NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	70		Excitement	7.8 [281]		MVP	Larry Hughes (PHI): +11.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	74		Comeback	1.5 [501]		LVP	Kurt Thomas (NYK): -41.3%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Childs	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03	-0.02	0.04	0.00	7	62%	0.13	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.04
Chris Dudley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	57%	0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Rick Brunson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarco Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	7	56%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Andrew Lang	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	15	50%	-0.06	4	-0.11	10	100%	0.07
Latrell Sprewell	-0.35	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.25,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.35	-0.18	-0.17	-0.00	18	42%	-0.14	6	-0.21	7	86%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	-0.41	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.27,-0.23,-0.23,-0.37,-0.37,-0.41	-0.24	-0.19	-0.01	10	15%	-0.26	3	-0.16	6	33%	-0.09

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.10	0.00	19	58%	0.19	3	-0.08	5	40%	-0.03
Jumaine Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	-0.02	6	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	62%	0.05	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	9	35%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Billy Owens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	4	20%	-0.08	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04
George Lynch	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.07,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	8	36%	-0.08	2	-0.05	6	33%	-0.10
Eric Snow	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-0.03	-0.02	12	33%	-0.11	2	-0.06	9	56%	0.01
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.15	-0.06	-0.01	9	22%	-0.08	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.9	2.7	34.9	17.0	25.6	1.8	44.3	155.2
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +51.2%

NYK -30.0%

PHI +18.5%

PHI +16.1%

NYK -5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	PHI	NBA	NYK	PHI	NBA
this game	16.9	14.6	15.2	76.9	80.4	101.7
season	16.1	15.0		100.0	99.5
opponent	15.5	15.8		98.1	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.3	17.2	16.1	17.9	16.9
PHI	14.3	14.1	15.2	14.8	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarco Johnson	13	12	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-5	6	16.5	16.9	-0.38	14.7	14.6	0.15
Rick Brunson	16	16	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.02	0	-4	4	16.4	17.0	-0.60	13.7	14.8	-1.05
Chris Dudley	33	35	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-7	10	19.3	15.5	3.87	13.4	15.4	-1.97
Chris Childs	58	59	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.35	4	-8	12	17.8	15.2	2.55	13.8	16.2	-2.39
Andrew Lang	46	45	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.01	-9	5	-14	15.7	18.1	-2.41	15.7	13.6	2.14
John Wallace	32	32	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.34	2	-6	8	17.0	16.8	0.20	14.2	14.8	-0.57
Charlie Ward	32	33	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.11	-8	4	-12	14.8	18.0	-3.12	15.7	14.0	1.63
Kurt Thomas	56	58	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.24	-4	0	-4	16.9	16.9	-0.03	15.1	13.8	1.36
Allan Houston	86	86	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.38	-1	-3	2	16.8	18.2	-1.41	14.8	11.8	2.98
Latrell Sprewell	83	84	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.38	-8	4	-12	16.9	16.9	-0.01	14.5	16.1	-1.65

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Lynch	65	65	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.22	7	-3	10	14.8	14.2	0.56	16.1	18.7	-2.55
Kevin Ollie	17	17	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.13	9	-5	14	12.1	15.2	-3.07	19.4	16.3	3.13
Todd MacCulloch	57	56	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.12	9	-5	14	15.2	13.7	1.51	17.0	16.6	0.39
Larry Hughes	51	53	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.19	5	-1	6	12.7	17.0	-4.25	17.7	15.7	1.99
Aaron McKie	46	45	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.31	1	3	-2	16.3	13.0	3.28	15.3	18.4	-3.08
Eric Snow	75	74	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.27	-3	7	-10	15.2	12.1	3.07	16.3	19.4	-3.13
Tyrone Hill	55	53	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.29	-4	8	-12	16.4	12.0	4.38	16.4	17.5	-1.08
Bruce Bowen	42	41	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.23	-3	7	-10	14.0	15.2	-1.23	17.2	16.6	0.64
Billy Owens	39	38	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	5	-6	13.1	15.8	-2.72	19.2	15.2	3.93
Jumaine Jones	1	1	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	4	-4	17.0	14.6	2.41	0.0	17.1	-17.06
Nazr Mohammed	12	12	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	4	-4	11.9	15.0	-3.11	17.2	16.8	0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.74,0.85,0.83,0.91,0.89,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 88, ATL 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.69,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.7,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.9,0.76,0.9,0.85,0.79,0.98,1,1	93.7%
SAS 90, BOS 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.52,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.78,0.77,0.67,0.6,0.78,0.87,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.95,0.91,1	93.6%
MIL 112, WAS 121	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.91,1	93.6%