NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	81		Excitement	3.1 [719]		MVP	Vernon Maxwell (SAC): +11.0%
Sacramento Kings	103		Comeback	1.3 [738]		LVP	Tyrone Nesby (LAC): -8.9%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski	0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	11	57%	0.04	1	-0.01	1	100%	-0.00
Lamond Murray	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	9	45%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Keith Closs	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Michael Olowokandi	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.10	0.00	-0.08	5	33%	0.00	3	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01
Troy Hudson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.14	0.00	-0.11	16	53%	0.04	8	-0.07	6	100%	0.02
Charles Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.12	0.00	-0.09	5	28%	-0.03	1	-0.00	8	37%	-0.01
Maurice Taylor	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.13	-0.00	-0.06	14	37%	-0.04	3	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Tyrone Nesby	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	11	21%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.00	-0.06	10	73%	0.13	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.00	-0.07	12	58%	0.09	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	12	57%	0.03	1	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	16	40%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	6	59%	0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.08	4	27%	-0.00	2	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	14	58%	0.01	3	-0.05	5	100%	0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.14	0.00	-0.10	7	36%	-0.02	6	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.20	-0.00	-0.13	8	23%	-0.05	4	-0.02	6	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	19.4	3.3	29.4	15.5	28.5	2.3	28.5	127.0
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +30.2%

SAC +4.8%

SAC +12.4%

SAC +2.8%

LAC -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	SAC	NBA	LAC	SAC	NBA
this game	14.0	13.2	15.8	76.4	97.2	99.6
season	16.7	14.1		97.5	100.1
opponent	15.5	14.7		100.9	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.9	16.7	11.1	12.1	14.0
SAC	11.9	13.3	13.3	14.1	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Closs	8	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-20	18	8.5	14.4	-5.95	13.7	13.1	0.58
Charles Smith	27	26	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-21	20	12.8	14.4	-1.64	12.8	13.3	-0.43
Brian Skinner	36	33	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.10	0	-22	22	12.2	14.9	-2.69	14.9	12.4	2.48
Tyrone Nesby	61	63	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.13	-2	-20	18	14.0	14.0	-0.08	12.6	14.0	-1.36
Michael Olowokandi	59	61	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.14	-12	-10	-2	14.8	13.0	1.72	13.0	13.4	-0.44
Lamond Murray	34	34	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.01	-9	-13	4	13.9	14.1	-0.17	15.0	12.3	2.65
Maurice Taylor	58	59	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.10	-12	-10	-2	14.9	13.0	1.90	12.2	14.3	-2.10
Rodney Rogers	52	51	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.05	-12	-10	-2	13.2	14.8	-1.66	14.5	11.9	2.58
Eric Piatkowski	56	58	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.27	-20	-2	-18	14.7	13.3	1.40	12.2	14.3	-2.13
Lorenzen Wright	40	40	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	-12	2	14.3	13.8	0.52	13.4	13.0	0.37
Troy Hudson	99	98	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.37	-30	8	-38	14.5	7.4	7.04	12.8	17.4	-4.55

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scot Pollard	83	82	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.30	24	-2	26	12.5	15.5	-2.95	13.8	14.6	-0.75
Vlade Divac	81	82	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.11	8	14	-6	13.3	12.6	0.69	14.2	13.3	0.92
Vernon Maxwell	42	41	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.04	12	10	2	15.0	12.0	2.99	15.3	13.2	2.11
Jason Williams	67	67	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.08	12	10	2	12.4	14.5	-2.12	14.0	14.0	0.04
Corliss Williamson	57	57	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.06	11	11	0	12.5	13.9	-1.35	13.8	14.2	-0.38
Lawrence Funderburke	41	40	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.04	10	12	-2	14.0	12.6	1.43	15.0	13.4	1.65
Peja Stojakovic	49	49	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.09	11	11	0	13.9	12.5	1.35	14.2	13.8	0.38
Jon Barry	46	46	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.06	10	12	-2	14.1	12.4	1.66	13.8	14.1	-0.27
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	50	50	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.05	8	14	-6	11.8	14.4	-2.67	13.9	14.1	-0.11
Jerome James	7	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	20	-18	13.7	13.1	0.58	8.5	14.4	-5.95
Michael Hawkins	7	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	20	-18	13.7	13.1	0.58	8.5	14.4	-5.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 76, WAS 97	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.83,0.83,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
UTA 73, CLE 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.64,0.7,0.77,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
GSW 89, NOH 99	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%