inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 90 Excitement3.1 [1141] MVPGrant Hill (DET): +5.2%
Detroit Pistons 101 Comeback1.1 [891] LVPBrevin Knight (CLE): -11.6%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bob Sura0.040,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.000.00-0.041553%0.052-0.01450%-0.00
Andre Miller0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.070.000.041279%0.094-0.055100%0.01
Wesley Person-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Andrew DeClercq-0.020,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.000.000.03564%-0.011-0.02475%-0.01
Ryan Stack-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.00-0.000.03373%-0.011-0.02540%-0.02
Danny Ferry-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.0130%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Shawn Kemp-0.050,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.11-0.00-0.071537%-0.003-0.042100%0.01
Lamond Murray-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.060.00-0.01520%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Trajan Langdon-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.01835%-0.022-0.041100%-0.00
Cedric Henderson-0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.09-0.000.011041%-0.043-0.06250%-0.00
Brevin Knight-0.120,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.16-0.00-0.04619%-0.063-0.05475%-0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Grant Hill0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.040.01-0.081958%0.105-0.0410100%0.02
Jerome Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.080.000.04585%0.0400.003100%0.01
Don Reid00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Loy Vaught00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Terry Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.01250%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Christian Laettner0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.130.00-0.12952%0.025-0.031164%0.02
Jud Buechler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.01425%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Michael Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.090.00-0.07433%-0.022-0.004100%0.01
Jermaine Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.070.00-0.04425%0.012-0.0400%0.00
Lindsey Hunter0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.100.00-0.061148%0.025-0.061100%0.00
Jerry Stackhouse0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.110.00-0.051654%0.005-0.061669%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.81.735.015.024.22.435.6141.7
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +19.3%
DET +12.5%
DET +8.5%
DET +6.8%
DET +2.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLEDETNBACLEDETNBA
this game13.813.015.282.695.3101.7
season14.114.198.0104.2
opponent15.315.3103.0101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE14.814.112.713.413.8
DET10.012.014.516.013.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lamond Murray1919-0.04-0.460.41-0.102-131515.313.51.8012.813.0-0.26
Trajan Langdon4241-0.09-0.410.31-0.338-192713.813.8-0.0314.412.12.31
Danny Ferry1212-0.12-0.380.260.06-6-5-115.913.52.4012.213.1-0.94
Andre Miller5956-0.14-0.360.22-0.409-202913.314.4-1.0714.111.82.27
Wesley Person3635-0.15-0.350.20-0.150-111114.713.31.3212.513.2-0.73
Andrew DeClercq6364-0.24-0.260.02-0.15-3-8513.813.70.1513.911.62.37
Ryan Stack5754-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.270-111113.614.0-0.4613.812.11.70
Bob Sura6764-0.32-0.18-0.140.09-143-1713.913.60.3013.412.50.91
Brevin Knight5655-0.35-0.15-0.200.15-176-2313.713.9-0.2111.914.2-2.38
Shawn Kemp7170-0.38-0.12-0.270.12-176-2313.614.1-0.5411.815.3-3.45
Cedric Henderson6360-0.39-0.11-0.270.11-176-2313.214.6-1.3611.814.5-2.69

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jerry Stackhouse75790.440.060.37-0.0316-52113.013.00.0513.813.60.20
Christian Laettner73750.420.080.34-0.0817-62313.511.81.6714.113.01.13
Grant Hill89900.370.130.230.1383513.012.80.2813.316.1-2.75
Lindsey Hunter85870.330.170.170.1083512.913.6-0.7113.713.9-0.16
Jerome Williams71730.300.200.100.30011-1113.711.72.0014.412.61.75
Terry Mills37370.230.27-0.03-0.1814-31711.613.8-2.1613.913.70.21
Jermaine Jackson21220.170.33-0.170.0838-513.612.90.7113.913.70.16
Michael Curry29310.150.35-0.210.0929-711.713.5-1.8511.514.7-3.16
Don Reid11120.060.44-0.380.12-213-1514.312.91.4213.613.8-0.22
Jud Buechler33330.050.45-0.410.31-920-2913.113.00.1314.513.50.97
Loy Vaught66-0.010.51-0.520.05-213-1510.313.2-2.8316.313.62.70


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 107, DEN 1200.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%
LAC 90, SAS 990.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,197.2%
DET 97, LAC 1290.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%