inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 85 Excitement2.2 [1222] MVPRasheed Wallace (POR): +8.0%
Portland Trail Blazers 103 Comeback1.2 [853] LVPKarl Malone (UTA): -8.5%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Greg Ostertag0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.000.00-0.04558%0.041-0.00250%-0.00
Howard Eisley0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.030.000.01564%0.0200.004100%0.00
Bryon Russell0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.040.000.02867%0.041-0.012100%0.00
Jacque Vaughn-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.011045%-0.011-0.002100%-0.00
Armen Gilliam-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.000.000.01450%-0.0100.00250%-0.00
Quincy Lewis-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.02546%-0.001-0.01367%-0.01
Scott Padgett-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.030.000.07667%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Olden Polynice-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.090.00-0.04520%-0.032-0.0200%0.00
John Stockton-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.000.01850%-0.002-0.04250%-0.01
Jeff Hornacek-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.00-0.01325%-0.032-0.032100%0.00
Karl Malone-0.080,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.09-0.00-0.001450%-0.015-0.08250%-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.030.00-0.051158%0.091-0.012100%0.01
Greg Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.110.000.064118%0.071-0.023100%0.01
Detlef Schrempf0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.060.00-0.08562%0.0330.001173%0.01
Arvydas Sabonis0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.010.00856%0.031-0.02250%-0.01
Brian Grant00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gary Grant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Stacey Augmon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02125%0.0000.00250%0.00
Jermaine O'Neal0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.060.00-0.06420%0.0000.0020%0.00
Scottie Pippen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.01462%0.032-0.0400%0.00
Steven Smith0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.050.000.06886%0.034-0.046100%0.01
Bonzi Wells0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.030.000.06974%-0.003-0.03560%-0.03
Damon Stoudamire0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.060.00-0.02850%0.013-0.04250%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.53.033.021.028.22.430.5141.7
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
POR +27.3%
POR +9.7%
POR +7.9%
POR +5.2%
UTA -0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTAPORNBAUTAPORNBA
this game16.714.815.294.4110.8101.7
season16.315.9104.5105.9
opponent15.715.299.1100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA18.618.514.715.616.7
POR15.813.715.314.414.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Quincy Lewis4242-0.07-0.430.36-0.101-192016.017.3-1.2914.814.80.02
Jacque Vaughn3131-0.07-0.430.35-0.101-192016.616.8-0.1314.514.9-0.48
Armen Gilliam2626-0.08-0.420.330.21-10-8-216.416.9-0.4914.315.0-0.65
Howard Eisley4443-0.13-0.370.25-0.130-181816.117.3-1.1714.914.60.29
Greg Ostertag4039-0.15-0.350.21-0.150-181816.417.0-0.5114.614.9-0.27
Scott Padgett3028-0.16-0.340.17-0.346-243016.117.0-0.9015.414.50.94
Jeff Hornacek3437-0.32-0.18-0.130.06-13-5-816.916.70.1914.515.0-0.52
Bryon Russell5055-0.33-0.17-0.160.14-16-2-1417.016.40.5614.914.60.29
Olden Polynice4750-0.35-0.15-0.200.15-17-1-1617.316.11.2314.714.9-0.16
John Stockton5357-0.42-0.08-0.350.19-213-2417.216.01.2014.914.60.27
Karl Malone5357-0.42-0.08-0.350.19-213-2417.216.01.2014.914.60.27

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Steven Smith57550.460.040.42-0.1621-32414.814.70.0817.016.30.64
Brian Grant43420.400.100.30-0.1619-12014.315.2-0.8316.916.60.23
Arvydas Sabonis39390.320.180.14-0.06135815.114.60.5218.015.82.19
Detlef Schrempf57570.320.180.140.03108214.215.7-1.5916.517.2-0.76
Greg Anthony30300.300.200.10-0.4325-73212.715.8-3.0619.115.63.50
Rasheed Wallace63590.270.230.04-0.08126615.014.30.6516.517.2-0.65
Damon Stoudamire50480.200.30-0.10-0.04810-215.514.01.4816.117.4-1.26
Scottie Pippen45410.190.31-0.13-0.311711615.014.50.5217.316.31.03
Bonzi Wells36350.040.46-0.420.13-321-2414.714.8-0.0816.317.0-0.64
Jermaine O'Neal18180.000.50-0.500.15-523-2814.814.80.0715.916.9-0.99
Gary Grant13120.000.50-0.500.44-1533-4816.914.42.5013.217.3-4.02
Stacey Augmon14140.000.50-0.500.35-1230-4215.914.61.3614.417.2-2.81


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.89,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 96, WAS 1180.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.5,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.5%
DAL 80, IND 1040.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%
WAS 104, HOU 1200.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.61,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%