inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 97 Excitement3.5 [884] MVPGilbert Arenas (MEM): +8.2%
Miami Heat 82 Comeback1.0 [296] LVPMario Chalmers (MIA): -11.6%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.120.000.045120%0.091-0.0100%0.00
Mike Conley0.080,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.090.000.01883%0.112-0.032100%0.00
Marreese Speights0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.010.01971%0.092-0.033100%0.01
Marc Gasol0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.010.01-0.03753%0.061-0.00580%0.01
Rudy Gay0.040,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.060.03-0.071942%0.062-0.03250%-0.01
Quincy Pondexter0.020,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.01-0.01450%0.0200.0000%0.00
Hamed Haddadi0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeremy Pargo0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Zach Randolph-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.021739%-0.0100.002100%0.00
Dante Cunningham-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.00-0.0320%-0.0200.0020%-0.00
O.J. Mayo-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.030.000.021048%-0.022-0.031100%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Bosh0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.070.010.031559%0.071-0.022100%0.01
Joel Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.060.000.03387%0.0300.00250%-0.01
Ronny Turiaf0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Juwan Howard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dexter Pittman00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.030.021850%0.053-0.05475%0.01
Terrel Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.000.011045%-0.0100.002100%0.00
LeBron James0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.02-0.031950%0.043-0.05475%-0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.0120%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Norris Cole0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.100.00-0.0450%-0.051-0.0100%0.00
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.08-0.00-0.0140%-0.061-0.0200%0.00
Mario Chalmers0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.14-0.00-0.03410%-0.034-0.08250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.12.529.917.023.22.433.5134.6
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +38.4%
MIA -1.9%
MIA -4.5%
MEM +13.3%
MEM +4.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMMIANBAMEMMIANBA
this game17.414.415.6105.492.1102.8
season15.615.5102.0105.6
opponent15.815.798.8100.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM15.616.819.018.417.4
MIA13.213.717.014.114.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Zach Randolph57530.340.150.190.1187116.818.2-1.3914.813.81.05
O.J. Mayo58540.340.160.190.0896317.117.9-0.7714.514.20.29
Marreese Speights47480.290.210.08-0.121411316.917.9-0.9714.714.00.70
Quincy Pondexter43430.280.220.07-0.131411318.216.71.4914.114.7-0.51
Mike Conley67650.280.220.060.16411-718.015.82.2114.115.2-1.04
Marc Gasol68640.270.230.040.21213-1117.915.82.1314.115.1-0.99
Rudy Gay70680.240.26-0.020.21114-1317.516.90.6114.613.80.84
Dante Cunningham23230.240.26-0.03-0.141321116.717.6-0.8414.014.6-0.60
Gilbert Arenas23230.210.29-0.09-0.09105515.618.0-2.4115.014.20.80
Hamed Haddadi220.000.50-0.500.00015-1518.017.40.6411.014.5-3.48
Jeremy Pargo220.000.50-0.500.00015-1518.017.40.6411.014.5-3.48

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Juwan Howard230.00-0.500.50-0.062-171911.014.5-3.4819.717.32.37
Dexter Pittman230.00-0.500.50-0.062-171911.014.5-3.4819.717.32.37
Joel Anthony2525-0.10-0.400.30-0.04-2-131117.213.33.8318.417.01.41
Ronny Turiaf2729-0.10-0.400.300.02-4-11713.414.9-1.4818.516.91.63
Mario Chalmers4345-0.17-0.330.16-0.11-2-131113.015.7-2.7618.616.12.50
Norris Cole2323-0.17-0.330.150.00-6-9313.714.7-0.9615.318.1-2.75
Terrel Harris4850-0.22-0.280.06-0.10-4-11714.114.8-0.7017.417.30.15
Chris Bosh6667-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.01-9-6-314.514.00.4917.816.31.50
LeBron James7071-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.12-6-9314.015.8-1.7617.716.41.28
Shane Battier3333-0.33-0.17-0.160.11-150-1516.313.32.9715.418.5-3.03
Udonis Haslem3941-0.41-0.09-0.310.03-150-1515.213.81.3315.119.2-4.05
Dwyane Wade6770-0.42-0.08-0.350.04-161-1714.314.7-0.4317.716.31.38


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DET 126, LAC 1070.5,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.4%
LAC 108, WAS 910.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.06,0.1,0.19,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.3%
TOR 123, DET 1060.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.25,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.2%