NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	86		Excitement	2.5 [759]		MVP	Damon Stoudamire (POR): +6.9%
Portland Trail Blazers	113		Comeback	1.0 [635]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -7.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Horry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	75%	0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	9	39%	-0.01	1	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	16	53%	-0.00	1	-0.02	13	46%	-0.02
Sean Rooks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.10	0.00	-0.08	4	43%	-0.02	3	-0.01	6	67%	-0.00
Rick Fox	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.04	11	65%	0.02	3	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Derek Harper	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Reid	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	5	23%	-0.02	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	0.00	-0.04	5	8%	-0.06	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Kobe Bryant	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	0.00	19	44%	-0.06	2	-0.02	7	86%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.00	-0.03	12	67%	0.10	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	5	79%	0.05	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	8	75%	0.07	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.02	9	67%	0.02	1	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	10	59%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.03	3	100%	0.01	2	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	57%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Carlos Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	8	60%	0.02	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	3	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	5	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.8	1.8	29.6	17.8	36.4	2.4	32.6	149.4
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +40.9%

POR +1.6%

POR +4.8%

LAL -0.2%

POR +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	POR	NBA	LAL	POR	NBA
this game	16.2	14.4	15.8	92.5	118.9	99.6
season	14.9	16.0		104.7	102.0
opponent	15.9	15.8		96.2	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	17.9	19.2	14.7	13.7	16.2
POR	15.6	13.5	14.7	14.0	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Rooks	24	25	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-27	27	13.6	17.1	-3.49	13.7	14.7	-1.03
Ruben Patterson	31	33	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.24	-12	-15	3	15.9	16.4	-0.47	14.7	14.3	0.34
Derek Harper	12	12	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.06	-7	-20	13	18.8	15.8	3.01	14.9	14.4	0.54
J.R. Reid	46	48	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.08	-8	-19	11	16.4	16.1	0.31	13.9	15.0	-1.19
Derek Fisher	42	40	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.15	-1	-26	25	17.5	15.1	2.43	16.8	12.7	4.12
Dennis Rodman	22	24	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.08	-11	-16	5	18.8	15.4	3.35	17.2	13.5	3.65
Robert Horry	43	41	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.22	-16	-11	-5	15.6	16.8	-1.22	12.0	16.3	-4.25
Tyronn Lue	45	49	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.39	-22	-5	-17	14.6	17.7	-3.13	12.5	16.5	-3.95
Rick Fox	66	68	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.24	-18	-9	-9	15.4	18.2	-2.83	14.0	15.4	-1.40
Shaquille O'Neal	60	60	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.24	-22	-5	-17	17.2	14.4	2.87	15.3	13.0	2.24
Kobe Bryant	74	75	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.09	-18	-9	-9	16.4	15.4	1.00	15.0	12.2	2.78

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Grant	63	62	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.15	17	10	7	15.7	12.1	3.59	16.7	15.3	1.39
Damon Stoudamire	56	55	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.07	14	13	1	15.2	13.4	1.75	16.6	15.6	0.99
Rasheed Wallace	42	42	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.00	11	16	-5	14.3	14.5	-0.24	17.2	15.4	1.87
Stacey Augmon	51	49	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.05	12	15	-3	15.7	13.0	2.64	16.6	15.8	0.84
Jim Jackson	55	54	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.01	9	18	-9	15.0	13.7	1.28	16.3	16.2	0.11
Isaiah Rider	44	43	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.25	17	10	7	14.0	14.8	-0.82	16.0	16.4	-0.31
Walt Williams	41	41	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.22	15	12	3	12.3	16.1	-3.74	15.6	16.7	-1.08
Arvydas Sabonis	27	27	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.09	10	17	-7	13.1	15.0	-1.86	18.4	15.3	3.14
Greg Anthony	39	38	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.22	13	14	-1	13.4	15.2	-1.75	15.6	16.6	-0.99
Kelvin Cato	33	32	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.27	13	14	-1	15.5	13.9	1.55	14.4	17.2	-2.76
Bonzi Wells	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	25	-23	13.1	14.6	-1.50	13.6	16.5	-2.93
Carlos Rogers	14	12	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.06	2	25	-23	11.6	14.9	-3.37	13.1	16.7	-3.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 73, UTA 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
LAC 94, CLE 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
LAC 87, ORL 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%