NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	104		Excitement	2.8 [1228]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +15.6%
Houston Rockets	120		Comeback	1.1 [1186]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -13.1%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.21	-0.00	0.15	15	79%	0.07	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.00
Mike Scott	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	5	83%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Markieff Morris	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	8	78%	0.06	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Otto Porter Jr.	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	-0.00	0.05	7	80%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	5	70%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Frazier	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tomas Satoransky	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	7	57%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	11	34%	-0.05	1	0.00	10	60%	0.00
John Wall	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.20	-0.00	-0.07	10	37%	-0.03	8	-0.10	4	50%	-0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.31	0.00	0.15	18	83%	0.21	3	-0.06	10	90%	0.02
Clint Capela	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.16	0.00	0.06	10	81%	0.11	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.14	0.00	0.06	9	80%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	6	75%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	41%	0.00	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.04
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Quarterman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tarik Black	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	11	36%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	12	35%	0.00	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.8	28.2	14.8	24.1	2.4	24.6	122.1
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +24.9%

HOU +2.6%

HOU +11.1%

HOU +12.0%

WAS -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	HOU	NBA	WAS	HOU	NBA
this game	13.9	15.6	14.7	107.2	122.4	107.5
season	14.8	14.6		108.2	112.8
opponent	14.8	14.7		105.6	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.7	14.9	13.7	12.3	13.9
HOU	13.0	13.9	16.9	19.0	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ramon Sessions	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-19	22	9.4	14.3	-4.85	16.5	15.5	0.98
Tim Frazier	18	19	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.19	6	-22	28	12.7	14.2	-1.55	19.5	14.7	4.80
Ian Mahinmi	10	11	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-13	10	16.4	13.6	2.76	9.5	16.4	-6.92
Jodie Meeks	18	20	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-16	16	14.2	13.9	0.29	12.9	16.3	-3.39
Marcin Gortat	32	31	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.04	-5	-11	6	13.8	14.0	-0.13	14.8	16.0	-1.16
Tomas Satoransky	54	53	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-12	8	14.2	13.6	0.62	15.9	15.2	0.70
Mike Scott	46	49	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.18	0	-16	16	14.1	13.8	0.26	16.1	15.1	0.96
Otto Porter Jr.	52	51	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.13	-15	-1	-14	14.0	13.9	0.07	15.2	16.0	-0.81
Bradley Beal	57	58	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	-4	-8	14.1	13.6	0.52	16.5	14.2	2.28
Kelly Oubre Jr.	67	68	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.07	-11	-5	-6	14.0	13.9	0.09	15.8	15.2	0.63
John Wall	68	67	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.11	-18	2	-20	13.7	14.4	-0.64	15.4	16.0	-0.58
Markieff Morris	56	55	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.19	-21	5	-26	14.0	13.8	0.17	15.4	15.8	-0.42

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Harden	69	69	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.07	17	-1	18	16.0	14.6	1.44	13.8	14.3	-0.55
PJ Tucker	61	62	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.19	20	-4	24	15.0	16.7	-1.72	14.1	13.7	0.38
Eric Gordon	54	54	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.02	13	3	10	14.3	17.2	-2.99	14.4	13.3	1.08
Luc Mbah a Moute	59	59	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.20	19	-3	22	15.5	15.7	-0.24	13.3	14.9	-1.63
Chris Paul	64	65	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.05	11	5	6	16.1	14.7	1.33	14.6	12.6	1.94
Clint Capela	53	51	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.00	9	7	2	16.0	15.1	0.95	14.1	13.8	0.28
Nene	30	31	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.04	7	9	-2	14.6	16.1	-1.49	14.9	13.5	1.48
Gerald Green	47	45	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.32	-6	22	-28	15.9	15.4	0.52	14.1	13.8	0.26
Ryan Anderson	12	11	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	13	-10	12.2	16.1	-3.91	15.1	13.8	1.31
Joe Johnson	25	24	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.22	-7	23	-30	18.8	14.5	4.35	13.0	14.2	-1.18
Tim Quarterman	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	19	-22	16.5	15.5	0.98	9.4	14.3	-4.85
Tarik Black	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	19	-22	16.5	15.5	0.98	9.4	14.3	-4.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.61,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 85, DET 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
CLE 92, MIL 108	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.68,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
UTA 85, POR 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.89,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%