NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	91		Excitement	3.8 [643]		MVP	Dee Brown (TOR): +6.0%
Toronto Raptors	83		Comeback	1.0 [462]		LVP	Vince Carter (TOR): -18.0%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lindsey Hunter	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	10	56%	0.03	1	-0.01	7	71%	-0.01
Jud Buechler	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Dumars	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	7	53%	0.03	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	13	60%	0.05	3	-0.05	14	79%	-0.01
Eric Montross	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles O'Bannon	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	6	43%	0.00	2	-0.02	2	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.04	-0.02	18	47%	0.05	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.04
Don Reid	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bison Dele	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	0.00	0.01	13	57%	0.04	5	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dee Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.01	0.04	10	77%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	8	65%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Slater	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.02	8	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.01	-0.01	15	40%	-0.10	2	-0.04	12	92%	0.02
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.14,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.12	-0.02	0.04	15	47%	-0.11	5	-0.07	8	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.6	31.1	15.6	27.2	2.4	38.2	140.4
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +25.7%

DET +5.0%

DET +14.3%

DET +2.4%

DET +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	TOR	NBA	DET	TOR	NBA
this game	17.5	16.2	15.8	108.3	95.4	99.6
season	16.6	15.6		101.4	99.0
opponent	15.9	16.1		101.2	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.0	20.8	21.9	14.2	17.5
TOR	18.4	14.5	18.3	14.0	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerry Stackhouse	58	58	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.09	15	-7	22	15.3	22.5	-7.19	15.2	18.2	-3.00
Jerome Williams	63	65	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.17	9	-1	10	17.1	18.8	-1.63	16.4	15.4	1.02
Jud Buechler	34	35	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.10	6	2	4	19.9	16.0	3.89	17.5	15.2	2.29
Bison Dele	53	55	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.19	3	5	-2	20.1	13.2	6.93	17.0	14.7	2.30
Joe Dumars	54	57	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.12	5	3	2	17.4	17.8	-0.41	16.5	15.6	0.87
Lindsey Hunter	63	66	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.29	-1	9	-10	16.8	19.7	-2.84	15.2	19.3	-4.17
Grant Hill	64	67	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.25	0	8	-8	17.7	17.1	0.57	16.1	16.2	-0.10
Eric Montross	17	16	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	3	2	16.1	17.9	-1.78	17.1	16.0	1.17
Don Reid	12	13	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.03	1	7	-6	18.3	17.4	0.93	17.6	15.9	1.70
Charles O'Bannon	2	3	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	11	-14	17.0	17.5	-0.55	4.0	16.6	-12.61

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Stewart	14	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.21	7	-15	22	12.6	16.8	-4.21	11.6	18.6	-7.00
John Wallace	17	16	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.15	2	-10	12	15.9	16.2	-0.29	23.6	16.1	7.52
Reggie Slater	7	7	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.05	-6	-2	-4	22.1	15.6	6.49	11.4	18.1	-6.66
Kevin Willis	52	51	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.05	-6	-2	-4	17.2	14.7	2.49	20.8	12.5	8.32
Alvin Williams	40	38	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.05	-10	2	-12	16.8	15.6	1.21	19.4	16.0	3.39
Tracy McGrady	31	29	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.05	-7	-1	-6	15.5	16.6	-1.07	16.8	17.9	-1.13
Dee Brown	61	60	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.38	4	-12	16	14.9	19.1	-4.14	16.7	19.5	-2.75
Doug Christie	76	75	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.33	-2	-6	4	16.3	15.0	1.34	18.1	12.4	5.70
Charles Oakley	59	56	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.16	-8	0	-8	16.6	15.3	1.31	15.2	22.3	-7.12
Vince Carter	78	75	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.11	-14	6	-20	16.1	17.0	-0.92	16.7	24.1	-7.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.13,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.16,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 106, VAN 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.33,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.27,0.19,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
MEM 97, MIA 82	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
MEM 100, BOS 93	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.18,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0	95.6%