NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	117		Excitement	5.7 [710]		MVP	Dennis Schroder (ATL): +20.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers	115		Comeback	1.1 [189]		LVP	Derrick Rose (CLE): -11.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Schroder	0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.21	0.13	0.05	-0.03	13	82%	0.32	6	-0.11	8	100%	0.05
Taurean Prince	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	-0.00	13	61%	0.11	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Luke Babbitt	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	-0.01	0.01	13	61%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dewayne Dedmon	0.02	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.02	10	71%	0.09	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	11	47%	0.02	1	-0.01	8	50%	-0.01
Tyler Cavanaugh	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	10	43%	-0.04	3	-0.03	8	75%	0.00
Isaiah Taylor	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.09	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	12	48%	-0.04	3	-0.06	5	40%	-0.12

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11	0.11	0.17	0.06	0.12	14	74%	0.11	0	0.00	3	67%	0.02
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.04	0.03	17	65%	0.14	6	-0.12	6	100%	0.03
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.04	0.01	19	54%	0.02	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.03
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	9	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ante Zizic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JR Smith	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	42%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Love	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.08	-0.00	6	58%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	12	38%	-0.03	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.4	1.7	28.2	14.7	32.9	0.3	40.2	149.3
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +45.5%

CLE -8.9%

ATL +9.5%

CLE -0.3%

ATL +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CLE	NBA	ATL	CLE	NBA
this game	14.9	12.9	14.7	114.7	109.5	107.5
season	14.6	14.8		104.2	111.2
opponent	14.7	14.4		110.6	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.8	15.1	14.3	15.4	14.9
CLE	15.9	12.7	12.9	10.8	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Collins	51	53	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.19	15	-13	28	14.7	15.1	-0.41	12.9	13.0	-0.07
Taurean Prince	76	78	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.37	5	-3	8	15.0	14.7	0.27	13.1	12.3	0.79
Kent Bazemore	77	78	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.23	8	-6	14	14.8	15.3	-0.46	12.7	13.4	-0.70
Dennis Schroder	65	67	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.23	7	-5	12	14.6	15.5	-0.87	13.6	11.7	1.98
Luke Babbitt	85	87	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.15	7	-5	12	15.8	10.6	5.14	13.1	12.0	1.11
Isaiah Taylor	60	61	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.44	-10	12	-22	14.5	15.5	-0.97	11.8	14.5	-2.63
Dewayne Dedmon	48	50	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.21	-3	5	-8	15.0	14.9	0.17	13.6	12.3	1.21
Tyler Cavanaugh	6	7	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.09	-5	7	-12	13.2	15.0	-1.88	14.1	12.8	1.31
Marco Belinelli	42	44	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.31	-14	16	-30	14.7	15.1	-0.33	12.1	13.5	-1.47

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	55	52	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.53	23	-25	48	11.4	14.6	-3.24	15.1	14.7	0.38
Cedi Osman	21	20	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.19	10	-12	22	13.4	12.8	0.63	15.6	14.8	0.89
Jeff Green	54	53	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.42	16	-18	34	12.1	13.8	-1.67	16.7	13.0	3.72
Dwyane Wade	74	70	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.66	23	-25	48	11.6	16.2	-4.64	15.4	13.9	1.49
Ante Zizic	4	3	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.07	-4	2	-6	18.2	12.7	5.54	9.0	15.1	-6.11
Channing Frye	26	26	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.26	5	-7	12	10.8	13.6	-2.76	13.2	15.5	-2.39
Kevin Love	39	37	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.15	-15	13	-28	15.4	11.4	4.00	14.8	15.0	-0.19
LeBron James	89	88	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.43	-4	2	-6	12.6	14.7	-2.08	14.7	16.1	-1.32
Jae Crowder	49	48	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	0.11	-24	22	-46	14.8	11.2	3.59	14.4	15.4	-1.09
Derrick Rose	41	41	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	0.18	-27	25	-52	15.0	11.6	3.41	13.9	15.7	-1.80
JR Smith	73	72	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.25	-13	11	-24	13.0	12.8	0.16	15.0	14.8	0.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.32,0.3,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.42,0.47,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.25,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 91, CHI 75	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
DAL 106, MIA 93	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.26,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
NYK 113, BKN 83	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.19,0.24,0.16,0.1,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%