NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	100		Excitement	3.7 [1061]		MVP	Jerryd Bayless (MEM): +10.6%
Boston Celtics	93		Comeback	1.2 [840]		LVP	Zach Randolph (MEM): -9.1%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerryd Bayless	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11	0.12	0.01	0.02	10	71%	0.11	1	-0.01	11	82%	0.02
Tony Allen	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	8	67%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ed Davis	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	5	69%	0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Mike Miller	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	80%	0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	14	47%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Nick Calathes	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	10	41%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Kosta Koufos	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.01	-0.02	11	29%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	-0.10	0.01	0.00	16	36%	-0.06	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.04	0.10	0.00	0.07	19	57%	0.04	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0	-0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	13	62%	0.07	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Vitor Faverani	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	8	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Phil Pressey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	10	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	6	43%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	8	31%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	5	17%	-0.05	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Jared Sullinger	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.05	-0.00	0.13	18	62%	-0.00	4	-0.09	1	100%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.4	1.5	27.5	15.6	25.2	2.4	37.7	130.4
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +22.3%

MEM +6.7%

BOS -0.3%

MEM +19.0%

MEM +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	BOS	NBA	MEM	BOS	NBA
this game	15.2	15.9	15.1	108.7	100.0	105.2
season	16.4	15.4		104.5	101.2
opponent	15.0	15.2		106.0	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.0	15.2	16.4	15.5	15.2
BOS	16.7	18.2	15.7	13.3	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kosta Koufos	64	66	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.09	10	-3	13	16.4	12.6	3.80	16.4	14.6	1.76
Ed Davis	43	43	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.01	13	-6	19	15.9	14.7	1.23	17.1	14.8	2.30
Jerryd Bayless	39	40	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.05	9	-2	11	15.9	14.7	1.21	16.0	15.8	0.30
Mike Conley	66	66	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.23	2	5	-3	14.7	16.7	-2.01	15.4	17.1	-1.78
Tayshaun Prince	64	65	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.24	1	6	-5	14.5	16.9	-2.41	15.3	17.3	-2.01
Zach Randolph	70	70	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.41	-6	13	-19	15.0	16.1	-1.11	15.5	17.0	-1.49
Mike Miller	34	33	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.20	1	6	-5	14.6	15.6	-1.05	15.8	15.9	-0.10
Nick Calathes	26	27	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	2	3	16.7	14.7	2.01	17.1	15.4	1.78
Tony Allen	54	55	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.20	0	7	-7	14.5	16.3	-1.86	15.4	16.6	-1.18

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Phil Pressey	9	8	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.02	-5	-2	-3	19.6	15.5	4.07	13.6	15.4	-1.78
Avery Bradley	66	65	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.40	8	-15	23	15.3	17.4	-2.10	14.5	17.0	-2.42
Vitor Faverani	23	22	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.06	-9	2	-11	17.0	15.5	1.54	17.4	14.6	2.78
Jared Sullinger	67	67	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.40	6	-13	19	15.7	16.4	-0.70	15.6	14.2	1.44
Courtney Lee	15	16	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.07	-10	3	-13	18.6	15.4	3.24	18.4	14.6	3.78
Brandon Bass	64	63	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.30	1	-8	9	15.3	17.2	-1.98	14.6	16.7	-2.10
Jeff Green	78	76	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.36	3	-10	13	15.4	18.6	-3.24	14.6	18.4	-3.78
Kris Humphries	32	32	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.01	-10	3	-13	16.7	15.5	1.23	14.3	15.8	-1.49
Gerald Wallace	40	41	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	-10	3	-13	17.0	15.1	1.92	16.5	14.3	2.19
Jordan Crawford	71	70	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.14	-9	2	-11	15.4	17.5	-2.18	15.4	14.8	0.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.18,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 107, NYK 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.08,0.15,0.1,0.14,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
DET 91, TOR 83	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.13,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.16,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0	95.6%
LAC 112, CHI 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.23,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.21,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%