inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 107 Excitement2.8 [1218] MVPArron Afflalo (DEN): +6.6%
Denver Nuggets 120 Comeback1.0 [873] LVPZach Randolph (MEM): -3.6%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
DeMarre Carroll0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.00-0.02250%0.0200.0000%0.00
O.J. Mayo0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.070.000.051464%0.043-0.02560%-0.00
Greivis Vasquez0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Hasheem Thabeet0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jason Williams-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.0310%-0.001-0.0100%0.00
Mike Conley-0.010,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.000.000.02683%0.034-0.0400%0.00
Marc Gasol-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.01659%0.014-0.03580%0.00
Sam Young-0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.021140%-0.012-0.0230%-0.00
Tony Allen-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.07-0.000.101559%0.012-0.041471%-0.01
Darrell Arthur-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.040.000.07856%-0.0300.002100%0.00
Xavier Henry-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.01-0.000.04450%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Zach Randolph-0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.031055%0.045-0.0820%-0.02

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Arron Afflalo0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.120.000.051270%0.0710.00667%0.00
Nene0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.00-0.021056%0.061-0.00771%-0.00
Al Harrington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.01-0.01487%0.061-0.0000%0.00
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.080.010.04383%0.072-0.021275%0.01
Ty Lawson0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.00-0.021560%0.084-0.05580%0.00
Gary Forbes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.03-0.00-0.051238%0.0300.00250%-0.00
J.R. Smith0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.08-0.000.082257%0.042-0.042100%-0.00
Kenyon Martin0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.00-0.04542%0.012-0.02250%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.92.032.015.531.32.729.3135.7
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +27.3%
DEN +5.7%
DEN +4.4%
DEN +9.2%
DEN +3.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMDENNBAMEMDENNBA
this game13.815.315.5108.1121.2105.7
season15.514.3106.1110.7
opponent15.515.5106.1103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM15.012.216.911.213.8
DEN13.814.413.120.115.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
DeMarre Carroll15150.04-0.540.59-0.3714-27419.114.7-5.6018.714.74.08
Hasheem Thabeet2120-0.03-0.470.44-0.175-182312.214.3-2.0712.915.9-2.91
Xavier Henry1715-0.06-0.440.38-0.122-151713.014.0-0.9916.615.01.56
Greivis Vasquez78-0.07-0.430.36-0.070-131313.413.8-0.4218.415.03.37
Jason Williams3434-0.07-0.430.36-0.194-172113.014.2-1.2015.515.10.39
Darrell Arthur4747-0.12-0.380.27-0.141-141512.015.5-3.4614.715.7-1.01
Sam Young5859-0.29-0.21-0.070.18-163-1914.812.52.2715.415.00.42
Marc Gasol4951-0.29-0.21-0.070.24-185-2315.911.84.0415.315.3-0.04
O.J. Mayo6364-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.06-9-4-513.115.0-1.9015.115.5-0.42
Tony Allen6665-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.24-5-8313.514.4-0.8215.015.8-0.84
Mike Conley6262-0.43-0.07-0.360.16-207-2714.512.71.7414.816.1-1.33
Zach Randolph5655-0.49-0.01-0.480.18-2310-3315.611.54.1615.614.90.65

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ty Lawson81800.50-0.000.510.0316-31914.916.8-1.8413.813.80.04
Nene62620.460.040.43-0.3026-133913.318.6-5.3914.213.20.92
J.R. Smith89890.450.050.400.101211114.819.6-4.8113.913.40.47
Gary Forbes45450.270.230.050.24112-1116.514.22.2713.014.5-1.50
Arron Afflalo82830.270.230.04-0.02103715.514.41.0414.211.82.39
Kenyon Martin51510.240.26-0.020.15310-714.715.9-1.1714.113.50.58
Chris Andersen38370.170.33-0.170.43-922-3118.813.15.6613.613.9-0.27
Al Harrington47480.130.37-0.24-0.0567-115.714.90.8613.214.4-1.18


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 90, DET 1010.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,197.3%
CHI 86, HOU 1180.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%
WAS 104, HOU 1200.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.61,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%