		Excitement	8.5 [169]		MVP	Danilo Gallinari (NYK): +32.6%
New Jersey Nets	106		Comeback	3.3 [517]		LVP	Larry Hughes (NYK): -24.1%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.15,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.10	0.20	-0.03	10	75%	0.42	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.08	0.00	5	69%	0.15	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Al Harrington	0.09	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09	0.05	0.05	0.01	8	70%	0.13	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Nate Robinson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.06	0.00	13	61%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
David Lee	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.03	12	68%	0.12	3	-0.13	4	75%	0.01
Quentin Richardson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	12	42%	-0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.11	-0.12	0.00	5	55%	0.03	6	-0.25	1	0%	-0.02
Larry Hughes	-0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.2,-0.24	-0.05	-0.19	0.00	11	46%	-0.04	3	-0.21	2	0%	-0.02

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Harris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.25	0.25	0.14	0.12	0.01	22	60%	0.29	2	-0.04	14	71%	0.03
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.08	0.02	3	125%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.07	0.00	19	60%	0.21	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.03	0.00	4	30%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Sean Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.01	0.01	14	53%	0.09	5	-0.15	2	100%	0.02
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	8	31%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.4	25.6	15.4	22.6	2.7	31.3	127.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK -22.9%

NJN +20.7%

NJN +3.5%

NJN +50.5%

NYK -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	NJN	NBA	NYK	NJN	NBA
this game	14.5	15.9	15.5	107.4	111.6	106.4
season	13.8	16.0		106.2	106.5
opponent	15.5	15.5		108.9	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	12.5	16.4	15.9	13.4	14.5
NJN	16.8	13.6	15.4	17.9	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quentin Richardson	26	26	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.05	8	-13	21	16.2	13.9	2.33	17.5	15.3	2.22
Chris Wilcox	18	19	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-6	7	18.3	13.6	4.69	17.9	15.4	2.53
Al Harrington	49	52	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.02	-5	0	-5	13.6	15.5	-1.90	14.8	17.3	-2.43
Nate Robinson	48	47	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.06	-3	-2	-1	15.4	13.7	1.66	16.0	15.8	0.23
Danilo Gallinari	45	45	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.43	2	-7	9	15.6	13.6	1.94	16.6	15.3	1.24
Wilson Chandler	71	72	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.24	-6	1	-7	14.5	14.5	0.03	16.2	15.0	1.16
David Lee	76	75	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.33	-4	-1	-3	13.6	18.3	-4.69	15.6	17.2	-1.61
Larry Hughes	69	70	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.31	-5	0	-5	14.0	16.2	-2.20	15.8	16.4	-0.59
Chris Duhon	68	69	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.31	-13	8	-21	13.9	16.2	-2.33	15.3	17.5	-2.22

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	83	82	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.48	12	-7	19	16.3	13.0	3.35	14.1	17.6	-3.49
Devin Harris	84	84	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.30	12	-7	19	15.6	18.5	-2.96	14.7	13.6	1.05
Brook Lopez	54	56	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.34	7	-2	9	17.4	14.0	3.47	13.8	15.7	-1.87
Jarvis Hayes	60	58	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.41	2	3	-1	15.9	16.0	-0.16	13.8	15.7	-1.91
Bobby Simmons	37	37	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.37	2	3	-1	16.0	15.9	0.08	15.1	14.2	0.93
Yi Jianlian	35	36	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.06	3	2	1	16.0	15.9	0.16	15.7	13.8	1.91
Sean Williams	38	37	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.01	1	4	-3	14.8	16.6	-1.81	15.9	13.6	2.27
Trenton Hassell	61	58	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	5	-5	15.2	17.1	-1.90	14.0	15.4	-1.33
Keyon Dooling	23	22	-0.48	0.98	-1.47	-0.07	-14	19	-33	15.7	16.0	-0.36	15.8	14.2	1.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.23,0.25,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.43,0.53,0.42,0.59,0.46,0.66,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 99, NYK 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.39,0.44,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.67,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.32,0.46,0.43,0.72,1	92.4%
MIA 89, DAL 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.31,0.3,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.52,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.67,0.69,0.54,0.59,0.96,1	91.3%
ORL 91, MIL 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.37,0.42,0.5,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.63,0.57,0.85,1	90.9%