NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	89		Excitement	2.8 [1205]		MVP	Hilton Armstrong (NOH): +9.3%
New Orleans Hornets	99		Comeback	1.2 [1174]		LVP	Stephen Jackson (GSW): -11.8%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronny Turiaf	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	5	79%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brandan Wright	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	6	33%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Randolph	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.00	5	42%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Corey Maggette	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	0.00	0.00	10	38%	-0.04	2	-0.02	9	100%	0.02
Monta Ellis	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	15	37%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02
Kelenna Azubuike	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	0.03	-0.01	0.12	15	53%	-0.09	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.01	0.05	17	50%	-0.03	5	-0.08	10	70%	-0.01

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	0.00	0.03	6	87%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.00	-0.06	19	56%	0.08	5	-0.03	3	33%	-0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	20	57%	0.08	4	-0.05	7	100%	0.02
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	83%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Julian Wright	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	13	43%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	8	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Marks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.7	29.2	16.6	28.9	0.6	29.5	132.5
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +30.9%

NOH +5.6%

NOH +4.1%

NOH +8.1%

NOH +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	NOH	NBA	GSW	NOH	NBA
this game	12.2	16.5	15.5	89.9	98.0	106.4
season	13.8	16.6		107.3	105.9
opponent	15.6	15.0		106.0	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	12.5	14.9	11.8	9.9	12.2
NOH	14.6	14.5	18.7	18.5	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Watson	30	30	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.21	2	-12	14	11.8	12.4	-0.62	17.3	16.2	1.10
Ronny Turiaf	54	54	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-6	2	13.1	11.2	1.89	16.0	17.1	-1.17
Brandan Wright	53	52	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.18	0	-10	10	12.1	12.3	-0.22	17.0	16.0	1.06
Corey Maggette	57	61	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.34	2	-12	14	12.2	12.3	-0.13	15.8	17.7	-1.95
Anthony Randolph	24	26	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.14	-15	5	-20	12.2	12.3	-0.09	17.2	16.3	0.90
Stephen Jackson	74	77	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.06	-10	0	-10	12.3	12.1	0.15	16.4	16.9	-0.46
Monta Ellis	75	75	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	2	-14	12.1	12.5	-0.41	16.1	17.7	-1.52
Anthony Morrow	54	56	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.18	-6	-4	-2	11.2	13.5	-2.26	16.3	16.8	-0.50
Kelenna Azubuike	74	74	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.16	-7	-3	-4	12.7	10.8	1.97	17.3	14.3	2.99

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Posey	64	62	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.13	11	-1	12	15.9	17.6	-1.73	12.2	12.2	0.03
Rasual Butler	89	88	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.22	5	5	0	16.3	18.1	-1.77	11.9	15.3	-3.42
Ryan Bowen	14	13	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.15	16	-6	22	14.4	16.9	-2.52	14.2	11.9	2.30
Antonio Daniels	17	17	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.12	13	-3	16	16.4	16.6	-0.21	15.9	11.5	4.41
Chris Paul	84	82	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.32	-3	13	-16	16.6	16.4	0.21	11.5	15.9	-4.41
Sean Marks	35	31	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.01	8	2	6	15.7	17.0	-1.24	11.6	12.5	-0.85
Hilton Armstrong	31	33	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.04	9	1	8	16.1	16.7	-0.66	14.2	11.2	3.02
David West	87	86	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.36	-6	16	-22	16.9	14.4	2.52	11.9	14.2	-2.30
Morris Peterson	37	37	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.29	-5	15	-20	18.4	15.5	2.93	11.5	12.7	-1.19
Julian Wright	47	46	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.04	2	8	-6	17.2	15.9	1.33	12.5	12.0	0.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 95, SAC 111	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.86,0.86,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
IND 103, BOS 122	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
CHA 76, CHI 115	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.81,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%