NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	91		Excitement	4.2 [999]		MVP	Tony Parker (SAS): +10.7%
Chicago Bulls	75		Comeback	1.0 [648]		LVP	Chris Duhon (CHI): -13.6%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Parker	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	9	77%	0.14	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Brent Barry	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.03	-0.04	6	58%	0.08	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.12	0.01	0.09	8	82%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Robert Horry	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Wilks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	11	46%	0.02	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Bruce Bowen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	58%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	-0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	8	57%	0.06	5	-0.11	5	100%	0.02
Tony Massenburg	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	3	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.13	-0.01	-0.04	9	11%	-0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	12	40%	-0.05	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	8	69%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	12	52%	0.07	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.07	-0.01	0.07	8	89%	0.06	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	11	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	4	60%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Frank Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	9	22%	-0.06	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	7	29%	-0.06	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.18	-0.02	-0.06	6	0%	-0.05	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	1.8	27.8	15.7	27.4	2.4	23.6	122.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +22.4%

SAS +6.1%

SAS +20.8%

CHI -1.5%

SAS +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	CHI	NBA	SAS	CHI	NBA
this game	15.7	15.0	15.5	95.8	80.6	104.0
season	16.3	15.1		105.8	100.1
opponent	15.4	15.6		98.9	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	13.4	16.8	16.2	16.6	15.7
CHI	16.1	15.2	12.2	16.9	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Parker	60	60	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.06	20	-4	24	14.6	17.4	-2.78	13.8	17.1	-3.31
Tim Duncan	57	56	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.12	18	-2	20	15.5	16.0	-0.54	14.9	15.1	-0.21
Bruce Bowen	59	56	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.06	15	1	14	16.5	14.3	2.16	14.5	15.7	-1.24
Manu Ginobili	54	54	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.30	22	-6	28	14.5	17.2	-2.63	16.2	13.2	3.02
Tony Massenburg	25	23	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.29	-2	18	-20	17.8	14.9	2.94	12.3	15.8	-3.52
Robert Horry	33	34	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.21	15	1	14	14.5	16.3	-1.87	14.7	15.1	-0.40
Devin Brown	41	42	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.02	7	9	-2	16.0	15.4	0.57	14.5	15.3	-0.83
Malik Rose	40	39	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.17	-2	18	-20	15.6	15.7	-0.08	14.9	15.0	-0.01
Brent Barry	36	34	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.40	-12	28	-40	15.7	15.7	-0.01	14.3	15.3	-1.00
Rasho Nesterovic	35	34	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.07	3	13	-10	15.7	15.7	0.02	17.1	13.7	3.45
Mike Wilks	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	24	-32	19.6	15.4	4.21	13.0	15.1	-2.09
Beno Udrih	28	27	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.14	4	12	-8	16.9	15.2	1.73	18.0	13.7	4.29

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Gordon	8	10	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.13	5	-21	26	12.4	15.2	-2.83	14.1	15.9	-1.76
Adrian Griffin	18	19	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-18	20	12.6	15.5	-2.98	12.4	16.5	-4.13
Frank Williams	42	42	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.25	7	-23	30	15.2	14.7	0.51	16.9	14.7	2.21
Othella Harrington	30	29	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.31	9	-25	34	14.6	15.1	-0.48	18.1	14.6	3.45
Andres Nocioni	27	29	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.12	-10	-6	-4	14.1	15.3	-1.14	12.9	16.9	-3.95
Tyson Chandler	65	67	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-13	10	15.1	14.7	0.35	15.2	16.9	-1.73
Chris Duhon	56	56	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.15	-3	-13	10	15.4	14.3	1.10	17.3	13.3	4.06
Eric Piatkowski	48	47	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.08	-12	-4	-8	14.4	15.5	-1.12	14.9	16.4	-1.50
Eddy Curry	24	24	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.10	-13	-3	-10	15.4	14.8	0.56	16.8	15.3	1.55
Antonio Davis	56	59	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.28	-22	6	-28	15.8	13.7	2.04	15.2	16.4	-1.20
Luol Deng	48	50	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.02	-12	-4	-8	15.2	14.6	0.61	16.6	14.6	2.04
Kirk Hinrich	43	43	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.35	-28	12	-40	15.2	14.8	0.38	14.8	16.4	-1.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 103, TOR 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.36,0.22,0.24,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.13,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
ATL 117, CLE 115	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.32,0.3,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.42,0.47,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.25,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	95.8%
UTA 112, LAL 97	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.31,0.34,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%