NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	72		Excitement	4.7 [525]		MVP	Dee Brown (TOR): +8.1%
Toronto Raptors	90		Comeback	1.8 [260]		LVP	Darrell Armstrong (ORL): -17.2%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Doleac	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	9	44%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
B.J. Armstrong	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominique Wilkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	4	36%	-0.02	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.02
Horace Grant	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	7	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Derek Strong	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Nick Anderson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	10	36%	-0.04	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Matt Harpring	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	9	42%	-0.05	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	11	42%	-0.05	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Ike Austin	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	0.00	10	29%	-0.09	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.17	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.04	0.03	14	39%	-0.09	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dee Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	8	62%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	15	47%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	8	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Sean Marks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Thomas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	0.01	0.01	15	48%	0.01	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	9	42%	-0.00	3	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Reggie Slater	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	5	17%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.02	0.00	14	42%	-0.05	4	-0.09	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.4	28.2	15.4	24.6	2.5	27.2	122.7
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +29.8%

TOR +12.1%

TOR +8.8%

ORL -0.9%

TOR +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	TOR	NBA	ORL	TOR	NBA
this game	17.2	16.7	15.8	84.7	105.9	99.6
season	16.1	15.6		98.0	99.0
opponent	15.9	15.6		101.2	95.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.8	16.1	19.4	17.8	17.2
TOR	16.2	14.5	17.4	19.1	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
B.J. Armstrong	5	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.14	-5	-13	8	18.0	17.1	0.85	17.0	16.7	0.34
Matt Harpring	44	44	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.17	3	-21	24	17.5	16.9	0.57	17.3	16.0	1.32
Dominique Wilkins	14	15	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.13	-8	-10	2	18.4	17.0	1.47	18.3	16.3	2.00
Ike Austin	43	42	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.09	-2	-16	14	17.2	17.2	0.02	15.9	17.5	-1.63
Derek Strong	15	15	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.02	-6	-12	6	13.9	17.9	-4.05	13.7	17.3	-3.66
Horace Grant	49	49	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.10	-5	-13	8	18.3	15.7	2.52	16.7	16.7	-0.07
Nick Anderson	47	48	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.05	-10	-8	-2	16.1	18.6	-2.45	17.2	15.9	1.30
Darrell Armstrong	63	64	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.13	-6	-12	6	17.0	17.6	-0.59	16.7	16.5	0.27
Michael Doleac	35	35	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.18	-17	-1	-16	17.1	17.3	-0.19	17.1	16.4	0.64
Bo Outlaw	39	37	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.19	-21	3	-24	17.0	17.3	-0.32	15.9	17.3	-1.35
Anfernee Hardaway	71	71	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.09	-13	-5	-8	17.7	14.6	3.06	16.8	15.9	0.90

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dee Brown	45	45	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.09	12	6	6	16.3	17.1	-0.88	16.5	18.0	-1.56
Doug Christie	63	63	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.07	17	1	16	16.0	18.5	-2.45	17.3	16.9	0.39
Tracy McGrady	55	55	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.09	16	2	14	16.9	16.3	0.64	16.1	19.3	-3.25
John Wallace	24	25	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.07	7	11	-4	15.3	17.2	-1.94	15.9	17.7	-1.81
Michael Stewart	11	10	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.04	7	11	-4	18.8	16.4	2.45	15.9	17.4	-1.47
Kevin Willis	60	62	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.05	6	12	-6	17.1	15.7	1.42	17.0	17.9	-0.92
Vince Carter	46	45	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	16	-14	16.9	16.4	0.55	17.6	16.7	0.94
John Thomas	10	9	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	14	-10	12.2	17.3	-5.08	13.4	17.6	-4.20
Reggie Slater	12	11	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	19	-20	18.5	16.4	2.12	20.5	16.7	3.74
Alvin Williams	47	48	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.10	5	13	-8	17.2	16.0	1.23	17.2	17.2	-0.08
Sean Marks	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	17	-16	18.0	16.7	1.35	16.0	17.2	-1.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 72, CLE 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.91,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.3%
LAL 84, SAS 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
NJN 85, MIA 99	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.97,1,1,1	95.5%