NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	75		Excitement	2.6 [1212]		MVP	Steve Kerr (SAS): +4.4%
San Antonio Spurs	91		Comeback	1.0 [1183]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): -11.7%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Igor Rakocevic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Slater	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	8	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	6	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	17	47%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Rod Strickland	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	6	39%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Loren Woods	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	8	33%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Troy Hudson	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.14	0.00	-0.08	12	42%	-0.03	6	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.18	0.00	-0.06	17	34%	-0.07	3	-0.04	7	57%	-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.16	0.00	0.11	10	85%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.04	10	59%	0.04	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Danny Ferry	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	8	31%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.07	22	41%	0.01	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.01
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	64%	0.01	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	6	43%	0.00	2	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.10	0.00	-0.10	15	33%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	11	36%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	1.8	28.2	17.6	23.5	2.0	27.3	124.0
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +34.7%

SAS +0.2%

SAS +3.4%

SAS +9.7%

SAS +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SAS	NBA	MIN	SAS	NBA
this game	14.9	15.3	15.5	79.8	93.8	101.6
season	14.9	15.7		104.0	102.5
opponent	15.4	15.8		96.9	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	18.1	14.0	15.2	12.8	14.9
SAS	15.5	13.2	16.1	16.5	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Slater	12	13	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.11	3	-19	22	10.7	15.5	-4.85	11.5	15.8	-4.38
Igor Rakocevic	18	20	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.26	8	-24	32	12.3	15.5	-3.17	9.8	16.7	-6.88
Gary Trent	18	19	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-15	14	14.2	15.1	-0.83	12.2	16.0	-3.79
Marc Jackson	27	30	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.17	0	-16	16	12.4	15.9	-3.49	10.8	17.2	-6.41
Rod Strickland	38	41	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.05	-8	-8	0	14.9	14.9	-0.04	13.7	16.4	-2.64
Loren Woods	45	45	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.10	-3	-13	10	16.2	13.7	2.59	18.3	12.7	5.61
Kendall Gill	55	57	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.10	-14	-2	-12	14.3	15.7	-1.37	15.2	15.4	-0.24
Rasho Nesterovic	71	72	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.08	-14	-2	-12	15.6	12.7	2.85	16.7	11.0	5.79
Troy Hudson	66	68	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.12	-16	0	-16	15.0	14.7	0.26	16.3	12.9	3.37
Anthony Peeler	49	50	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.11	-17	1	-18	15.7	14.0	1.76	15.7	14.8	0.83
Kevin Garnett	75	75	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.11	-17	1	-18	15.7	11.7	4.02	16.6	10.7	5.86

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Robinson	75	73	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.22	22	-6	28	16.5	10.9	5.68	15.3	13.5	1.76
Tim Duncan	76	74	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.05	15	1	14	16.2	11.8	4.46	15.6	12.3	3.23
Manu Ginobili	50	48	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.06	13	3	10	13.1	17.6	-4.49	13.9	16.0	-2.12
Tony Parker	69	67	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.14	15	1	14	17.0	10.9	6.14	15.2	14.1	1.10
Steve Kerr	45	45	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.09	11	5	6	15.7	14.9	0.76	15.0	14.8	0.25
Stephen Jackson	42	37	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.26	-1	17	-18	12.2	17.6	-5.45	13.8	15.6	-1.74
Bruce Bowen	37	37	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.10	11	5	6	16.4	14.5	1.90	16.5	13.9	2.63
Malik Rose	36	35	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.19	0	16	-16	12.0	17.2	-5.18	13.7	15.6	-1.92
Danny Ferry	41	42	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	12	-8	17.9	13.3	4.54	15.9	14.1	1.74
Devin Brown	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	21	-26	7.7	15.8	-8.13	8.7	15.3	-6.65
Kevin Willis	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	21	-26	7.7	15.8	-8.13	8.7	15.3	-6.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.74,0.73,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 86, POR 113	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
UTA 83, DEN 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
CHA 63, PHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%