inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Bobcats 76 Excitement2.6 [1241] MVPBen Gordon (CHI): +12.6%
Chicago Bulls 115 Comeback1.2 [871] LVPGerald Wallace (CHA): -11.6%


Charlotte Bobcats
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Melvin Ely0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.00-0.00862%0.042-0.00560%-0.00
Jake Voskuhl0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02367%0.012-0.0000%0.00
Othella Harrington-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01262%0.001-0.00475%0.00
Matt Carroll-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.03729%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Walter Herrmann-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.070.00-0.07935%-0.002-0.002100%0.00
Primoz Brezec-0.010,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.000.03671%0.032-0.0420%-0.02
Bernard Robinson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.03250%-0.002-0.0100%0.00
Emeka Okafor-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.00-0.03933%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Adam Morrison-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.120.00-0.061323%-0.0610.0000%0.00
Derek Anderson-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.01-0.01721%-0.081-0.0000%0.00
Raymond Felton-0.110,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.09-0.000.021531%-0.111-0.01250%-0.01
Gerald Wallace-0.120,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.00-0.01933%-0.044-0.0800%0.00

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ben Gordon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.140.000.021479%0.152-0.021100%0.01
Andres Nocioni0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.100.010.021368%0.122-0.035100%0.02
Thabo Sefolosha0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.070.000.051164%0.0300.0000%0.00
Chris Duhon0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.070.000.05480%0.0200.002100%0.01
Ben Wallace0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.01561%0.042-0.02837%-0.02
P.J. Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.04333%0.0010.0000%0.00
Luol Deng0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.011140%0.0000.00367%-0.00
Adrian Griffin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02250%0.0010.0000%0.00
Malik Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.020.000.02850%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Tyrus Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.090.000.09374%0.001-0.001377%-0.00
Michael Sweetney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.060.00-0.0310%-0.012-0.0200%0.00
Kirk Hinrich0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.070.00-0.02714%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.11.728.115.426.21.628.4127.6
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +45.8%
CHI +6.3%
CHA -9.8%
CHI +6.1%
CHI +1.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHACHINBACHACHINBA
this game16.312.815.476.8116.2104.5
season15.714.5101.7103.1
opponent15.915.098.1105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHA14.618.317.115.516.3
CHI12.111.714.213.312.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Melvin Ely4444-0.03-0.470.450.24-9-302116.516.20.3013.012.60.32
Bernard Robinson2526-0.06-0.440.390.33-13-261315.716.5-0.7911.713.2-1.47
Walter Herrmann4241-0.06-0.440.370.58-22-17-515.816.7-0.9613.412.31.13
Jake Voskuhl2323-0.08-0.420.330.06-5-342915.116.7-1.5412.212.9-0.73
Othella Harrington3129-0.13-0.370.240.45-20-19-116.016.4-0.4113.112.60.51
Adam Morrison4950-0.18-0.320.140.38-19-20115.417.2-1.7512.812.70.13
Derek Anderson4644-0.22-0.280.070.14-12-271516.815.81.0011.913.5-1.56
Primoz Brezec4143-0.24-0.260.02-0.01-8-312317.115.81.3012.812.80.02
Gerald Wallace4951-0.30-0.20-0.100.23-18-21316.216.4-0.2213.112.40.74
Matt Carroll3131-0.34-0.16-0.190.21-19-20117.016.00.9511.913.2-1.32
Emeka Okafor4746-0.40-0.10-0.300.28-23-16-716.516.20.3413.312.30.98
Raymond Felton6767-0.46-0.04-0.410.34-27-12-1516.815.31.4313.012.30.73

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Duhon51500.430.070.37-0.443092112.613.0-0.3916.915.71.23
Ben Gordon48500.390.110.28-0.051524-911.713.8-2.0817.215.41.79
Thabo Sefolosha52530.360.140.22-0.4327121512.113.5-1.4016.116.6-0.55
Ben Wallace59580.340.160.18-0.272118313.212.20.9316.815.61.28
P.J. Brown31320.330.170.16-0.111524-911.513.3-1.7917.515.81.71
Andres Nocioni46450.280.220.07-0.362217512.912.70.2515.716.8-1.14
Kirk Hinrich52510.170.33-0.16-0.181227-1513.312.21.1616.516.10.32
Luol Deng51510.110.39-0.27-0.09732-2513.512.11.3916.416.20.20
Michael Sweetney23240.080.42-0.34-0.391623-712.812.80.0114.416.9-2.50
Malik Allen25250.000.50-0.49-0.381326-1313.312.60.7315.516.6-1.11
Adrian Griffin19180.000.50-0.50-0.291029-1913.912.51.3813.616.9-3.37
Tyrus Thomas3838-0.010.51-0.51-0.21732-2513.012.70.3216.416.30.09


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.81,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 73, CLE 920.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.64,0.7,0.77,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.5%
GSW 89, NOH 990.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,197.3%
CHA 80, MEM 1130.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%