inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 103 Excitement4.0 [989] MVPWalter McCarty (BOS): +15.1%
Toronto Raptors 90 Comeback1.0 [405] LVPAntonio Davis (TOR): -11.9%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Walter McCarty0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.170.010.037125%0.193-0.042100%0.01
Paul Pierce0.140,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.120.02-0.011968%0.172-0.03650%-0.01
Antoine Walker0.050,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.011373%0.154-0.11475%-0.01
Pervis Ellison0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.02-0.01450%0.0400.0000%0.00
Adrian Griffin0.020,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.060.000.03964%0.0200.004100%0.02
Tony Battie0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.00-0.02333%0.0100.0000%0.00
Calbert Cheaney-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.0240%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Kenny Anderson-0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.08-0.01-0.03840%-0.012-0.054100%0.01
Wayne Turner-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.080.00-0.02217%-0.022-0.04250%-0.01
Vitaly Potapenko-0.110,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.02-0.02425%-0.054-0.0600%0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dell Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.01-0.03844%0.0400.0000%0.00
Alvin Williams0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.060.000.06776%0.021-0.02333%0.00
Aleksandar Radojevic00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Doug Christie0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.03-0.02-0.031361%0.094-0.10771%0.01
Muggsy Bogues0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.010.01367%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Tracy McGrady0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.001050%0.011-0.03250%-0.01
Charles Oakley0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.000.01667%0.023-0.0400%0.00
John Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.000.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Vince Carter0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.09-0.01-0.041043%-0.022-0.03862%-0.01
Kevin Willis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.14-0.02-0.05728%-0.063-0.04475%-0.00
Antonio Davis0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.09-0.020.01740%-0.062-0.066100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.41.826.216.526.21.832.0130.0
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +45.7%
BOS +1.2%
BOS +5.0%
TOR -1.0%
TOR -0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSTORNBABOSTORNBA
this game14.016.015.2106.294.7101.7
season14.715.5102.4101.8
opponent14.915.1102.1103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS11.912.416.016.414.0
TOR16.414.717.615.616.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Paul Pierce76730.53-0.030.570.151301314.412.81.5516.115.80.24
Kenny Anderson57570.51-0.010.52-0.0820-72714.413.50.8417.114.42.63
Antoine Walker67640.380.120.260.06112914.513.01.4316.115.70.43
Pervis Ellison30270.340.160.18-0.011211114.313.90.4017.415.51.91
Adrian Griffin55570.330.170.15-0.0814-11513.614.6-0.9716.215.70.44
Tony Battie19180.270.230.03-0.03103715.213.71.4116.715.80.82
Calbert Cheaney57560.140.36-0.220.17-114-1514.113.90.2115.616.5-0.87
Walter McCarty36350.120.38-0.260.06211-913.014.6-1.6215.916.0-0.14
Wayne Turner4038-0.010.51-0.520.20-720-2713.514.4-0.8414.417.1-2.63
Vitaly Potapenko4850-0.110.61-0.720.15-922-3113.414.6-1.2415.017.1-2.07

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevin Willis41410.02-0.520.53-0.135-182316.615.61.0313.714.3-0.58
Aleksandar Radojevic110.00-0.500.50-0.062-151715.016.0-1.0123.013.99.07
John Thomas1010-0.03-0.470.44-0.123-161912.616.4-3.8015.413.91.54
Tracy McGrady3942-0.10-0.400.30-0.01-3-10715.516.4-0.8712.815.0-2.22
Dell Curry3941-0.12-0.380.25-0.01-4-9517.215.21.9613.414.5-1.09
Muggsy Bogues4952-0.14-0.360.21-0.03-4-9515.416.7-1.2613.215.0-1.74
Alvin Williams4343-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.02-10-3-715.516.4-0.9814.513.60.84
Charles Oakley4544-0.35-0.15-0.190.03-130-1316.815.31.4414.813.41.42
Vince Carter7980-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.25-5-8315.717.7-2.0314.312.51.81
Doug Christie7575-0.520.02-0.54-0.05-163-1916.514.22.2214.313.01.32
Antonio Davis5456-0.540.04-0.580.05-207-2715.916.1-0.1314.213.80.42


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.36,0.22,0.24,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.13,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 101, VAN 860.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.39,0.3,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.09,0.18,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.9%
SAS 91, CHI 750.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.9%
DET 110, CHI 830.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.28,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,095.6%