NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	90		Excitement	2.8 [1204]		MVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): +10.2%
San Antonio Spurs	99		Comeback	1.0 [1304]		LVP	Cuttino Mobley (LAC): -7.3%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quinton Ross	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richie Frahm	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	8	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Thornton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	0.00	0.08	17	64%	0.04	3	-0.03	5	80%	-0.00
Dan Dickau	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	7	57%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Chris Kaman	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.05	17	53%	-0.02	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Josh Powell	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	0.00	0.03	17	46%	-0.03	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Duncan	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.17	0.00	0.08	22	64%	0.12	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.01
Ime Udoka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	11	71%	0.09	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	9	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	5	50%	0.04	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Tony Parker	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.08	0.01	-0.09	17	44%	0.08	4	-0.06	7	86%	0.01
Manu Ginobili	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	4	40%	0.01	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Fabricio Oberto	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	2.8	25.9	15.6	23.3	2.3	27.6	125.5
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +33.4%

SAS +7.3%

SAS +14.3%

LAC -6.8%

SAS +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	SAS	NBA	LAC	SAS	NBA
this game	15.1	16.8	15.4	100.0	108.8	105.7
season	15.6	16.5		99.5	104.7
opponent	15.3	15.1		100.5	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.1	14.7	16.9	14.8	15.1
SAS	15.9	16.7	17.4	17.2	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Thomas	5	5	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.07	-5	-4	-1	9.0	15.4	-6.41	20.0	16.6	3.43
Quinton Ross	35	35	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.33	8	-17	25	15.3	14.9	0.33	17.9	16.1	1.83
Josh Powell	22	23	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-5	1	19.0	13.8	5.28	14.3	17.6	-3.34
Sam Cassell	17	18	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.04	-7	-2	-5	12.4	15.7	-3.33	16.9	16.7	0.16
Richie Frahm	47	45	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	-5	1	15.3	14.8	0.42	17.0	16.5	0.52
Dan Dickau	47	48	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.32	3	-12	15	14.7	15.4	-0.74	17.5	16.0	1.53
Brevin Knight	43	43	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.08	-12	3	-15	15.4	14.7	0.74	16.0	17.5	-1.53
Cuttino Mobley	77	79	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.19	-8	-1	-7	15.3	13.5	1.86	16.4	19.1	-2.68
Al Thornton	81	83	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.26	-6	-3	-3	14.9	16.3	-1.42	16.7	16.9	-0.13
Chris Kaman	76	76	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.16	-10	1	-11	14.6	17.7	-3.15	17.0	15.7	1.31

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	65	64	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.07	14	-5	19	17.0	16.2	0.85	15.2	14.6	0.67
Bruce Bowen	71	72	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.02	15	-6	21	16.6	17.2	-0.57	15.0	15.4	-0.49
Michael Finley	55	56	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.08	10	-1	11	16.7	16.8	-0.08	15.6	14.2	1.41
Tony Parker	66	64	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.16	7	2	5	16.1	18.4	-2.32	15.1	15.0	0.08
Ime Udoka	54	53	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.24	2	7	-5	17.5	15.7	1.82	14.3	16.1	-1.79
Brent Barry	48	46	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.12	4	5	-1	16.5	17.1	-0.63	14.0	16.2	-2.16
Fabricio Oberto	47	48	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.12	2	7	-5	15.9	17.6	-1.70	15.7	14.4	1.31
Jacque Vaughn	25	26	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.08	2	7	-5	18.4	16.1	2.32	15.0	15.1	-0.08
Matt Bonner	20	18	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.19	-7	16	-23	16.8	16.7	0.05	16.4	14.7	1.67
Manu Ginobili	4	3	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	13	-17	18.5	16.7	1.82	14.7	15.1	-0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 90, DET 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
CHI 80, BOS 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
MIN 75, SAS 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.74,0.73,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%