NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	85		Excitement	5.0 [799]		MVP	Alonzo Mourning (MIA): +16.8%
Miami Heat	99		Comeback	1.4 [1032]		LVP	Tim Hardaway (MIA): -13.4%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0.11	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.00	-0.01	16	67%	0.14	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Scott Burrell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jamie Feick	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Eschmeyer	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	21	44%	-0.03	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.03
Keith Van Horn	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	20	37%	-0.09	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Kendall Gill	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	16	30%	-0.11	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alonzo Mourning	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.19	0.02	0.04	14	83%	0.22	2	-0.05	24	71%	-0.02
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	9	70%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Otis Thorpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	8	39%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	4	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Dan Majerle	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	10	41%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.15	-0.01	-0.05	14	30%	-0.06	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Tim Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.15	-0.00	-0.02	8	24%	-0.05	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.3	27.5	16.4	26.4	2.6	24.6	127.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +38.5%

NJN -2.3%

MIA +15.9%

NJN -3.5%

MIA +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	MIA	NBA	NJN	MIA	NBA
this game	15.5	15.1	15.2	89.5	106.5	101.7
season	15.5	15.7		102.1	101.2
opponent	15.9	14.7		98.2	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.5	16.6	16.0	15.0	15.5
MIA	13.8	14.0	15.3	17.8	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Eschmeyer	14	14	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-11	8	17.0	15.2	1.77	14.1	15.3	-1.17
Scott Burrell	36	33	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.04	-3	-11	8	15.3	15.6	-0.30	14.6	15.4	-0.78
Jim McIlvaine	42	43	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	-9	4	15.7	15.3	0.35	15.5	14.8	0.73
Jamie Feick	39	36	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.05	-6	-8	2	14.7	16.0	-1.27	15.1	15.2	-0.14
Johnny Newman	12	13	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.03	-9	-5	-4	16.5	15.3	1.15	12.1	15.6	-3.56
Kendall Gill	79	77	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.13	-4	-10	6	14.9	18.6	-3.69	15.4	13.9	1.45
Lucious Harris	16	16	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.04	-10	-4	-6	18.6	14.9	3.69	13.9	15.4	-1.45
Stephon Marbury	87	85	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.10	-6	-8	2	15.1	20.0	-4.92	15.1	15.7	-0.67
Kerry Kittles	84	82	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.17	-7	-7	0	15.4	16.3	-0.88	15.6	11.9	3.66
Keith Van Horn	66	66	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.01	-17	3	-20	16.1	14.1	1.95	15.5	14.2	1.35

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Mashburn	69	70	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.01	18	-4	22	15.1	15.2	-0.04	16.1	13.9	2.19
Clar. Weatherspoon	47	45	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.10	9	5	4	16.3	14.0	2.26	15.8	15.3	0.50
Voshon Lenard	51	53	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.11	6	8	-2	15.8	14.3	1.56	15.2	15.9	-0.69
Alonzo Mourning	64	66	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.10	6	8	-2	14.5	16.6	-2.10	15.3	16.0	-0.73
Tim Hardaway	52	53	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.02	8	6	2	14.6	15.9	-1.32	14.8	16.3	-1.46
Otis Thorpe	28	28	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.01	8	6	2	16.7	14.4	2.30	16.2	15.2	0.97
Anthony Carter	41	42	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.07	6	8	-2	15.9	14.6	1.32	16.3	14.8	1.46
Dan Majerle	66	67	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	10	-6	14.6	16.4	-1.84	15.1	16.4	-1.22
P.J. Brown	47	51	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.03	5	9	-4	14.0	16.3	-2.39	15.2	15.9	-0.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 87, IND 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.87,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
CLE 98, CHH 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.65,0.67,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1	95.6%
POR 99, MEM 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.89,0.85,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.92,0.92,0.86,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.5%