NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	112		Excitement	4.6 [927]		MVP	Joe Ingles (UTA): +18.1%
Los Angeles Lakers	97		Comeback	1.0 [1235]		LVP	Brook Lopez (LAL): -19.1%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Ingles	0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.17	0.05	0.04	12	85%	0.19	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Donovan Mitchell	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	-0.00	18	61%	0.14	4	-0.05	10	70%	-0.01
Jae Crowder	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.02	18	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.11	0.01	0.07	7	83%	0.06	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Ricky Rubio	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.01	6	75%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dante Exum	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	4	50%	0.03	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Rudy Gobert	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	5	33%	-0.01	3	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04
Derrick Favors	-0.09	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	0.02	12	42%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Julius Randle	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	12	59%	0.11	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Josh Hart	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.02	0.03	18	62%	0.09	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Alex Caruso	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tyler Ennis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.08	-0.01	0.08	18	56%	0.01	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.00
Travis Wear	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Gary Payton II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	5	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	0.05	10	38%	-0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.18	-0.04	-0.03	10	0%	-0.18	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.8	28.5	15.3	30.7	2.4	27.4	131.9
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +53.9%

LAL -0.7%

LAL -2.3%

LAL -2.6%

UTA +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	LAL	NBA	UTA	LAL	NBA
this game	13.7	14.6	14.7	110.9	95.1	107.5
season	15.1	13.7		106.6	105.7
opponent	14.8	14.6		107.2	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	11.8	15.7	12.3	15.9	13.7
LAL	13.5	17.8	13.4	14.7	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Favors	69	70	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.39	30	-15	45	13.7	13.8	-0.18	15.1	13.7	1.31
Donovan Mitchell	80	80	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.19	9	6	3	14.1	12.2	1.87	14.3	15.8	-1.44
Ricky Rubio	36	36	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.11	16	-1	17	14.3	13.4	0.86	16.3	13.7	2.56
Rudy Gobert	55	56	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.27	2	13	-11	13.7	13.8	-0.15	14.5	14.8	-0.25
Royce O'Neale	50	50	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.02	10	5	5	14.0	13.5	0.47	14.8	14.5	0.34
Jae Crowder	66	65	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	11	-7	13.7	13.8	-0.16	13.5	16.6	-3.06
Joe Ingles	70	70	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.04	7	8	-1	14.6	11.7	2.86	14.5	15.0	-0.51
Dante Exum	51	53	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.19	-3	18	-21	12.1	15.4	-3.28	14.1	15.2	-1.15
Ekpe Udoh	6	6	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.04	1	14	-13	12.7	13.8	-1.12	18.8	14.4	4.45
Jonas Jerebko	22	24	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.09	-1	16	-17	12.6	14.0	-1.39	15.5	14.4	1.17

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thomas Bryant	17	18	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.18	6	-21	27	14.6	14.6	-0.00	17.2	13.0	4.26
Tyler Ennis	59	60	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.17	5	-20	25	14.7	14.6	0.03	14.3	12.9	1.34
Travis Wear	36	34	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.17	-7	-8	1	15.2	14.4	0.80	14.8	13.2	1.62
Gary Payton II	44	44	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-13	11	14.9	14.5	0.38	14.0	13.5	0.41
Ivica Zubac	32	30	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.11	-8	-7	-1	14.6	14.7	-0.08	12.9	14.1	-1.22
Channing Frye	50	48	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-11	7	14.5	14.8	-0.25	13.0	14.4	-1.46
Brook Lopez	44	44	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.01	-11	-4	-7	15.2	14.3	0.90	13.4	14.0	-0.56
Julius Randle	53	53	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.01	-13	-2	-11	14.7	14.6	0.07	13.0	14.5	-1.48
Alex Caruso	37	36	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.08	-17	2	-19	14.5	14.8	-0.29	12.9	14.2	-1.25
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	53	53	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.03	-15	0	-15	14.0	15.3	-1.31	12.7	14.8	-2.08
Josh Hart	85	85	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.22	-9	-6	-3	14.6	14.9	-0.35	14.3	10.4	3.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.31,0.34,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 91, CHI 75	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
PHX 101, VAN 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.39,0.3,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.09,0.18,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
TOR 94, HOU 81	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.26,0.23,0.33,0.27,0.28,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.08,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0	94.8%